Archive for January, 2011

Richard Holle: The big picture

Posted: January 31, 2011 by Rog Tallbloke in solar system dynamics

All of the universe affects the rest of it, as all sits in a common bowl of gravitational and magnetically connected and driven mass of ions and regular atoms, that respond to the basic physics detailing the “normal rules or laws”. To think that there are voltages or ions that move without magnetic fields attached violates first principles.

The stars are surrounded with a ion shell the heliosphere, that protects them [like ferro fluid particles with oxalic acid coats to keep them from merging as they float around] from running into each other the outer surfaces are composed/covered with free electrons hanging on the outer edge of the magnetic fields.

The mutual static repulsion keeps the stars separated just as mutual static repulsion keeps the neutralized moisture in a cloud from condensing. As the background cumulative charge gradient increases it reduces droplet size and polarizes them. With the added side effect of lowering albedo by becoming more transparent to short wave sun light.

The galactic magnet fields are also influenced by these same basic rules of action as well, which leads me to the conclusion that the interactions of the composite system of magnetic interactions from the rotation of the Galaxy, and the declinational movement of the solar system in that larger frame of reference, as well as the density waves that propagate around driving the spiral arm flux variances give rise to the longer term cyclic climatology of the Earth. (more…)

Lisbon workshop output example: Climate Datasets

Posted: January 30, 2011 by Rog Tallbloke in climate

Contributor B.Kindseth says:
“In engineering, there are established properties for every material that you use and established specifications for manufacturing processes and analytic procedures. When a model is built, every input is based on solid scientific and empirical ground. But it does not end there. After a design is completed, hardware is built and tested. Data from the tests are used to match the model to the data. I do not see much similarity in the global warming science community.

The IPCC documents are not a statement of science, but propaganda documents by definition which only present one side of the science. We need to get back to the basics of science, possibly a web site which an encyclopedia of basic information. That should include defintion of acceptable statistical procedures.”

Absolutely! This is one of the issues we discussed at Lisbon, with particular reference to climate datasets. Our table had a discussion on this and produced a statement at the end of the hour. Here it is:

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On Parade: Lisbon Conference – Updated

Posted: January 26, 2011 by Rog Tallbloke in solar system dynamics

Well, this is it, I just have a few minutes before heading to the Gulbenkian Foundation to register for the event and get to the first session.

I was up at dawn:


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I see that it will be high tide on the Sun in early June this year:
Wild speculation – Will solar cycle 24 peak around this time?

The Wheel of Hamsters

Posted: January 25, 2011 by Rog Tallbloke in climate, Energy

While I was travelling to Lisbon, I made a plane change at Schiphol airport in the Netherlands. Stepping outside for some air (and a smoke) I was amused to see this; A giant hamster wheel being driven round by two runners, raising awareness for a cancer charity.

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Testing Testing: WordPress for Nokia

Posted: January 22, 2011 by Rog Tallbloke in solar system dynamics

I got a nice deal (free) on a neat little phone with a slide-out keyboard yesterday. It’s a Nokia C6 Not the latest or fastest smartphone, but good battery life and not too brick-like. WordPress do an app for symbian, so this is a test of it’s capability.

Verdict so far -

Usable, but this isn’t a very long post. OK as an emergency backup for blogging on the move. My daytime replies from Lisbon will be to be short and to the point, you’ll be glad to hear. :)

First results in from analysis of the Wolff and Patrone paper. P.G. Sharrow has made a seismic analysis showing the likely area of cell overturn releasing potential energy. Top work P.G.! I will be able to plug this value in to the model I’m building with Rob Prince.

Image created by P.G. Sharrow

Image created by P.G. Sharrow

PG explains:

The above is my reconstruction from the Wolff – Patrone paper: figure 6

The left gauge is seismic speed and the bottom is solar radius.

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On the recent barycentric orbital periods thread, Roy Martin commented about the apparent rotational symmetry of the solar inertial motion (barycentric radius) about the date 1648.

Roy said:

“If we put a target point on the line at ~1648, the interesting thing is that the whole pattern is very close indeed to displaying rotational symmetry about that point, for the full 450 years before and after, i.e., rotate 180deg.. 1648 is in the middle of what looks like a short phase change period, similar to that at 1290,1468,1827 & 2006.5, temporally separated by the Jose period. None of those other points display the same degree of symmetry.”

I replied saying he may have found the midpoint date identified by Semi in his paper ‘Orbital resonance and Solar Cycles’.

Here are the two plots:

Roy Martin: Plot of Barycentric radius showing rotational symmetry

Roy Martin: Plot of Barycentric radius showing rotational symmetry

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Observation time: Fun with a 10″ Dobsonian Stargazer

Posted: January 17, 2011 by Rog Tallbloke in Astronomy

Late last night the sky cleared, so my friends Rob and Johnny and I drove up out of the orange glow syndrome to the top of the Chevin, a hill near where we live. To assist our Stargazing we took Johnny’s new toy with us, a nice 10″ Dobsonian “Stargazer” telescope with 40x and 120x eyepieces.

Johnny and Rob hunting for the Andromeda Nebula

Johnny and Rob hunting for the Andromeda Nebula. The red spot to the right is an aircraft warning signal.

We set it up away from the carpark up on the ridge and got some great observations of, amongst others, the Orion Nebula, Jupiter and its four main moons, and of course, our own Moon. See the photo I managed to get below the break.
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Lisbon Conference Update: The Agenda

Posted: January 16, 2011 by Rog Tallbloke in climate, Philosophy

As regulars know, I’ve been invited to attend a conference sponsored by the Joint Research Council of the European Union in Lisbon at month end. I’ve now received the agenda which details some of the aspects of the climate debate which will be under discussion. I can’t be completely specific at this point, because there is flexibility in the format of discussion and topic list and we have been invited to put forward ideas.

I’d like to help represent as many views as possible from the blogosheric climate community, so please put forward your views so I can raise issues at the conference.

In my response to the document which came with the invite, I inserted a bullet point list of desirable actions as I see it. I’d appreciate your comment and criticism of those, as well as additional ideas I’ve missed. Here are the Bullet points:

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