Archive for April, 2014

Earth-Moon-Phi

Let’s take a virtual trip to the Moon with an idea of Johannes Kepler to guide us. In this image we have the Moon placed next to the Earth – what are we seeing?

The triangle has one side running from the centre of the Moon to the centre of the Earth, one running at right angles to it from the Earth’s centre point to the edge of the Earth, and the third side completing the triangle.

Since it’s a right-angled triangle, the third side is also the hypotenuse of a Pythagorean triangle. But it’s a bit more than that too.

According to NASA’s Moon factsheet, the ratio of the equatorial radius of the Moon to that of the Earth is 0.2725.

That means if the Earth radius is given a value of 1, the Moon radius will be 0.2725 on the same scale (i.e. as a ratio), making a combined Earth+Moon radius of 1.2725, which is almost identical to the square root of phi (1.27202) – a 99.96% match.
http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/moonfact.html

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The question is prompted from reading this report on the BBC website:
‘World’s Fair: Isaac Asimov’s predictions 50 years on’
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-27069716

Tesla’s concept of free wireless electricity never made it to market, but maybe one day…
Tesla_colorado

An obvious one might be the fusion reactor, as Asimov foresaw: “An experimental fusion-power plant or two will already exist.”

Chances must be good (?) if schoolboys can already build their own:
‘All my friends think I’m mad’
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/science-news/10679744/British-schoolboy-13-becomes-youngest-to-build-nuclear-fusion-reactor.html

More likely is the commercial development of methane hydrates as an abundant energy source, if or when shale gas has run its course or is politically a no-no:
‘Methane hydrate: Dirty fuel or energy saviour?’
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27021610

Or we could all be spurning fuel technology, piling on the thermal clothes and going around on bicycles, hoping the sun shines and the wind blows 😉

Greenpeace succeed in achieving nothing. First oil.

Posted: April 22, 2014 by tchannon in Energy

Image

Image Gazprom.

First oil has been shipped.

 

Story from Moscow Times.

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Why The IPCC Is Wrong About Bio-Energy

Posted: April 21, 2014 by oldbrew in solar system dynamics

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Being wrong about things seems to be a way of life at the IPCC.

A UK committee of MPs demanded the brakes be put on biofuel crops last year, but the IPCC is obviously not listening to that. They seem oblivious to reason sometimes – or was it most times?

Former petrol station selling wood for burning

Former petrol station selling wood for burning

Carbon Counter

So, the IPCC has released their report on climate change mitigation. Naturally various people are in spin-mode. Greenpeace’s “journalism” wing have “15 key findings from the IPCC mitigation report.” Unsurprisingly the findings that do not suit Greenpeace’s agenda are not key.

And some journalists are doing a woeful job in doing their job. Damian Carrington of the Guardian tells us that the IPCC have concluded that mitigating climate change is “eminently affordable.” Meanwhile in a separate story the Guardian reports the IPCC telling Mr. Carrington that they are not allowed to make such conclusions.

But instead of hectoring journalists and complaining about the inevitable platitudes doled out in response to this report, I will instead suggest that the IPCC needs a good kick up the arse.

Consider what they say about bio-energy in the summary for policy-makers.

The table on page 18 informs us that…

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The rush to build onshore wind farms is getting too much for some rural councils.

wind_Ard

One spokesman in Scotland says:
Our community council felt overwhelmed by the number of wind farm proposals being planned for our area.’

Official policy seems to be ‘the more the merrier’ –  avoid application backlogs.

So councils are under pressure to say yes and say it soon, squeezing the timetable for due democratic process.

Full story here:
Dumfries and Galloway councils seek wind farm moratorium

‘Fifty community councils from across Dumfries and Galloway have called for a moratorium on planning consent for wind farms in the region.’

Greenland – Raised Beaches

Posted: April 19, 2014 by oldbrew in solar system dynamics

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Another thought-provoking analysis. Raised beaches are of particular interest in the planetary theory currently being developed by various contributors to Tallbloke’s Talkshop.

