Congratulations to Nicola Scafetta and Richard Willson on the publication of their new paper, made freely available by high impact journal Pattern Recognition in Physics :
Multiscale comparative spectral analysis of satellite total solar irradiance measurements from 2003 to 2013 reveals a planetary modulation of solar activity and its nonlinear dependence on the 11 yr solar cycle.








There is a lot in the paper. Of particular interest for me is the MEM content which is partly where I am trying to go. There is more to be extracted yet. Eventually I hope this will allow untangling of the non-linear processing within the sun and hence the confused direct picture we see.
Good data is vital.
Roger, thank you very much.
However, your “Rob Willson” should be “Richard Willson”.
Thanks Nicola, fixed. Hurrying too much in my lunchbreak. Please give Richard my apologies.
The IPCC tells us that CO2 which exists in minute quantities in the atmosphere (~ 400 parts per million) is the tail that wags the climate dog. The IPCC relies on models that assume mechanisms to “Amplify” the effect of increased CO2 concentration. The change in CO2 concentration since 1850 was only +120 ppm or +0.012% of our atmosphere.
According to Wang, Lean, and Sheeley (The Astrophysical Journal, 625:522-538, 2005 May 20) TSI averages 1.361 W/m2 with a long term variation of +/- 0.061%. The IPCC rejects the idea that solar activity can affect climate because this variation is so tiny range. Yet the variation is an order of magnitude greater than the variation in CO2 concentration.
Are there mechanisms that “Amplify” the tiny variations in TSI? Kirkby’s CLOUD experiment at CERN suggests that solar activity affects cloud formation with the potential to amplify the effects of solar activity variations.
Maybe the IPCC’s CMIP climate models would do a better job if they factored in solar variability.
Congratulations Nicola and Richard on getting your paper published. Your sterling efforts showing the link between the planets, Sun, and Earth’s climate are helping to open people’s mind to possibility that we may need a paradigm shift when it comes to the Earth’s climate.
Thank you to the authors (and bloggers 😉 what a wealth of information 😎
I’ve watched the video and study the paper, especially “This demonstrates that nonlinear mechanisms are regulating the phenomenon.”
Nicola, is it possible to differentiate the effects of the planets by the strength and orientation of their magnetic fields?
Pochas. Not yet, but there does seem to be an effect on their rotation rates.
I believe this is empirical evidence which will support Miles Mathis’ application of his Unified Field / Charge Theory to the solar system. See also, for example, Mathis’ essay on The Cause of Axial Tilt, http://milesmathis.com/tilt.html.
Today on kaltesonne.de, article about neolithic Ireland behind paywall:
The timing of the climatic shifts inferred from the Templevanny Lough record is in agreement with those of moisture/precipitation and temperature reconstructions from northern and western Europe and the Alps, suggesting that the studied period was characterised by a high-frequency climate variability. The results of the present study imply that human development during the Irish Neolithic was influenced by climatic variations. These climatic shifts correspond to variations in solar activity, suggesting a solar forcing on climate.