We were told by the mainstream solar physicists Dikpati and Hathaway back in 2008 that they expected solar cycle 24 to be one of the largest ever. Their prediction model failed. I predicted in 2009 that the cycle 24 solar maximum monthly sunspot count might reach around 50 SSN, similar to levels reached in the Dalton Minimum at the start of the 1800’s.
Leif Svalgaard predicted 70-75 SSN on the basis of a heuristic approximation derived from the strength of the solar polar magnetic fields. With some help from some creative counting by SIDC, who started including the tiniest of ‘spots’, or ‘pores’ in the SSN figures he has been proved right in terms of the peak sunspot number reached so far, but according to Geoff Sharp’s ‘Layman’s Sunspot Count’ his and my lower predictions have been proved correct. Today the Sun is all but spotless. At 9am this morning the last small spot can be seen disappearing over the Eastern Limb of the Sun. This is a highly anomalous situation for this stage in the solar cycle, recently annotated on Leif’s daily updated chart of solar activity with the Legend:
Welcome to Solar Max
This is one sorry assed solar maximum, and the planetary theorists have been expecting a big solar slowdown around now, as predicted by Theodor Lanscheidt in 1988. Tim C and I came to the same conclusion last year, with our study on the cyclicities making up the solar variation. We published a plot giving a 50 year forecast:
Methods of solar prediction using cycles analysis are proving to be more useful than those used by mainstream solar physicists. The reason for this is they represent an underling reality which holds across long time spans, unlike the capricious and unstable output of overtorqued dynamo models that rely on inherent instability to generate variation. As our research and theory development moves forward, I expect we’ll be adding more strong evidence that the consonance between planetary motion and solar activity first intuited by Johannes Kepler in 1619 and elucidated by Theodor Landscheidt in the 1970’s and ’80’s is real, and the need to reorganise our conceptions of the nature of interplanetary space will become more urgent. Something is transmitting force which can’t be accounted for within the current paradigm, the fundamental forces of gravity and electro-magnetism are more effective across the void than theory can currently explain.
Time to revisit the long believed in interplanetary medium Einstein eventually rejected on the basis of falsely reported results perhaps.