Archive for June, 2013

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Image courtesy Ball Aerospace. Final instrument integration into the satellite core. TIM will be near the rectangular plate at the top with LSAP engraved.

 

I decided to do a quick followup to see when the jury rigged TSI bridging satellite was going to be launched, “mid-2013” is vague.

Supplement to this Talkshop article

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Prof Sutton said: “Blocking episodes can persist for several weeks, leading to extended cold periods in winter.

“As well as such natural processes, we know that weather across the UK and Europe is being affected by higher levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. For example, rainfall events have become more intense and this is quite likely linked to a warmer climate. There is also some evidence linking the record low amounts of Arctic sea ice to UK weather, but this evidence is not yet conclusive either way.”

The Scotsman “Stand by for 10 years of rain-soaked summers”

IS?

The much talked about Met Office one day ramble through the brambles was yesterday, media are bleeding little scratchings.

Well Mr Sutton, blocking can occur any time and that is not your field.

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Image from PDF on NASA/NIST TSI Workshop July 18-20, 2005,
R. C. Willson click image or link

The brief presentation linked above shows some of the story, more follows…

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United Nations running a poll

Posted: June 17, 2013 by tchannon in government, Politics, propaganda

NEWSFLASH! Action on climate change voted bottom of world’s priority heap

Hilary Ostrov has a mighty strange report about the United Nations using an on-line public survey.

Be no spin there would there? The story is double take variety, I don’t know what to make of it.

Item at “The View From Here” linked here.

h/t to Donna Laframboise at NoFrakkingConsensus

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One of the groups working on untangling cloud peculiarity are based at Reading University, nicely close to Chilbolton Observatory.

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I’ve quickly pulled out files from Chilbolton which show the cloud ice altitude, a sharp line of attenuation change. I’ve added a horizontal line and included the ground temperature plot for the day, ice level follows.

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Plot from Wilcox Solar Observatory
(http://wso.stanford.edu/gifs/Dipall.gif)

This is fairly important news given the sun is strongly a magnetic entity, moreover this might be in line with some predictions about a kind of magnetic collapse.

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NowindBy , and Edward Malnick in the Telegraph

A new analysis of government and industry figures shows that wind turbine owners received £1.2billion in the form of a consumer subsidy, paid by a supplement on electricity bills last year. They employed 12,000 people, to produce an effective £100,000 subsidy on each job.

The disclosure is potentially embarrassing for the wind industry, which claims it is an economically dynamic sector that creates jobs. It was described by critics as proof the sector was not economically viable, with one calling it evidence of “soft jobs” that depended on the taxpayer.

The subsidy was disclosed in a new analysis of official figures, which showed that:

• The level of support from subsidies in some cases is so high that jobs are effectively supported to the extent of £1.3million each;

• In Scotland, which has 203 onshore wind farms — more than anywhere else in the UK — just 2,235 people are directly employed to work on them despite an annual subsidy of £344million. That works out at £154,000 per job;

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Guest post from Doug Proctor who has some interesting questions he’d like some help answering:

I’ve copied this from a comment I made on today’s Tisdale WUWT post wrt IPCC models on hemispheric ice changes. He noted the disconnect between observation and modelled mean outcome, but also addressed the complaint that you “cannot” compare observation to one specific outcome, even if it is the “mean” outcome. I’ve struggled with this idea myself, but also came to understand why: like in an Angus-Reid poll where they say the results are +/- 6%, 19 out of 20 times, there is a poll that would be done, if all polls were done, that gave (1 in 20 times) a result that’s significantly different from the mean, and significantly different from the ordinary noise (the +/- 6% in this example). Though a legitimate retort, it avoids the most important question a questioning mind might ask: does the observation, regardless of what it is, tell us anything about the fundamentals we thought were present, or is the observation truly an aberration? And if an aberration, can we shift from the aberration position (for polls, change the opinions of those polled) to the expected position (at least the mean)?

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Met Office brainstorms UK bad weather

Posted: June 14, 2013 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

Another gem from Paul Homewood

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

 

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http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2013/jun/13/met-office-uk-bad-weather-cause

 

Have these idiots really got nothing better to do? The weather in recent years has simply returned to what was normal in the 20thC, as the Central England Temperature series shows.

 

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/

 

The only thing that has been unusual is the few years of warmer than usual weather seen at the turn of the century.

It is, of course, highly inconvenient for the Met to have to keep on explaining why their forecasts of a rapidly warming climate have failed to appear. But isn’t it time they simply admitted their mistakes, apologized and moved on?

View original post

Paul Homewood investigates:

Watts Up With That?

By Paul Homewood

thI have previously looked at the potential costs of the Climate Change Act, for instance here. But now I want to look at its potential impact on energy supply.

Let’s start with the basic targets that have been set for emissions reduction. The Act commits to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 80% from 1990 levels, by 2050. Five Year Carbon Budgets are set to plan in more detail how this is to be achieved, and currently these are in force for up to 2027.

Although the First Budget for 2008-12 already shows a saving of 23%, most of this occurred long before the Act, partly because of a mass switch from coal to gas fired electricity during the 1990’s, and partly because of the decline of manufacturing in the UK. The Fourth Budget demands a further reduction of 35% from 2008-12 levels.

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Apart from the obligatory nod to AGW in the final sentence of this abstract, this paper looks like a promising roundup of the natural factors involved in the ~60yr climate cycle, with the notable exception of geomagnetic considerations.

