Thanks once again to Ned Nikolov, who has drawn attention to this press release from the Hubble Space Telescope website. It seems that real astrophysicists don’t have a problem proposing that a rise in the surface temperature of a celestial body can be brought about by an increase in the atmospheric mass of an inert gas… Or at least that that was the case back in 1998, when this press release dates from. You can easily spot the GHG caveat intro sections that doesn’t sit consistently with the rest of the piece.
hubblesite.org News Release Number: STScI-1998-23
Hubble Space Telescope Helps Find Evidence that Neptune’s Largest Moon Is Warming Up
Observations obtained by NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope and ground-based instruments reveal that Neptune’s largest moon, Triton, seems to have heated up significantly since the Voyager spacecraft visited it in 1989.
“Since 1989, at least, Triton has been undergoing a period of global warming – percentage-wise, it’s a very large increase,” said James L. Elliot, an astronomer at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA. The warming trend is causing part of Triton’s frozen nitrogen surface to turn into gas, thus making its thin atmosphere denser. Dr. Elliot and his colleagues from MIT, Lowell Observatory, and Williams College published their findings in the June 25 issue of the journal Nature.
Even with the warming, no one is likely to plan a summer vacation on Triton, which is a bit smaller than Earth’s moon. The five percent increase means that Triton’s temperature has risen from about 37 degrees on the absolute (Kelvin) temperature scale (-392 degrees Fahrenheit) to about 39 Kelvin (-389 degrees Fahrenheit). If Earth experienced a similar change in global temperature over a comparable period, it could lead to significant climatic changes.
Triton, however, is a very different and simpler world than Earth, with a much thinner atmosphere, no oceans, and a surface of frozen nitrogen. But the two share some contributing factors to global warming, such as changes to the Sun’s heat output, how much sunlight is absorbed and reflected by their surfaces, and the amount of methane and carbon monoxide (greenhouse gases) in the atmosphere.
“With Triton, we can more easily study environmental changes because of its simple, thin atmosphere,” Elliot explained. By studying these changes on Triton, the scientists hope to gain new insight into Earth’s more complicated environment.
Elliot and his colleagues explain that Triton’s warming trend may be driven by seasonal changes in its polar ice caps. Triton is approaching an extreme southern summer, a season that occurs every few hundred years. During this special time, the moon’s southern hemisphere receives more direct sunlight, which heats the polar ice caps. “For a northern summer on Earth, it would be like the Sun being directly overhead at noon north of Lake Superior,” Elliot said.
The scientists are basing a rise in Triton’s surface temperature on the Hubble telescope’s detection of an increase in the moon’s atmospheric pressure, which has at least doubled in bulk since the time of the Voyager encounter.
Any nitrogen ice on Triton that warms up a little results in a considerable leap in atmospheric pressure as the vaporized nitrogen gas joins the atmosphere. Because of the unusually strong link between Triton’s surface ice temperature and its atmospheric pressure, Elliot says scientists can infer a temperature rise of two Kelvin (three degrees Fahrenheit) over nine years.
Elliot and his colleagues list two other possible explanations for Triton’s warmer weather. Because the frost pattern on Triton’s surface may have changed over the years, it may be absorbing a little more of the Sun’s warmth. Alternatively, changes in reflectivity of Triton’s ice may have caused it to absorb more heat.
[My Bold] Full press release here:
For those interested, Ned mailed me this paper: Triton_Pressure_Temperature_Study_2010, which details a closer look at the atmosphere of Triton. Later today I’ll track down the Nature article and add any relevant material.