The original Arrhenius 1896 scientific paper is scientifically incorrect and a fraudulent basis for the California law AB32 which mandated the reduction of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) or CO2 emissions, and for the IPCC report (AR4, WG1, Ch1, p116). Adding more GHGs does NOT result in more warming. It is also noted that mandating the use of 25 or 33% renewable energy at 3 to 5 times the cost of fossil fuels(in Ca) results in doubling the cost of energy to the consumer/voters and in excessive inflation to all users such as transporters and manufacturers.
The Arrhenius justification for “more GHG emissions means more warming” (see Wikipedia for “Arrhenius” & ref 3 for the paper) or Delta_F=a*ln(C/Co), or the rise in temperature is proportional to the concentration of the GHGs, FAILS in the evening when the temperature decreases while the concentration is constant or increasing slightly due to mankind’s CO2 emissions. It FAILS in the morning when the temperature increases dramatically even thought the concentration is constant or increasing slightly. It FAILS when the concentration of Water Vapor, the most potent GHG, increases when the humidity increases when it rains, but the temperature does NOT increase.
The reason the Arrhenius Law fails is because it incorrectly uses the concentration of the GHG or CO2 in the air instead of the concentration of the GHG “IN USE” for the Greenhouse Effect. (GHE). More properly it should use the number of energy photons IN USE for the GHE since it is this added energy that causes the warming, and for every photon absorbed there must be a GHG to absorb it. Adding a GHG can NOT increase the warming unless an added photon of energy is also used in the GHE.
Arrhenius improperly assumed (in Sec 5) that whenever there is more CO2 then it is used for an increasing GHE. The reality is that there is an excess of GHGs in the air over the number of absorbable photons, and hence the GHE warming is limited by the available energy, not by the available GHGs. Every night when the available energy coming in decreases, then the number of GHGs in use also decreases and these unused GHGs are then “released ” to the air to become more excess GHGs. Whenever man generates more GHGs they are simply added to the unused excess GHGs in the air. They do not add to the GHE because there are no available photons to combine with the excess GHGs. It is obvious that there are more GHGs than photons, because if it was the other way round with more photons than GHGs, then the photons would just continue to increase the very real Greenhouse warming effect until all the GHGs (CO2 and water vapor) in the ocean were in use and vaporized and the oceans had dried up.
The idea of excess GHGs available also raises the question of the validity of water vapor feedback mechanisms in the models. If an added photon comes in why would it pass up the opportunity to get absorbed by a readily available excess water vapor molecule, when it could wait for man to generate more CO2 to increase the temperature to then result in more available excess water vapor molecules to cause the feedback warming effect? Mother Nature usually does things in the most efficient method possible. This then eliminates the concept of AGW, or anthropogenic, man caused global warming, and puts the burden back on natural mother nature, and it means that man’s geo-engineering can not control the temperature unless it can reverse the effects of gravitational potential energy.- ie by inventing anti-gravity!
Given that the increasing energy causes the increasing GHE and warming, and that the incoming solar insolation, the sole source of energy used by the models and IPCC, has been essentially constant since the 1970s while the globe has been warming, then it is necessary to identify another source of cyclic energy on Earth to account for the cooling and warming. Papers are available at http://www.scribd.com called Gravity causes Climate Changes. http://www.scribd.com/doc/27343303/Gravity-Causes-Climate-Change and http://www.scribd.com/doc/19476991/John-Dodds-Wobble-Theory-of-Global-Warming- to explain how gravity causes eccentricity which causes warming and cooling cycles as Earth’s energy goes from potential energy to kinetic energy like a pendulum. These gravity cycles correspond to the measured 12 and 60 year (1880. 1940, 1998…) Earth temperature cycles and to the longer cycles identified in GISP2 ice cores. The gravitational effects of Jupiter in causing the thousands of kilometers of eccentricity in the Earths orbit and hence the cyclic variation in Earth-Jupiter distance and gravitational potential energy far exceed the effects which solar insolation have on the Earth. The increased kinetic energy from the potential energy results in warmer ground temperatures which then radiate more absorbable energy photons. These effects have not been considered in the Models, IPCC reports or the Ca AB32 regulations.
It is the coincident current nearest approach by both Jupiter, Uranus and Venus that is causing the minimization of potential energy and maximization of kinetic or heat energy and the current 2009/2010 peak in Earth warming. This is mostly caused by the 12 year Jupiter orbital cycle which last approached this peak , coincident with Venus, during the 1998 warming peak. It is the increase in available kinetic energy from primarily the decreased gravitational potential energy due to nearness of Jupiter and Venus in the last half of 2010, that has enabled the weather extremes of increased Atlantic hurricanes, the movement of Hurricane Earl in Sept as far north as Nova Scotia in Canada, the appearance of a tornado in New York in Brooklyn and Queens in Sept 2010 etc.
In summary cyclic Earth eccentricity causes Earth cooling and warming, not the availability of excess Greenhouse gases.
John’s full paper is here:
and there is a 16 page sumary here: