Bob Tisdale has a post up at WUWT which adds model trends to his regular monthly update Sea Surface Temperature (SST) graphs covering all the ocean basins. It’s a big, comprehensive survey. Great work, thanks Bob. There is so much to digest however, that it’s easy to suffer ‘information overload’ and get sidetracked by details, so I’ve copied a smaller number of his graphs to illustrate a discussion of inter-hemispheric heat transport.
Firstly, let’s take a look at the distribution of anomalies across latitudes since 1980
A few observations:
1) The model fails at representing the changes in the Earth’s biggest and most mobile heat reservoir.
2) the lack of SST trend in the Arctic and Antarctic indicates that increased arctic melting over the period is due to warmer air above and perhaps less cloud cover in arctic summer since 1980.
3) SST at 60N increased while SST at 60S decreased
4) The equatorial SST doesn’t change much
A few inferences:
1) The model is junk.
2) Hansen’s extrapolations of north Atlantic temperatures to the arctic are are junk science, and mean his GISS global temperature ‘data’ is junk too.
3) Because the southern ocean is a lot bigger than the oceans at 60N, the small decrease in southern ocean surface temperature at 60S may well explain much of the rise in northern ocean surface temperatures at 60N
4) The equatorial region runs pretty much flat out getting rid of excess heat no matter what else is going on, but see below.
Let’s take a look now at three graphs for the Northern oceans combined, the equatorial ocean and the southern ocean.
A few observations:
1) The model predicts warming of the whole of the worlds oceans, and fails in 2 out 3 cases.
2) Because most of the Earth’s land masses are in the north, the northern oceans are smaller compared to the southern oceans plus the equatorial ocean.
3) CO2 is a well mixed gas in the atmosphere, but the distribution of temperature change in the world’s oceans obviously overwhelms any effect claimed for it.
A couple of inferences:
1) The models are junk. Did I already say that? I’ll say it again. THE MODELS ARE JUNK. Where’s that ‘blink tag’ when you need it?
2) Most of ‘global warming’ was actually a transfer of heat from the southern and equatorial region to the northern temperate latitudes where professional worriers like James Hansen and Phil Jones live.
3) The smaller northern oceans had to lose heat content to the air in order to equilibriate and so caused along with the El Ninos, a disproportionate increase in land and lower tropospheric temperatures.
4) Jim Salinger’s Phd thesis re-jigging New Zealand temperature records to show strong warming over the later C20th, done at the climate research unit under Phil Jones tutelage, are at best a demonstration of utter incompetence, or if they knew what they were doing, a scientific fraud.
Finally, lets have a look at the Reynolds weekly data Bob Tisdale posted and consider why the global ocean SST’s have on average been decreasing since 2004 when the Sun went quiet and cloud increased:
1) ‘Global warming’ was a hemispheric phenomenon caused by the transfer of ocean heat content from the southern hemisphere to the northern hemisphere plus a reduction in cloud cover under a highly active Sun.
2) As I’ve been saying for the last four years; now that the cloud amount is increasing again, the quiet sun won’t recharge the ocean heat content as much during la Nina, and further El Ninos will deplete the OHC further. La Nina ‘recharged’ OHC while cloud fraction was reduced, but the party is over.
3) The solar activity/cloud link is obvious, whether due to the Svensmark effect or Stephen Wilde’s latitudinal climate zone shifts. It was identified years ago by Nir Shaviv, who nailed it with his JGR paper.
Summary for policy makers:
1) Realise that the party is over, global warming is a busted flush and the public won’t tolerate having their intelligence insulted for much longer. “punchy take home messages, and a few well-crafted tables and figures” aren’t going to rebuild trust and confidence.
2) Separate climate research from political interference.
3) Remove Phil Jones, James Hansen and other incompetents from their positions as custodians of climate data.
4) Admit past mistakes and move quickly to correct climate science as it is disseminated and taught.