Major Arctic Oscillation Imbalance Predicted for the New Year

Posted: December 26, 2012 by tallbloke in Forecasting, general circulation, weather, wind

My thanks to Michele Casati for alerting me to this model run result from the French Meteo Service.

gfsnh-10-192

 

This would indicate things are likely to be warm and windy over the US and UK, and get very cold over Siberia and Russia.

Comments
  1. tchannon says:

    Well, Meteox disagree for the UK.

    This Friday a blow for north west Scotland.
    (don’t go near Iceland)

    Continues much the same as recently for most of us until change 1st/2nd Jan when a ridge of high pressure comes up from the south, little wind, chilly.

    My guess is we are at a switch point. Wait and see.

    Or here
    Storm

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=84&mode=0

    High pressure

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=192&mode=0

  2. Doug Proctor says:

    The planetary ying and yang.
    So
    In Calgary, where I am not, it is -32C. But in two weeks I will be. Warm is good. Cold kills the pine beetles that infest our forests, but even they take weeks of -35C. Everything else about cold is not good.

    So this warm-cold pair will chase themselves around the hemisphere until they merge?

  3. Stephen Richards says:

    The french Meteo service is the worst in Europe. It is my experience that they ar rarely correct 24hr ahead and never correct 5 days ahead.

  4. Stephen, this post is a stratospheric dynamics, the implications for the local weather…next future … 3,4 January in troposphere