I’ve started collecting a few of the Met Office published weather forecasts in addition to the weather station data, building an archive.
The UK Met Office are masters of obfuscation, vague language, handwaving yet for all the money poured in over the years their forecasting prowess is notorious. What follows is backed up by more details left for another time.
We have just had a minor blow in London, enough to cancel flights at the premier UK airport, brought down trees, at least one death. The BBC are going on about it as is the Guardian.
[update: Met Office hourly data for the 21st is now in and plotted PDF here (1.4MB) --Tim]
Note for comprehension, 16 to 30 days means that is how far ahead it is from the publication date.
Met Office 16 to 30 day forecast
UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Oct 2014 to Thursday 23 Oct 2014:
- The broadly northwest-southeast split in the weather conditions is showing signs of persisting through mid-October.
- This pattern would leave southern, central and eastern parts tending to see the best of the weather with conditions often fine and dry.
- Occasional bouts of rain should still be expected, and mist and fog patches may be a problem during morning rush hours.
- Under the fine weather it should still feel pleasant with temperatures a little above average for the time of year.
- Further northwest, conditions are likely to be more unsettled with more frequent outbreaks of rain, these perhaps accompanied by strong winds.
- Temperatures here should be closer to average or perhaps even just below at times.