Michele Casati: Graphics showing Solar-Planetary links to Earthquakes and Volcanos

Posted: June 11, 2011 by tallbloke in Astronomy, Astrophysics, climate, Earthquakes, Solar physics, solar system dynamics, volcanos

Regular contributor Michele Casati has produced some superb graphics showing possible links between Solar-Planetary indices and terrestrial events such as earthquakes and volcanos. There is a wealth of information on these beautifully produced graphics, be sure to click for the high resolution versions, which will be updated in the future.

Grazia Michele!

Click for full size version

Click for full size version

Comments
  1. Remarkable Caro Michele!

  2. Malaga View says:

    Moving in the right direction by bring together the many threads….

    The concept of Earth Tide based upon Solar and Lunar influences seems sensible to me…
    The tidal influence of the moon provides the strongest driver… followed by the sun… although the relative size of the Solar magnetic impact needs to be assessed.

    Component Name                Relative size 
    Principal lunar               100 
    Principal solar                47 
    Large lunar elliptic           19 
    Lunar-solar declinational K2   13 
    Lunar-solar declinational K1   58 
    Principal lunar declinational  42 
    Principal solar declinational  19 
    

    Earth tide effects
    Volcanologists use the regular, predictable Earth tide movements to calibrate and test sensitive volcano deformation monitoring instruments. The tides may also trigger volcanic events. Seismologists have determined that microseismic events are correlated to tidal variations in Central Asia (north of the Himalayas). [5] The semidiurnal amplitude of terrestrial tides can reach about 55 cm at the equator which is important in GPS calibration and VLBI measurements. Also to make precise astronomical angular measurements requires knowledge of the Earth’s rate of rotation and nutation, both of which are influenced by earth tides.

    Terrestrial tides also need to be taken in account in the case of some particle physics experiments. For instance, at the CERN or SLAC, the very large particle accelerators were designed while taking terrestrial tides into account for proper operation. Among the effects that need to be taken into account are circumference deformation for circular accelerators and particle beam energy.

    Since tidal forces generate currents of conducting fluids within the interior of the Earth, they affect in turn the Earth’s magnetic field itself.

    These are the basic building blocks that determine the oceans tides… and as can be seen from the following Topex image the ocean tides endlessly circle around ocean nodes… which probably help drive the ocean currents… and some say the gyres associated with these tidal nodes help drive the upwelling of cold water form the deep ocean…

    http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/stories/topex/images/TidalPatterns_hires.tif

    This then introduces the concept of EM forces being able to influence cold water upwelling (and hence currents and climate) because water is diamagnetic.

    Diamagnetism
    Diamagnetism is the property of an object which causes it to create a magnetic field in opposition to an externally applied magnetic field, thus causing a repulsive effect. Specifically, an external magnetic field alters the orbital velocity of electrons around their nuclei, thus changing the magnetic dipole moment. According to Lenz’s law, this opposes the external field. Diamagnets are materials with a magnetic permeability less than μ0 (a relative permeability less than 1).

    Consequently, diamagnetism is a form of magnetism that is only exhibited by a substance in the presence of an externally applied magnetic field. It is generally quite a weak effect in most materials, although superconductors exhibit a strong effect.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamagnetism

    And don’t forget the Right-Hand Rule when looking at the way tides and pressure systems rotate…

    right hand rule

  3. Michele Casati says:

    Magnification weeks … September October November 2010

    Coronal holes facing the Earth !

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronal_hole

    “The fast-moving component of the solar wind is known to travel along open magnetic field lines that pass through coronal holes.”

    At the center of the Sun-Venus-Earth alignment !

    “open magnetic field lines….”

    I think…
    close with …..?
    Corona hole connect vulcano ?

  4. Ulric Lyons says:

    Michele Casati says:
    June 11, 2011 at 9:56 pm

    “Corona hole connect vulcano ?”

    Yes, higher solar wind speeds give warm bursts, which increase eruptions (particularly after a colder winter).
    I use a 179yr look-back for locations. In 1832, larger eruptions occurred in Hawaii, Kamchatka, Chile, Italy (Etna), Japan and Indonesia.

  5. Michele: In your graphs those PROTONS AND ELECTRONS are not the “pebbles”(ciottoli) of the “Flinstones´ Universe” (after the famous Dr.Fred Flintstone theory :-) , but ELECTRICITY .

  6. Michele: Thus it applies here too: An image which worths a thousand words: http://youtu.be/3aPQqNt15-o

  7. tallbloke says:

    If there were any doubts about the link between low sunspot count and heightened earthquake and volcano activity, events of the last months should have dispelled them. Magnitude 6.0 and 5.5 quakes near Christchurch NZ in the last 24 hours, plus the quakes and eruptions in Ethiopia, Chile, Kamchatka and Iceland are a reminder of the global aspect of the upsurge in activity since the start of low solar cycle 24. Our sympathy goes out to all those affected by these frightening and destructively powerful natural events.

