http://news.nationalpost.com/2010/09/03/magnitude-7-4-quake-hits-new-zealand/
As I said in a post over a month ago, it looks like Earth’s crust is in for a creaky time about now.
Here’s hoping there are few casualties. The quake hit at 4.20am local time. All the best to those on South Island.
The BBC has this:
A 7.2-magnitude earthquake has struck off New Zealand’s South Island, the US Geological Survey has said.
The epicentre was 30km (20 miles) north-west of Christchurch, at a depth of 16.1 km (10 miles), it added.
A local newspaper reported widespread damage and power cuts. Christchurch is New Zealand’s third largest city with a population of about 340,000.
The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre said there was a risk of a tsunami along coasts within 100km of the epicentre.
New Zealand lies at the southern end of the so-called Pacific Ring of Fire, an arc of active and dormant volcanoes stretching along the eastern edge of Asia, north across the Aleutian Islands of Alaska, and south along the coast of North and South America.
The earthquake struck at 0435 on Saturday local time (1635 GMT on Friday), the USGS said, when most people would have been asleep.
The local newspaper, The Press, said it was felt widely across the South Island, including Christchurch and the nearby port city of Timaru, and that there were several aftershocks.
Police said damage and power outages had been reported as far afield as Dunedin, 360km (223miles) to the south-west
Tallbloke's Talkshop 
I was suggesting 20th September. Ah, well can’t win them all
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/06/10/that-solar-sinking-feeling/#comment-407106
USGS have it as a 7.0;
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
we get 7.0+ events most months;
http://neic.usgs.gov/cgi-bin/epic/epic.cgi?SEARCHMETHOD=1&FILEFORMAT=4&SEARCHRANGE=HH&SYEAR=&SMONTH=&SDAY=&EYEAR=&EMONTH=&EDAY=&LMAG=7.0&UMAG=9.0&NDEP1=&NDEP2=&IO1=&IO2=&CLAT=0.0&CLON=0.0&CRAD=0.0&SUBMIT=Submit+Search
Check out the uplift in the solar wind 3/4th August;
http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/last_events_20100805_0955/index.html
if you can predict that, then you can predict quakes.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
7.0+ events happen most months;
http://neic.usgs.gov/cgi-bin/epic/epic.cgi?SEARCHMETHOD=1&FILEFORMAT=4&SEARCHRANGE=HH&SYEAR=&SMONTH=&SDAY=&EYEAR=&EMONTH=&EDAY=&LMAG=7.0&UMAG=9.0&NDEP1=&NDEP2=&IO1=&IO2=&CLAT=0.0&CLON=0.0&CRAD=0.0&SUBMIT=Submit+Search
vukcevic says:
September 3, 2010 at 7:39 pm
BTW have you wonder where on earth are projected right ascensions?
Planetary Configuration: Implications for Earthquake Prediction and Occurrence in Southern Peninsular India
N.Venkatanatha
Earth has a 7.0+ event most months;
http://neic.usgs.gov/cgi-bin/epic/epic.cgi?SEARCHMETHOD=1&FILEFORMAT=4&SEARCHRANGE=HH&SYEAR=&SMONTH=&SDAY=&EYEAR=&EMONTH=&EDAY=&LMAG=7.0&UMAG=9.0&NDEP1=&NDEP2=&IO1=&IO2=&CLAT=0.0&CLON=0.0&CRAD=0.0&SUBMIT=Submit+Search
Had a long discussion with a friend yesterday (9/3/2010) about the position of the
planets, solar influences, and electro-magnetic influences.
She says that we are not done with major quakes and she fears the next one is
going to be that blasted Juan De Fuca plate “popping off” Now that the Quake in Christchurch happened (prayers to all there.) she feels that the west coast of north
or south America is next with the Juan DeFuca being likely-BTW she has had scientific training .-We’ll see….
My wife and I and our Friend moved from the Oregon coast when I hear of thing like
this I go out and hug my Basalt Column. (NE Oregon, USA)
One other thing-Jupiter and the Moon are going to be very close on or about the 22nd, as I recall. I wouldn’t write that time period off….
