The Tale Of Two Reports

Posted: February 12, 2014 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

Paul Homewood compares and contrasts two recent MET-O reports, one of which we have recently looked at for it’s sea level claims.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

image

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2014/01/03/uk-weather-how-stormy-has-it-been-and-why/

On 3rd January, the Met Office issued a report about the wet and stormy weather during December.

Amongst their conclusions were:

1) It had been the stormiest month since 1993.

2) The jet stream had been sitting in the right place to bring those storms to the UK.

3) The jet stream has been particularly strong over the previous few weeks. This was partly due to particularly warm and cold air being squeezed together in the mid-latitudes, where the UK sits. This could be due to nothing more than the natural variability which governs Atlantic weather.

4) However, looking at the broader picture, there is one factor which could increase the risk of a stormy start to winter and this is called the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO for short).

This is a cycle, discovered by the Met Office in 1959, which involves a narrow band of fast…

View original post 334 more words

Comments
  1. “All the evidence suggests there is a link to climate change”

    It is high time for legislation to forbid using the verb “suggest” in all communications of government agencies.

  2. tchannon says:

    What do you suggest?

  3. @tchannon — You are not a government guy, you may use it freely.

    In phrases containing “suggest”, especially with an inanimate subject like “evidence” it is next to impossible to identify an unequivocal logical structure and without it they are inherently unverifiable, no definite truth value can be assigned to them.

    This is because meaning of the verb is ambiguous, it can either mean “imply” or “evoke” (call to mind). In the former case there is no legitimate reason to tergiversate by avoiding a clear cut logical operator, while in the latter one it is a proposition about the psychological condition of the audience, which has nothing to do with the subject matter.

    For example I would never use the phrase “homosexuality suggests a link to pedophilia”, because one of its alternate translations, “homosexuality implies a link to pedophilia” is demonstrably false, while the other one “homosexuality evokes a link to pedophilia” may well be true, depending on the stance of the audience.

    As far as I can see it is quite impermissible for government sponsored scientists to play such silly language games in their official role.

  4. tom0mason says:

    I wonder what their ‘suggestion’ would be for the 14th century weather anomaly?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Famine_of_1315

  5. oldbrew says:

    The MetO heading says in bold ‘windiest month since 1993’.

    Below is a weak statement saying ‘suggests [sic]…it is one of the windiest months since 1993’. Feeble.

    ‘the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO for short)’

    Isn’t there a pill for that 😉

  6. tchannon says:

    14th century data?

    Wooden. Rotten data full of Mannian worm holes.

  7. The Great Famine was caused by climate change due to China’s Forgotten Industrial Revolution during the Song dynasty, obviously.

  8. Bitter&Twisted says:

    Let’s start a “Slingout Slingo” campaign.
    The stupid b***h is useless, she must go.
    Same goes for the rotound numpty who chairs the EA, Stupid Smith.