Christmas Quiz: tallbloke style

Posted: December 25, 2011 by tallbloke in climate

Welcome to the annual quiz. As always the beautiful Anthea will be assisting contestants with their pens and paper…

Winning prize is a ‘raid at tallbloke towers’ Josh Cartoons commemorative mug.

Who Said – and When?

1) “Within 15 years, global temperatures will rise to a level which hasn’t existed on Earth for 100,000 years.”

2) “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,”

3) “We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it.”

4) “The Arctic is screaming,”

What do these numbers refer to?

5) 1.9 metres (6ft 3in) by 2100

6) likely to rise by more than 2C across the UK by 2050, says major new Met Office report

What:

7) “climate scenarios do not fully represent the uncertainties inherent in climate prediction”

8.) “aerosols are thought to be responsible for a large fraction of the seeds that form cloud droplets.”

9) “is Earth’s “biggest heat bucket.” ”

10) “has long been sounding an alarm, because their continent is so close to the northern magnetic pole”

Which Email numbers: (H/T David Appell)

11) Shukla/IGES:
[“Future of the IPCC”, 2008] It is inconceivable that policymakers will be
willing to make billion-and trillion-dollar decisions for adaptation to the
projected regional climate change based on models that do not even describe and simulate the processes that are the building blocks of climate variability.

12) Thorne/MetO:
Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical
troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous. We need to communicate the uncertainty and be honest. Phil, hopefully we can find time to discuss these further if necessary […]

13) Thorne:
I also think the science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it
which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run.

14) Carter:
It seems that a few people have a very strong say, and no matter how much talking goes on beforehand, the big decisions are made at the eleventh hour by a select core group.

15) Wigley:
Mike, The Figure you sent is very deceptive […] there have been a number of dishonest presentations of model results by individual authors and by IPCC […]

16) Overpeck:
The trick may be to decide on the main message and use that to guid[e] what’s included and what is left out.

17) Wilson:
I thought I’d play around with some randomly generated time-series and see if I could ‘reconstruct’ northern hemisphere temperatures.
[…] The reconstructions clearly show a ‘hockey-stick’ trend. I guess this is
precisely the phenomenon that Macintyre has been going on about.

18) Bradley:
I’m sure you agree–the Mann/Jones GRL paper was truly pathetic and should never have been published. I don’t want to be associated with that 2000 year “reconstruction”.

19) Adams:
Somehow we have to leave the[m] thinking OK, climate change is extremely complicated, BUT I accept the dominant view that people are affecting it, and that impacts produces risk that needs careful and urgent attention.

20) Jones:
We don’t really want the bullshit and optimistic stuff that Michael has written […] We’ll have to cut out some of his stuff.

21) Mann:
the important thing is to make sure they’re loosing the PR battle. That’s what the site [Real Climate] is about.

22) Wilson:
Although I agree that GHGs are important in the 19th/20th century (especially since the 1970s), if the weighting of solar forcing was stronger in the models, surely this would diminish the significance of GHGs. […] it seems to me that by weighting the solar irradiance more strongly in the models, then much of the 19th to mid 20th century warming can be explained from the sun alone.

23) Jones:
I’ve been told that IPCC is above national FOI Acts. One way to cover yourself and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the process.

24) Briffa:
UEA does not hold the very vast majority of mine [potentially FOIable emails] anyway which I copied onto private storage after the completion of the IPCC task.

Google is your friendtm

Those who prefer not to have their searches monitored by the spooks can use this handy anonymous proxy

Answers Monday. Points will be given, and points mean prizes. 🙂

Comments
  1. I think #9 is “Barnsley”, but I can’t be entirely sure…

  2. Zeke says:

    And who said “Bring me the tallbloke towers”? (: Thanks Tim

    What’s on the blanks for the search warrant form?

    Merry Christmas resonances and joyous new year frequencies, in this grand new journey about our beautiful electric variable star! Zeke

  3. Brian H says:

    A potpourri of the obvious and the idiotic ..

  4. Aussie says:

    no 1 is James Hansen 1986

  5. Aussie says:

    no 2 is David Viner in 2000

  6. Aussie says:

    no 3 sounds very much like Phil Jones.

  7. tallbloke says:

    Aussie is in the lead.

    More questions added.