Too many irons in the fire and only one hammer, I have been distracted from earth quake data and production patterns, since I focused on Hurricanes…. Still processing daily ACE data.
All of the hype about a little CO2, the boxers day quake and tsunami in Sumatra wiped out 200,000 people in less than 5 hours, 20% more died of disease and injures over the next month.
Haiti still hasn’t recovered since she got kicked while she was down economically, after self stripping all of her forests, that were protecting her soils.
The triple conjunction 21st through 24th September is going to wiggle a lot of earth core jello, with rapid changes in LOD and electromagnetic surges. Be ready for some coal mine disaster stories as well, you know they will make the CO2 news people happy?
Stay away from loose brick buildings, overhanging cliffs, while you are watching all of the hurricanes go by at the same time, stay safe.
Richard, I have been watching your predictions play out and am impressed. I hope you are training others to help with your work as it needs to be expanded on. pg
Adolfo Giurfa says:
September 3, 2010 at 9:25 pm
You can go to; http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi
and set up hourly data retrieval out put to CSV format for download to find out….
I would like to make a movie of the hourly GOES photos with a small white open circle centered on the Moon’s declination and RA position for each of the frames. You can watch the effects of the daily moon over head tidal effects driving surges in precipitation patterns, and cyclone growth spurts, wobbles, and intensity surges.
You could also watch the timing and effects of the declinational tides as they progressed.
Turning suitable stills into a movie is not particularly difficult.
The likely major problem is that it does not work well as a movie. I am writing from been there.
If it is for yourself and there are not too many images, try putting them into a Presentation as a slide show. This works quite well because it is designed to always place the images in exactly the same screen position and has controls for rapid backwards and forwards.
Pdf is also possible but doesn’t work so well, screen positions, lack of control, speed.
An PDF example produced by imagemagik from png is downloadable from here
https://daedalearth.wordpress.com/uah-lower-troposphere-visualisation/
15M file.
Kind of trivial, with imagemagik installed something like
convert /*.png myname.pdf
Make sure you have lots of free memory.
That was very early on before I found ways to improve the images. Never did find a good way to present.
Movies? Don’t kid yourself it is a magic answer. If there is a huge problem it is the complete absence in most movie display software for single step, frame advance and reverse. As a normal speed running movie, fine. That isn’t what you want.
Beware also massive file sizes.
Movie?
One way is rename the files into the numbered sequence needed by the software and put all of them into one subdirectory. Some software when you “open” a source file for a directory like that goes”Oh, okay” and immediately reads the files. You can then review and edit, finally writing out a file in the format you want.
A good choice for stills format is .png
Png can use data compression and this is lossless. For this reason png is vastly superior for graphics, drawings, art, text especially and very low noise images.
jpg uses lossy compression and is only really suitable for photos, or if compression is turned off the files are huge.
Can’t remember definitely but I think I used VirtualDub, one of those low key old-glove pieces of software which actually works.
Twiddle, yup, try this, honest it is so simple it is hard. Literally open a directory containing the numbered stills. The hard parts is discovering an acceptable video output format.
http://www.virtualdub.org/blog/pivot/entry.php?id=34
So I am thinking the timing for the day of the CME needed for my hurricane forecast, to start showing up on about the 15th September, growing and rolling into view on the 24th through 29th September.
Take a look @ the heliocentric relationships on the 15th 16th of September 2010;
http://space.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/wspace?tbody=399&vbody=10&month=9&day=16&year=2010&hour=00&minute=00&fovmul=1&rfov=60&bfov=30&porbs=1&brite=1&showsc=1
Earth is going into the more rapid charging period just as Venus is coupling into the Neptune edge of the fan shaped ion stream passing through the inner planet neighborhood.
Increased possibility of some intense tectonic activity, between now and the 15th?