Evidence for two abrupt warming events of SST in the last century
Costas A. Varotsos, Christian L. E. Franzke, Maria N. Efstathiou, Andrei G. Degermendzhi

Theoretical and Applied ClimatologyJune 2013

We have recently suggested that the warming in the sea surface temperature (SST) since 1900, did not occur smoothly and slowly, but with two rapid shifts in 1925/1926 and 1987/1988, which are more obvious over the tropics and the northern midlatitudes. Apart from these shifts, most of the remaining SST variability can be explained by the El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Here, we provide evidence that the timing of these two SST shifts (around 60 years) corresponds well to the quasi-periodicity of many natural cycles, like that of the PDO, the global and Northern Hemisphere annual mean temperature, the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone, the Southwest US Drought data, the length of day, the air surface temperature, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and the change in the location of the centre of mass of the solar system.

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Figure 1

Pinatubo produced the 2nd largest volcanic eruption of the 20th century after Mt Katmai decided to vanish in 1912, heard 1500 miles away.

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From Breitbart.com H/T Benny Peiser

evil-catBreitbart News can exclusively report on Tuesday night that the Chinese Academy of Sciences has translated and published a Chinese edition of two massive climate change volumes originally published by The Heartland Institute in 2009 and 2011.

The volumes, Climate Change Reconsidered and Climate Change Reconsidered: 2011 Interim Report, are chock full of 1,200 pages of peer-reviewed data concerning the veracity of anthropogenic climate change. Together, they represent the most comprehensive rebuttal of the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change findings, which have been the basis of the climate change legislation movement across the planet.

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Oh my but as I suspected the inc..t is appearing as news breaks. Think I mentioned this previously so I was watching and waiting.

Daily Mail online has it

Britain’s top black woman judge Constance Briscoe charged with intending to pervert course of justice over Chris Huhne’s points swap case

Article here

As I recall lived close to the Huhne’s and were friends.

Some caution over a live court case is needed here and in comments.

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From Science Daily:

rain_forest_clearing_cameroonUsing wood for energy is considered cleaner than fossil fuels, but a Dartmouth College-led study finds that logging may release large amounts of carbon stored in deep forest soils.

Global atmospheric studies often don’t consider carbon in deep (or mineral) soil because it is thought to be stable and unaffected by timber harvesting. But the Dartmouth findings show deep soil can play an important role in carbon emissions in clear-cutting and other intensive forest management practices. The findings suggest that calls for an increased reliance on forest biomass be re-evaluated and that forest carbon analyses are incomplete unless they include deep soil, which stores more than 50 percent of the carbon in forest soils.

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Reblogged from GWPF

Before And After The Temperature Standstill

  • Date: 11/06/2013 Dr David Whitehouse

The absence of any significant change in the global annual average temperature over the past 16 years has become one of the most discussed topics in climate science. It has certainly focused the debate about the relative importance of greenhouse gas forcing of the climate versus natural variability.

In all this discussion what happened to global temperature immediately before the standstill is often neglected. Many assume that since the recent warming period commenced – about 1980 – global temperature rose until 1998 and then the surface temperature at least got stuck. Things are however not that simple, and far more interesting.

As Steve Goddard has interestingly pointed out recently using RSS data going back to 1990 the Mt Pinatubo eruption in 1991 had a very important effect on global temperatures.

screenhunter_131-jun-09-06-19

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The Grey Lady sings. 

from-1997.5

What to make of a Warming Plateau

By 

The rise in the surface temperature of earth has been markedly slower over the last 15 years than in the 20 years before that. And that lull in warming has occurred even as greenhouse gases have accumulated in the atmosphere at a record pace. As unlikely as this may sound, we have lucked out in recent years when it comes to global warming.

The slowdown is a bit of a mystery to climate scientists. True, the basic theory that predicts a warming of the planet in response to human emissions does not suggest that warming should be smooth and continuous. To the contrary, in a climate system still dominated by natural variability, there is every reason to think the warming will proceed in fits and starts.

But given how much is riding on the scientific forecast, the practitioners of climate science would like to understand exactly what is going on. They admit that they do not, even though some potential mechanisms of the slowdown have been suggested. The situation highlights important gaps in our knowledge of the climate system, some of which cannot be closed until we get better measurements from high in space and from deep in the ocean.

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hudsonOur favourite weatherman has something to tell us:

An expected return to more changeable weather through this week reminded me of the work of one of our best known and most respected climatologists Professor Hubert Lamb.

Professor Lamb is credited with discovering an empirical relationship between low solar activity and an increased probability of higher pressure in winter across more northern latitudes – which leads to colder winters across the UK and Europe.

Another part of his work was to analyse weather patterns over 100 years to try and see if any repeat themselves across the UK, with some success.

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Murray Salby’s Hamberg Lecture has been posted on youtube by Sebastian Lüning. H/T Pierre Gosselin.

Of great importance is Salby’s finding that in large part, CO2 is controlled by global temperature, rather than the other way round as the warmists claim. Regulars might recall the discussions we’ve had on this issue before. here and here. The final ten minutes of the presentation are devastating to the warmist perversion of climate science. At the very end of the lecture Salby tells us he met Feynman at Caltech many years ago. He quotes the Feynman Chaser to round off the lecture.


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Catastrophic CO2 Warming propagandist John Cook, Hockey Jockey Michael Mann, and trick cyclist Stephan Lewdandworkshy meet at a conference after some co2 spewing airline flights. A Talkshop prize will be awarded to the poster of the best caption submitted by Wednesday night:

cook-man-lew