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Thanks to Tim Cullen at Malaga Bay for this piece. Raised beaches have been found also at Hudson Bay and connected with planetary periodicities, e.g. by Rhodes Fairbridge.

http://www.mitosyfraudes.org/Calen2/Rhodes.html

Another intriguing feature discussed here is ‘the other Grand Canyon’ under the ice in Greenland.

MalagaBay

Greenland 1910

The Encyclopædia Britannica Eleventh Edition [1910–1911] provides a very intriguing summary of the raised beaches that had been discovered in Greenland.

These discoveries enabled the Encyclopædia Britannica to conclude that “the whole of this large island has been raised, or the sea has sunk, in post-glacial times” and that “the upheaval has been greater in the north”.

Numerous raised beaches and terraces, containing shells of marine mollusca, &c., occur along the whole coast of Greenland, and indicate that the whole of this large island has been raised, or the sea has sunk, in post-glacial times, after the inland ice covered its now ice-bare outskirts.

In the north along the shores of Smith Sound these traces of the gradual upheaval of the land, or sinking of the sea, are very marked; but they are also very distinct in the south, although not found so high above sea-level, which seems to…

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Article by Peter Morcombe (gallopingcamel) with some assistance from Tim Channon.

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While investigating Nikolov & Zeller’s “Unified Theory of Climate” it seemed odd that professional scientists could not agree what the temperature of an airless Earth should be. Given that one needs to know this in order to compute the Greenhouse Effect (GHE), I tried to settle the question by analyzing the Diviner LRE data that accurately mapped the Moon’s surface temperature. This effort failed as my spreadsheet could not handle even the “Level 3” data. The Diviner team did much better and showed that the Moon’s average temperature is 197.3 Kelvin.

While the temperature of the Moon is now known with impressive precision, would an airless Earth have the same temperature or would the different rates of rotation have an effect?

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………….A good attempt to try and see through the fog of the ‘climate wars.’

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

This past week, there have been several essays and one debate that provide some good perspectives on what we don’t know about climate change, and whether we should be alarmed.

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Guest post from Roger Helmer, MEP for the East Midlands.

energy-mix

The Energy Muddle and the €uro Elections.
by Roger Helmer MEP 17-4-14

I recently heard that a senior spokesman for the UK energy industry had suggested that the success of “smaller parties” in the forthcoming Euro elections could be problematic for the energy industry.  I took this as a veiled reference to UKIP.  The quote, as I’ve been given it, reads: “An outcome which would undoubtedly be difficult would be if the European Parliament becomes composed of a large number of smaller parties, because when that happens, coherency is not as good.  Although energy is a competency which still sits with separate countries, there is a chunk that is decided on a pan-European basis which we could see get in quite a muddle.”

Asked to comment, I had several observations (no surprise there!).  First, what’s a “smaller party”?   With hard work and a fair wind, UKIP may well win the largest share of the UK vote, and be the largest UK delegation.  Not a “smaller party” at all in Brussels terms.
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Talkshop readers will remember that some time ago, we had a guest post from Raghu Singh about a gravity theory he has been developing. Since the discussion here, Raghu got his paper published in the General Science journal and received a lot of feedback. That led to some reworking and he has now re-written his paper. The latest version of his model has had some theoretical success. In email Raghu tells me:

Gravity-1“My primary goal has been to explore gravitational radiation. More than one theory can explain several gravitational phenomena – except gravitational radiation, which one and only one theory shall explain. Physics does not have that one experimentally confirmed theory of gravitational radiation as of now. Astrophysicists claim, rightly so, that there are indirect evidences of the existence of gravitational waves, but those are not evidences on the physics of gravitational radiation (i.e., its emission, propagation, structure, speed, and polarization).

