Vukcevic notes the magnetogram from the GOES W135 satellite doesn’t look too healthy, and comments:
It looks it blew-up around 9.30 pm this evening, by last night’s solar flare which reached it around 3pm today.
Here’s hoping this is a temporary glitch…







It looks like it just had a nasty shock, looks like it is in recovery mode.

Kp index is up, first time for a while,
there were 2-3 more flares today, you can see them here:
http://sdodata.oma.be/latest_movies/aia_0211.avi
Vuk, nice avi. SDO has been a big success.
Vuk: Deja Vu?:
Magnitude 6.6 – OFFSHORE MAULE, CHILE
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.Magnitude 6.6
Date-Time Monday, February 14, 2011 at 03:40:10 UTC
Monday, February 14, 2011 at 12:40:10 AM at epicenter
S. Australia and New Zeeland communications may be affected:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/index.html
Rog save this one.
Leif Svalgaard says:
February 14, 2011 at 3:24 pm
Both assume that the sun is governed by real cycles, which there is hardly any evidence for.
I am inclined to think that SC25 might be a large cycle…
I’ll post it on the predictions page. Pity he didn’t say … compared to cycle number ## 🙂
Thanks for the heads-up Vuk, amazing how quickly this current flurry of activity erupted.
Still lots of solar activity at present and I think more CME’s to come – exciting times!
Makes me wonder if this isn’t the storm before the calm and the sun is going to hibernate again for the rest of SC24 once this current burst of activity is over.
Contrary to Leif’s hunch, my guess is that SC25 is going to be another long, slow washout of a cycle, with the world cooling to levels last seen in the Dalton minimum. Thanks to SDO, we’ve all got a ringside seat to watch a variable star in action.
Sorry about posting under a different handle – I use Boris on less hospitable sites when I go warmista bating… :))
Well you’ve blown that cover then. We’re under scrutiny here at the moment. 😉
You can see this morning CME flash ( pause it at 9.42) here:
http://sidc.oma.be/movies/current_c3.mpg