  8. komodobitedo says:

    http://berkeleyearth.org/
    Funded, in part, by Koch Bros.
    .
    As an aside, where’s YOUR data? What’s YOUR methodology? Where do I address the FoI requests?

  9. Anteros says:

    Number 9 is Kevin Trenberth’s underpants

  10. Anteros says:

    Number 7 is most likely ‘All of them’

  11. John Silver says:

    “Winning prize is a ‘raid at tallbloke towers’ Josh Cartoons commemorative mug.”

    A chalice of freethought.

  12. GregO says:

    No 4 is Dr. Mark Serreze Director, National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) Professor, Dept. of Geography. And I agree with Aussie on No 3 but he beat me to it : ).

    Here’s my Climategate 2.0 answers:

    11) Shukla is #5131
    14) Carter is #1611
    15) Wigley is #2884
    16) Overpeck is #4755
    17) Wilson is #4241
    22) Wilson is #2267
    23) Jones is #2440

    Merry Christmas all!

  13. Joe's World says:

    TB,

    Is the answer …people who think they are scientists?
    🙂
    Merry Christmas buddy, and good health!

  14. adolfogiurfa says:

    A common answer: The UN. The hidden answer: The “Club of Rome”

  15. adolfogiurfa says:

    @Zeke Merry Christmas resonances and joyous new year frequencies, in this grand new journey about our beautiful electric variable star! Zeke
    Hope to resonate and to perceive those higher frequencies….The evil ones won´t withstand them, in special after the next Christmas. 🙂

  16. tallbloke says:

    GregO nudges ahead.

  17. Aussie says:

    no 5 refers to the alleged expected sea rise. It sounds a lot like the utterances that come out of the kooks in Australia such as Tim the flim flam man 🙂

  18. Aussie says:

    no 4 is Mark Serreze in 2007 relating to Greenland

  19. Aussie says:

    no 5 is Joe Romm Dec 9 2009

  20. Aussie says:

    The correct answer for no 5 is Joe Romm but it still sounds like the absurdity that comes from Tim Flannery 🙂

  21. Aussie says:

    oops again on nr 5. The answer is predicted sea level rise, and Joe Romm is the writer of the article I found on google 🙂

    nr 6 was announced by Hilary Benn 18 June 2009

  22. Aussie says:

    nr 7 is a quote from an IPCC report relating to the construction of climate models. It was a quote relating to the uncertainties of the scenarios and the choices made when constructing models.

  23. Aussie says:

    nr 9 is the ocean

  24. jorgekafkazar says:

    5) the thickness of the plod’s UEA “hacker” file
    6) the entire CRU 2000 to 2011 temperature dataset
    8) spittle spewed by Joe Romm
    9) Al Gore’s bum
    10) Deja Thoris

  25. tallbloke says:

    Aussie back in the lead, just a couple of email numbers clinches it!

  26. hey, all quotes are in the FOIA README.txt, as I suspected. Yes I’ve solved them all but I’d rather earn the right to win another way… I shall post that textfile asap (next couple days) onto our website, with some more notes. They really are important quotes.

    Seasons greetings to all.

  27. Aussie says:

    not sure about nr 10 but the article that is supposed to have the quote is about cosmic rays and sunspot activity.

  28. Aussie says:

    12) Thorne/MetO 1939
    13) Thorne 3066

  29. tallbloke says:

    OK, I’m declaring Aussie the winner. Commendations too for the humorous replies. Kevin Trenberth’s underpants as the big heat bucket deserves a special mention, well done Anteros.

    Aussie: keep an eye on your inbox for instructions, check your spam filter if nothing comes through and comment here to let me know if you can’t find an email.

  30. Aussie says:

    Tallbloke this was a lot of fun. I actually learned something from the exercise :), including using research skills (via Google of course!!)

    The email questions worried me and having visitors over Christmas meant I was not spending a lot of time checking for the answers.

    So thank you for a great challenge.

  31. Matthew W says:

    YOW~!!!
    Tough quiz !!!!

  32. Aussie says:

    @Matthew W,

    If I could find the answers then it could not have been too tough. Google was my friend 🙂

  33. Latimer Alder says:

    Anthea??

    And there’s me imagining that Samantha would be scoring while sitting on your right hand. To musical accompaniment by Colin Sell 🙂