I used the revised model to calculate the orbital shrinking of pulsars PSR B1913+16, the results are astonishing. The model yields 3.71 mm/period; general relativity yields 3.5 mm/period. This is the ultimate test for any gravitation theory. Hulse and Taylor received Nobel Prizes for applying general relativity to the orbits of PSR B1913+16

Physics has been waiting for several decades just to detect gravitational radiation; must it wait longer? Our increasingly vast knowledge of the strong nuclear, the weak nuclear, and electromagnetic interactions notwithstanding, deciphering gravitation is essential to the survival of the species beyond the solar system and the Milky Way – as the great Professor Hawking would like to say.

A Constructive Model of Gravitation

Raghubansh P. Singh

Abstract
The paper presents a physical model in which mass fields and momentum fields mediate gravitational interactions.

The model addresses: Gravitational interaction between masses, between mass and energy, and between photons; Gravity’s effect on spectral lines, time periods of atomic clocks, and lengths of material rods; Gravitational radiation; Mercury’s orbital precession rate; and the Pioneer effect. Of particular importance, it calculates gravitational radiation power emissions from the moon, the planets of the sun, and the binary pulsars PSR B1913+16. It reflects upon time.

The model rediscovers the initial predictions of general relativity. It makes new predictions:

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Gone with the wind

Posted: April 16, 2014 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

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Another turbine project hits the dirt. Good stuff.

From the too not-funny to be as funny as it should be dept:

Thunder-Bay-OPG-Generating-StationOntario is now the first jurisdiction in North America to fully eliminate coal as a source of electricity generation. The Thunder Bay Generating Station, Ontario’s last remaining coal-fired facility, has burned its last supply of coal. Operated by Ontario Power Generation, Thunder Bay Generating Station was the oldest coal-fired station in the province. The plant is scheduled to be converted to burn advanced biomass, a renewable fuel source.

The province has replaced coal generation with a mix of emission-free electricity sources like nuclear, waterpower, wind and solar, along with lower-emission electricity sources like natural gas and biomass. The move to bio-mass rather than to natural gas has raised concerns in Thunder Bay. NOMA and Common Voice Northwest, and the City of Thunder Bay have all expressed concerns.
See more

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Dynamic solar system.

Lights in the Dark

A 750-mile (1,200-km) -long feature spotted on Saturn’s A ring by Cassini on April 15, 2013 could be a new moon in the making (NASA/JPL-Caltech/SSI) This 750-mile (1,200-km) -long feature spotted on Saturn’s A ring on April 15, 2013 could be a new moon in the making (NASA/JPL-Caltech/SSI)

Congratulations! It’s a baby… moon? A bright clump spotted orbiting Saturn at the outermost edge of its A ring may be a brand new moon in the process of being born, according to research recently published in the journal Icarus.

“We have not seen anything like this before,” said Carl Murray of Queen Mary University in London, lead author of the paper. “We may be looking at the act of birth, where this object is just leaving the rings and heading off to be a moon in its own right.”

Read the rest of this article here.

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Heh. Good ol’ Joe. Always good for a laugh. When it comes to icy hyperbole he is unparalleled in the universe. Or is it that he is *from* a parallel universe…

Real Climate Science

Joe Romm reported today that missing Arctic sea ice caused the cold winter in the East, and the California drought. This stunning new research is worth a closer look. In fact you may need a magnifying glass to find the missing ice, which controls all evil things on the planet.

ScreenHunter_229 Apr. 15 21.55

http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_daily_extent.png

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Cosmic Rays, Sunspots, and Beryllium

Posted: April 15, 2014 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

Watts Up With That?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

In investigations of the past history of cosmic rays, the deposition rates (flux rates) of the beryllium isotope 10Be are often used as a proxy for the amount of cosmic rays. This is because 10Be is produced, inter alia, by cosmic rays in the atmosphere. Being a congenitally inquisitive type of fellow, I thought I’d look to see just how good a proxy 10Be might be for solar activity. Now most folks would likely do a search of the literature first, to find out what is currently known about the subject.