The relationship to the boxer day quake and Tsunami that lead the saturn earth conjunction by about 15 degrees…
http://space.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/wspace?tbody=399&vbody=10&month=12&day=26&year=2004&hour=00&minute=00&fovmul=1&rfov=60&bfov=30&porbs=1&brite=1&showsc=1
This tread is about a quake that occurred about 15 degrees ahead of the upcoming triple conjunction;
http://space.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/wspace?tbody=399&vbody=10&month=9&day=3&year=2010&hour=00&minute=00&fovmul=1&rfov=60&bfov=30&porbs=1&brite=1&showsc=1
I believe mention was made to a 15 degree lead time to other solar activity in another thread, and Lief was “all over it” about “pick a number you like effects?”
Thanks be that there were no fatalities. Especially considering everyone was in bed at the time and it was dark. Lots of building damage but not much collapse. Says something for first world building standards I guess.
Ulric, yes, I’m not claiming any great victory for my predictive powers.
Richard, any further updates on Hurricanes for the predictions thread? There will be a review of peoples predictions so far coming up in a new thread soon.
I posted some thing maybe too many links in the rubbish bin?
[rescued]
Tim Channon says:
September 6, 2010 at 2:41 pm
30,000+ images over 25 years x different forms IR, visual, WV, six bands total for GOES
Thats ~180,000 potential images to load and sequence, would like to be able to control speed, step time, direction, and single block steps.
These people are doing the Pacific area, but due to the blockage from the Himalayan mountains, you don’t see much North / South variation.
http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/index.html.en
Monthly archives here; http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/archive/monthly/
The GOES 11 and 13 show a much better pronounced pattern of lunar declinational tides, and I am sure the European Satellite coverage would show the transition back.
GOES photos are down loadable from; http://www.class.ncdc.noaa.gov/saa/products/welcome/
Still down loading them in 100 photo sequences per download request, series appears to be time limited, or I need to figure out the right GOES sat # for the requested periods.
http://www.class.ncdc.noaa.gov/saa/products/welcome
works
Back on topic, these things happen. NZ will wear a $4bn (minimum) bill for the earth’s shoulder shrug, and in 20 years time people will ask “where were you”, the general answer being “in bed”.
From NZ, life is good, property not so.
Cheers
Jeef
Jeef says:
September 8, 2010 at 9:51 am
“Back on topic, these things happen. NZ will wear a $4bn (minimum) bill for the earth’s shoulder shrug, and in 20 years time people will ask “where were you”, the general answer being “in bed”.
From NZ, life is good, property not so.”
That’s the right attitude, Jeef! Nothing you can do once its happened – expect the best, but prepare for the worst isn’t a bad philosophy for life.
I have been watching the vibrations of California for the last few months and see a very good possiability of a good size shake. Like that is news. The area north of L.A. and south of Parkfield is much too quiet. Where the San Andreas fault crosses the Tehachipe fault is under great stress and that quake swarm that is moving north from Baja is up to L.A. Glad I live way up north in the North Sacramento Valley. :-q pg
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/christchurch-earthquake/news/article.cfm?c_id=1502981&objectid=10673092
P.G. Sharrow says:
September 13, 2010 at 4:24 pm
Look above:
vukcevic says:
September 3, 2010 at 7:39 pm
I was suggesting 20th September
That would it be “The Terminator” 🙂
Well Venus has made the transit across the ion stream headed out to Neptune from the sun today, and is now progressing toward the bigger stream headed out to the Jupiter/Uranus pending conjunction.
http://137.229.36.30/cgi-bin/magnetometer/gak-mag.cgi
Look at the 1 week plot width to see the above and the month plot width to see Earth’s transit through the same area.
well maybe the past month to see Mercury’s transit through and a 2nd moth back to see the rest of the interactions.
Ulric Lyons says:
September 13, 2010 at 4:44 pm
Check for earthquake lights in youtube. The last ones I have witnessed were seconds after the earthquake and they were clearly a sudden ionization of the atmosphera/clouds passing from the dark mode to the glow mode, clearly a wave like discharge FROM the ground to the sky above.
Kind of like a pulse of Tesla coil energy passing through a very large stack of florescent tubes?
I wonder if the cause of earthquake lights is the piezoelectric effect?
Lots of quartz in the crust and plenty of pressure/movement before, during and after the event to provide the high voltage needed to produce the ‘auroral’ streamers and glowing sheets.