  8. malagaview says:

    Lunar Perigee Jun 12 01:43 367187 km
    Full Moon…… Jun 15 20:14

    Earthquakes and volcanic eruption in Ethiopia

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/06/12/earthquakes-and-volcanic-eruption-in-ethiopia

    Another Damaging Aftershock hits Christchurch

    http://earthquake-report.com/2011/06/13/damaging-aftershock-christchurch-6-june/

    13-JUN-2011 
    DATE     MAG REGION 
    06:38:42 4.8 TONGA ISLANDS 
    05:50:52 4.2 EASTERN SEA OF JAPAN 
    05:19:56 4.7 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE 
    02:40:30 4.6 SOUTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND 
    02:20:50 6.0 SOUTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND 
    01:00:00 5.2 SOUTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND 
    00:25:29 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 
    00:02:37 4.9 SOUTH SHETLAND ISLANDS 
    12-JUN-2011 
    DATE     MAG REGION 
    23:24:47 4.7 NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN CHILE 
    21:41:57 4.6 ETHIOPIA 
    21:37:14 4.5 ETHIOPIA 
    21:03:23 5.7 ETHIOPIA 
    20:48:16 5.0 RYUKYU ISLANDS 
    20:32:40 5.4 ETHIOPIA 
    20:32:27 4.7 PERU-BRAZIL BORDER REGION 
    19:52:30 4.9 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 
    19:44:16 4.8 ETHIOPIA 
    19:37:42 4.7 ETHIOPIA 
    19:21:45 5.0 ETHIOPIA 
    18:01:19 4.5 ETHIOPIA 
    17:47:20 4.7 ETHIOPIA 
    17:18:09 4.8 ETHIOPIA 
    16:33:11 4.3 ETHIOPIA 
    16:24:44 4.8 ETHIOPIA 
    16:12:02 4.7 ETHIOPIA 
    16:09:30 4.5 ETHIOPIA 
    15:37:05 5.1 ETHIOPIA 
    14:51:56 4.4 LUZON, PHILIPPINE ISLANDS 
    14:30:49 4.7 SULAWESI, INDONESIA 
    12:57:57 5.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 
    11:56:03 5.0 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION 
    11:17:47 4.7 CHIAPAS, MEXICO 
    11:16:39 5.2 KOMANDORSKY ISLANDS REGION 
    10:17:56 4.8 OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA 
    08:09:47 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 
    06:34:40 4.9 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. 
    06:24:13 4.6 TALAUD ISLANDS, INDONESIA 
    05:24:26 5.3 VANUATU ISLANDS REGION 
    03:30:53 4.8 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS 
    00:38:02 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
  9. malagaview says:

    If there were any doubts about the link between low sunspot count and heightened earthquake and volcano activity

    My line of holistic thinking:

    => Low Sunspot count
    => Weaker Solar Magnetism
    => Weaker Earth Magnetic Repulsion towards the Sun
    => Greater Earth Magnetic Repulsion towards the Moon
    => More earthquakes and volcanoes triggered by repulsing the Moon
    => The Earth balances its magnetic force between the Sun and the Moon

  10. [...] Comments malagaview on Michele Casati: Graphics showi…malagaview on Michele Casati: Graphics showi…tallbloke on The timing of El Nino in [...]

  11. malagaview says:

    The Earth balances its magnetic force between the Sun and the Moon

    That implies planetary alignments with the Sun are significant…
    The 28 Oct 2010 Sun-Venus-Earth alignment was significant…

    Perturbation is a term used in astronomy in connection with descriptions of the complex motion of a massive body which is subject to appreciable gravitational effects from more than one other massive body.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perturbation_(astronomy)

    => Orbital Perturbations are induced by magnetic repulsion
    => Miles Mathis is correct: Gravity is a unified field

  12. tallbloke says:

    MV, maybe we could test your theory by looking to see if there is a diifference in the likelihood of siesmic events coinciding with Lunar perigee/apogee when the sun is more/less active? By the way, I’ve modified my previous comment as it is used int he intro to the new thread to add in your perigee obs. I’ve mentioned it before, but it was a timely reminder.

  13. Phil Clark says:

    Ulric Lyons said ‘I use a 179yr look-back for locations,’ which I presume refers to the period of Sun’s epitrochoidal perturbations about the solar system barycentre due to planetary orbits. Malaga View adds the relative tidal forces on earth due to lunar, solar, etc.
    What about the variable incremental solar tidal/gravitational force necessary to keep earth orbit following the sun’s perturbations? Minor maybe at +/-9-15%, but possibly significant?
    A hypothesis on ENSO: if lunisolar, etc tidal forces flex earth tectonic plates in addition to conventional ocean tidal impacts, does the implied incremental oblateness impact on ocean above supposed ‘flex zones’? If so, does this explain variations in surface current flows to restore ‘level’ water surface? In other words, El Nino/La Nina events and downstream barometric change effects reported as Southern Oscillation, etc.?