I don’t like doing that. Oh, the literature search is important, don’t get me wrong … but I postpone it as long as I possibly can. You see, I don’t want to be mesmerized by what is claimed to be already known. I want to look whatever it is with a fresh eye, what…

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wpid-nowind.jpeg

From The Irish Times:

A negotiated agreement to facilitate green energy exports from the midlands by a 2020 EU timeframe has not been reached, Minister for Energy Pat Rabbitte has said, meaning the midlands energy export project will not proceed.
The deal had envisaged 2,300 wind turbines being built across the midlands between now and 2020 to supply 5,000 megawatts to the British market.
Green Party leader Eamon Ryan responded to the announcement saying Ireland was walking away from renewable energy, while a wind energy lobby group expressed concern at the talks pull-out, saying a deal could have been reached.
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Tim writes: No apology for the headline

A little aside has led to a snippet leading to Chilbolton Observatory.

image-788.jpg

Credit Nimbus227
Rolls-Royce Griffon aero engine (Mk 57/58?) at the Midland Air Museum

The Talkshop moved onto the question of hydrocarbon formation deep inside the earth, from there I brought up manufacture from seawater and a usage harking back to WWII aircraft. A comment mentions the hydrocarbon formation via the German chemical industry, processes used today.

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P-51 Mustang, Fly Navy, Fly seawater

Posted: April 12, 2014 by tchannon in Carbon cycle, Energy

Tim writes: I’m not in the slightest impressed by fantasy “could”, “might”, “future”, just do it. The U.S. Naval Research Laboratory have done just that except the price for this little party trick, I hate to think.

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A nice warm day! (Photo: U.S. Naval Research Laboratory) model P-51 [*]

Navies are very interested in technology where that might be a military advantage. Here I see spin as an environmental statement being put onto military interest, creating practical liquid fuel without access to land. The two stroke aero-model engine is running from feedstock extracted from seawater, plus electricity. The former is easy enough, the latter is the rub over real world usage. If you have nuclear power there is plenty of electricity.

The process is not so far from Talkshop Fossil fuels puzzle. It only needs sea-floor calcium carbonate sediment to be subduct and cooked with deep heat in the presence of catalytic iron to produce hydrocarbons, nature’s recycling.

Article at NRL

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Fossil fuels puzzle

Posted: April 12, 2014 by oldbrew in Astrophysics, Carbon cycle, Energy, Geology, Uncertainty

Do all so-called fossil fuels originate from fossils or not?
It’s a puzzle, sometimes called the abiotic (non-biological) argument.

Dinosaur fossil  [image credit: wikipedia]

Dinosaur fossil
[image credit: wikipedia]

We know there’s methane elsewhere in the solar system:

‘The presence of methane on Saturn’s moon Titan and in the atmospheres of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune is cited as evidence of the formation of hydrocarbons without biology, for example by Thomas Gold. (Terrestrial natural gas is composed primarily of methane). Some comets contain “massive amounts of an organic material almost identical to high grade oil shale (kerogen),” the equivalent of cubic kilometers of such mixed with other material; for instance, corresponding hydrocarbons were detected during a probe fly-by through the tail of Comet Halley in 1986.’

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abiotic_oil#Extraterrestrial_argument

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Dear Dyno-Rod

Posted: April 11, 2014 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

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Poetry and Prose corner on Friday. Dirty limericks allowed 🙂

juxtaposed

It’s really sweet of you to want
To come and save the world.
I see you’ve really hurled yourself
Wholeheartedly into the role and
Read among your pearls you’re
Even putting out requests for
Volunteers – oh, by the way: down
Here, they’re simply called ‘apostles’

Oh, and speaking of the words of
Gloss and sleazy preaching profit:
Is that muppet, IDS, upset to find
He’s now competing for the title
‘Best Messiah Hired’ yet?

And ‘Dyno-Rod’? You silly sod!
Your ‘saviour’ said he wants you for
A sunbeam, not he wants the drains
Cleaned. (Metaphorically, of course,
That’s needed too but not by you –
Your ilk is the pollutant) You’ve
Confused, by your Self-magnitude,
The end of that Beatitude – It isn’t

Blessed are the meek,
For they shall inherit the dirt..

You leeching, wondrous berk. It isn’t
Actually your Earth, no matter how
You prey. You’ve merely…

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