The Cost Of Liz Truss’ Nuclear Future

Posted: December 21, 2014 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

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Paul Homewood points up more holes in government thinking on energy.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

New DEFRA Secretary, Liz Truss, was given a bit of a mauling by Andrew Neil last week, but what drew my attention was her constant reference to expansion of nuclear power.

So, let’s see how that might work out.

Current capacity looks like this.

GW
Coal 21
Gas 35
Oil 2
Nuclear 10
Hydro 4
Wind 11
Bio 2
TOTAL 85

With peak demand running close to 60GW, consumption likely to rise during the next decade, and the need for a sensible reserve, we would certainly need at least 90GW of capacity by 2030.

Wind and solar cannot be included in any calculations of capacity, as they are intermittent, while all but 1GW of current nuclear at Sizewell B is due for closure well before 2030.

Assuming that the current level of gas capacity remains in place as standby, we would need 55GW of nuclear capacity, equivalent…

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Comments
  1. This is market failure, caused by successive feeble governments, and now the collapse of oil. Only solution now is for government to step in and build the buggers themselves. Will still cost us, but less than commercial nuclear. Government long term debt is cheaper. An omnishambles, I think.

  2. oldbrew says:

    ‘government thinking on energy’

    AKA let’s do what the EU says whether it makes any commercial sense or not, plus maybe one or two horrendously complex and difficult to build nuclear plants at double or more what they should cost over their lifetime.

    ‘Finland’s Olkiluoto 3 will start operations in 2018, 13 years after work began on the first-of-a-kind EPR’
    http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN-Olkiluoto-3-start-up-pushed-back-to-2018-0109147.html

    The EPR plant is already on order, the other one if built would be Chinese.

    http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NP-UK-government-paves-way-for-Chinese-nuclear-plant-18061401.html

  3. vukcevic says:

    My other electricity supplier is EDF, they email their customers:
    Origine 2013 de l’électricité vendue par EDF :
    79,3 % nucléaire
    14,4 % renouvelables (dont 9,3 % hydraulique)
    3,3 % charbon,
    1,7 % gaz
    1,0 % fioul
    0,3 % autres
    Indicateurs d’impact environnemental sur http://www.edf.fr

  4. A C Osborn says:

    Roger have you seen this article by Chris Booker, it exposes DECC for what they are abunch of fantasy world dreamers. It is quite shocking.

    http://www.thegwpf.com/christopher-booker-the-insanity-of-zero-carbon-britain/

  5. Kon Dealer says:

    What do you expect?
    Truss is yet another PPE (Oxford) graduate.
    Parliament is stuffed with them.
    This “education” will not have prepared her one iota for any discussion on anything science based, or related.

  6. Bernd Palmer says:

    Incredible. He repeats the questions several times and she finds all types of excuses for not giving an answer. Not one single answer to simple and clear questions. This woman doesn’t know what she is talking about. What fool has put her in charge?

  7. Kon Dealer says:

    Bernd- have a guess.
    Another PPE graduate (Camerloon)