  14. tallbloke says:

    Hi Phil and welcome.

    The ‘epitrochoidal’ circuit takes around 60 years, but isn’t always as neat and tidy as the one shown in my avatar. Ivanka Charvatova found that epochs where the nicely defined epitrochoids predominate tend to associate with warm periods in the temperature record and higher solar activity levels. Conversely, when they get chaotic and ‘disharmonious’ activity drops and things get colder.

    http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2011/06/10/interview-with-ivanka-charvatova-is-climate-change-caused-by-solar-inertial-motion/

    The ~179 year period (which varies, averaging ~172 years), see the gas giants and some inner planet configurations come back to a repeat point… nearly.

    See Vuk’s FFT on the Nino 3.4 data on the hale cycle thread. It exhibits some intersting periods associated with solar planetary timings.

    http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2011/08/01/newell-climate-follows-hale-solar-sunspot-cycle/

  15. Phil Clark says:

    Thank you for your kind response
    I’m familiar and agree with Charvatova’s approach. I’m looking into the potential incremental gravitational force effects on earth of the solar perturbations.
    In trying to fit some of the pieces together to see if a coherent cause-effect slimate (probably including seismic events) sequence hypothesis can be assembled, I question whether sunspots, solar magnetic effects, ENSO and similar ‘numbers’ are anything more than downstream ‘effects’ In other words, if A and B are correlated, is it because they are both affected by C – and possibly also D, E and F.

  16. tallbloke says:

    Good questions. That’s what we’re working on too. I don’t think we’ll find neat chains of cause and effect though. I think the planets and Sun are working in a feedback loop which determines the orbital distances and the solar activity levels. This then affects climate, predominantly via ocean heat absorption, but the effect of solar activity level on cloud albedo helps determine surface insolation. The spectrographic analysis of the Nino 3.4 region SST’s reveals solar frequencies and seems to lead other ocean basin SST’s by 3-15 months.Those other basins have their own frequencies determined by geography and circulation. Geomagnetism is linked to the interplanetary magnetic field set by the heliomagnetic field, solar flare direction and changes in length of day which correlate to planetary motion too.

    Lots to work on…

  17. Phil Clark says:

    A total change of topic, but you might find Prof Murry Salby’s talk to the Sydney Institute of interest. It has been described as the AGW A-bomb.

    [audio src="http://www.thesydneyinstitute.com.au/wp-content/uploads/podcasts/2011/THE_SYDNEY_INSTITUTE_MURRY_SALBY_2_AUGUST_2011.mp3" /]

  18. Magnitude 5.8 – VIRGINIA

    http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/se082311a.html

    Magnitude 5.3 – COLORADO

    http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc0005idz.php

    No alignment Urans,Jupiter,mars….
    but

    External Alignment Jupiter – Venus – Saturn

    Alignment Earth – Mercury – Sun

  19. adolfogiurfa says:

    @Michele:
    Magnitude
    6.7
    Date-Time
    Friday, September 02, 2011 at 13:47:11 UTC
    Friday, September 02, 2011 at 10:47:11 AM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location
    28.422°S, 63.146°W
    Depth
    592.8 km (368.4 miles)
    Region
    SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA
    Distances
    31 km (19 miles) W of Anatuya, Santiago del Estero, Argentina
    130 km (80 miles) ESE of Santiago del Estero, Argentina
    257 km (159 miles) E of Catamarca, Catamarca, Argentina
    805 km (500 miles) NNW of BUENOS AIRES, D.F., Argentina
    Location Uncertainty
    horizontal +/- 16.4 km (10.2 miles); depth +/- 10.4 km (6.5 miles)
    Parameters
    NST=413, Nph=421, Dmin=620 km, Rmss=0.7 sec, Gp= 36°,
    M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=A
    Source
    Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

  20. Michele says:

    Hi rog,
    I have a post moderation.

    [edited the older posts, hope is now correct. co-mod, Tim]

  21. Ulric Lyons says:

    @Phil Clark says:
    August 4, 2011 at 12:04 pm

    “Ulric Lyons said ‘I use a 179yr look-back for locations,’ which I presume refers to the period of Sun’s epitrochoidal perturbations about the solar system barycentre due to planetary orbits…”

    No it refers to the relative positions of Earth, Venus, and the four gas giants, which repeat fairly well at 112 Venus synodic periods ~ 179.05yrs.

  22. Phil Clark says:

    Many thanks for the explanation, Ulric.
    I was comparing your earlier post with the Fairbridge 179 year solar perturbation cycle approximation and the essentially identical (for example) average of 178.4 years for the four cycles between AD1666 to AD2381.

  23. Michele says:

    14 Oct 2011 M6.7 Papua nuova guinea
    Jupiter-Earth-Venus

    21 Oct 2011 M7.2 Kermadec islands
    Earth-moon-mars