US Major Hurricane Strikes Peaked In The 1950s – Now At An All-Time Record Low

Posted: August 26, 2014 by oldbrew in alarmism, Forecasting, Uncertainty, wind

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Looks like another example of the Al Gore effect…

Real Science

In the 1950’s the US averaged about one major hurricane strike per year. Now we average zero per year.

ScreenHunter_2303 Aug. 25 10.28

HURDAT Re-analysis Chronological List of All Hurricanes

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Comments
  1. ren says:

    Low temperature of the Atlantic with Africa related to the circulation. Low temperature surface currents.

    Currently hurricane may arise in the Pacific west of the Gulf of California. There is a high temperature surface of the ocean.
    http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-66.74,26.49,636

  2. oldbrew says:

    Another case of crystal ball-gazing gone wrong.

    ‘Al Gore, laughingstock: A look back at his hurricane predictions’

    http://www.ihatethemedia.com/al-gore-laughingstock-a-look-back-at-his-hurricane-predictions

    That post is 3 years old but little has changed re hurricane patterns as the chart above shows.

  3. ren says:

    It’s not the end.

    [mod] this relates to the Bardarbunga volcano

  4. The range on the frequency axis is only 0-1 strikes per year..So not much variation anyway..

    [reply] yes, but it only refers to hurricanes of categories 3 – 5 which are the least common types

  5. ren says:

    Sorry for the entry of a volcano, but it is very important for the winter in Europe.

    [reply] depending on whether or not it blows its top

  6. ren says:

    Sorry, very important information. The sudden jump of cosmic rays.


  7. oldbrew says:

    Note the extremely low pressure of Camille in 1969 – 909 mb.

    ‘In total, Camille killed 259 people and caused $1.42 billion (1969 USD, $9.13 billion 2014 USD) in damages. To this day, a complete understanding of the reasons for the system’s power, extremely rapid intensification over open water and strength at landfall has not been achieved.’

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Camille

    ‘the second strongest U.S. landfalling hurricane in recorded history’
    ‘Estimates put sustained winds around 175 miles per hour (282 km/h) but the true speed will never be known since the weather equipment was destroyed at landfall.’

  8. ren says:

    It can be seen as the jet stream breaks up hurricane.
    http://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/atlantic/satellite

  9. ren says:

    The increase in radiation above the Arctic Circle, is the result of a magnetic storm.

    http://www.n3kl.org/sun/images/noaa_satenv_half.gif?

  10. Brian H says:

    This is not only an all-time low vs. the past, but the future, too. You can’t get lower than zero.

  11. oldbrew says:

    Only 3 landfalling hurricanes altogether in the last 5 years, of which none in high categories 3/4/5.

    One of those was Sandy which IIRC insurers rated as a tropical storm i.e. not officially a hurricane when it reached land.

  12. ren says:

    Weak magnetic storm has caused large increase in radioactive radiation at cruise altitudes.
    Not are neutrons.

  13. ren says:

    What is Bárðarbunga?
    Information on the central volcano

    27.8.2014

    There are about 30 known central volcanoes, or volcanic systems, in Iceland. Bárðarbunga, the second highest mountain of Iceland; ca 2000 meters above sea-level, is one of them. The volcano is placed in northwestern Vatnajökull ice cap and therefore covered with ice.

    The enormous size and nature of Bárðarbunga was not fully recognized until it was observed in 1973 on an image from a satellite, 800 km above Earth (see below). A caldera in the volcano’s crown, 11 km long on the longer side, is covered with approximately 850 m thick glacial ice. Eruptions related to the central volcano can occur anywhere in the caldera, on the sides of the volcano and also in the fissure swarms to the NA and SW of the volcano, for a distance up to 100 km from the central volcano.

  14. ren says:

    Whether low pressure over Iceland September 1 may affect the volcanic eruption?
    http://earth.nullschool.net/#2014/09/01/1200Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-20.40,62.11,1106

  15. oldbrew says:

    An expanded version of this thread here:

    ‘Nothing To See Here – Move Along’
    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/08/28/nothing-to-see-here-move-along-9/

  16. ren says:

    The edge Dyngjujökull by Holuhraun, view to the north. Note, that the glacier appears dark on the photo. Cracks can be seen, e.g. by the little lake in the center of the photo, and they stretch towards north away from the lake. White streaks below left are probably cracks in the glacial ice. Photo: Matthew J. Roberts.

    [reply] Ren: these posts should be on the Bardarbunga thread really.

    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2014/08/20/bardarbunga-volcano-alert-in-iceland/

  17. ren says:

    Sorry, but in a strange way a hurricane, magnetic storm and volcano can have lot in common.

  18. ren says:

    Hurricane and volcano could cause flooding in Iceland. Magnetic storm is associated with changes in pressure over the pole.

  19. ren says:

    Remains of “Cristobal”

    29.8.2014

    A deep and sharp low will approach Iceland from the southwest on Sunday, 31st August.
    Southerly and southeasterly winds are expected, 25-25 m/s, and very strong gusts near mountains. Considerable precipitation will probably follow in all of the country, especially in the Southeast, but winds will calm down by evening.

    Temperatures will be 10-15°C. This air-mass is warm and all the precipitation will be rain, even at the highest ice caps.

    Since this is the first severe weather after the summer season, people are advised to check on their property and fasten loose objects. This low is the remains of “Cristobal” which caused damage in the Caribbean last week-end.
    http://en.vedur.is/about-imo/news/nr/2975