Archive for January, 2015

Location Date Magnitude2
1. Chile May 22, 1960 9.5
2. Prince William Sound, Alaska March 28, 19643 9.2
3. Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands March 9, 1957 9.1
4. Japan March 11, 2011 9.0
5. Kamchatka Nov. 4, 1952 9.0
6. Off western coast of Sumatra, Indonesia Dec. 26, 2004 9.0
7. Off the coast of Ecuador Jan. 31, 1906 8.8
8. Offshore Maule, Chile Feb. 27, 2010 8.8
9. Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands Feb. 4, 1965 8.7
10. Northern Sumatra, Indonesia March 28, 2005 8.7

Here’s a rough plot of these biggest quakes against sunspot number

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Recntly, NASA released data from the OCO satellite borne instument measuring CO2 emissions across the globe. The December data with a map of the Earth’s rainforests in the image below clearly shows where most CO2 is being emitted.

oco-rainforests

But looking at NASA’s ‘Earth Now’ page for CO2, you wouldn’t recognise the true situation.
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Reposted from the Climate Sceptic Party. H/T the Hockey Schtick

How did many usually sensible experts get “GLOBAL WARMING” so very wrong?

VERY SIMPLE…..

Oops! One wrong equation caused the climate scare!

feedback-equation

RED FACES all around among the profiteers of doom. A wrong equation that falsely triples the tiny direct warming caused by doubling CO2 concentration has been discovered and exposed in a major peer-reviewed paper just published in the Science Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences  (LINK – pdf), one of the world’s top peer review science journals.

No rogue equation means no climate crisis.
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Oldbrew: The Scottish renewable energy show rumbles on

Posted: January 29, 2015 by tallbloke in Energy, Shale gas, wind
Tags:

The Scottish renewable energy show rumbles on…
josh-hammer-of-the-scots

Scotland’s top judge calls for new ‘energy court’ to handle renewables and shale gas disputes’ (Jan. 29, 2015)

But that idea may already be running out of…er, gas:
The Scottish government has announced a block on planned fracking operations, pending further inquiries. (Jan. 28, 2015)

Meanwhile the RSPB has put the wind up offshore renewable energy developers with legal action.
Now some major projects will be held up for months at least.

‘RSPB Scotland sent shockwaves through the sector in Scotland earlier this month after a last-minute move to seek judicial review of Mr Ewing’s decision to grant consents for the Neart na Gaoithe, Inch Cape and Seagreen Alpha and Bravo arrays.’

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Metro

Map showing where the tremor was felt (Picture: British Geological Survey) Map showing where the tremor was felt (Picture: British Geological Survey)

A second earthquake in two days has struck the UK.

The latest earthquake, measuring 3.8 on the Richter scale, hit the East Midlands village of Cottesmore, in Rutland,at 10.25pm last night, according to the US Geological Survey.

It came after an earthquake with a magnitude of 2.9 was recorded in Winchester on Tuesday.

Residents took to Twitter to tell of their shock after realising an earthquake had struck.

Sally Smart wrote: ‘Earthquake wow that was a biggen!! Thought a truck was coming through the house #adrenalinepumping.’

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DECC’s Dumb Global Calculator Model

Posted: January 29, 2015 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

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Kevin Marshall demonstrates the fraudulence of DECC’s new online CO2 reduction model. YOUR money is used to propagandise and tax YOU with fraudulent pseudoscience. Use your influence as a voter on May 7th to end this nonsense. UKIP will abolish DECC, saving the taxpayer £9billion a year by 2020.

ManicBeancounter

On the 28th January 2015, the DECC launched a new policy emissions tool, so everyone can design policies to save the world from dangerous climate change. I thought I would try it out. By simply changing the parameters one-by-one, I found that the model is both massively over-sensitive to small changes in input parameters and is based on British data. From the model, it is possible to entirely eliminate CO2 emissions by 2100 by a combination of three things – reducing the percentage travel in urban areas by car from 43% to 29%; reducing the average size of homes to 95m2 from 110m2 today; and for everyone to go vegetarian.

The DECC website says

Cutting carbon emissions to limit global temperatures to a 2°C rise can be achieved while improving living standards, a new online tool shows.

The world can eat well, travel more, live in more comfortable…

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Kepler Space Telescope [NASA]

Kepler Space Telescope [NASA]


A very interesting report of a new science paper has appeared in the New Scientist:

‘William Ditto and his colleagues at the University of Hawaii, Manoa, compared the two strongest oscillations, or tones, made by the variable star KIC 5520878, using observations by NASA’s Kepler space telescope. They noticed that dividing the frequency of the secondary note by that of the primary, or lowest, note gives a value near the “golden ratio” – a number that shows up often in art and nature and is close to 1.618′

So is it real or did they perhaps just imagine it?
Let’s start with the abstract :

‘The unprecedented light curves of the Kepler space telescope document how the brightness of some stars pulsates at primary and secondary frequencies whose ratios are near the golden mean, the most irrational number.’

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Nicola Scafetta has co-authored a paper with Adriano Mazzarella on the correlation of the spectral frequencies of M7 and greater earthquakes and oceanic oscillations and length of day (LOD). He ascribes those oscillations and the LOD variation to the astronomical forcings identified in earlier papers which have similar spectral frequency peaks.

2015fig9

Abstract

We compare the NOAA Significant Earthquake Historical database versus typical climatic indices and the length of the day (LOD). The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) record is mainly adopted because most of the analyzed earthquakes occurred at the land boundaries of the Pacific Plate. The NOAA catalog contains information on destructive earthquakes. Using advanced spectral and magnitude squared coherence methodologies, we found that the magnitudeM7earthquake annual frequency and the PDO record share common frequencies at about 9-, 20-, and 50- to 60-year periods, which are typically found in climate records and among the solar and lunar harmonics.

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Ole Humlum: Climate 4 You annual report 2014

Posted: January 28, 2015 by tallbloke in Analysis, climate
Tags:

Ole Humlum has produced a report of 2014 climate (pdf 2.1mb), download and enjoy. Ole’s use of a 1998-2006 baseline shows the current state of play against the peak years of ‘global warming’, hence the cool colours, indicating the climate’s gentle descent towards the expected minimum around 2035 as the predicted long slide in solar activity levels starts to take effect.

c4u2014global

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"Lunar eclipse at sunrise Minneapolis October 2014" by Tomruen - Own work. [via Wikimedia Commons]

“Lunar eclipse at sunrise Minneapolis October 2014” by Tomruen – Own work. [via Wikimedia Commons]


It’s well-known that Fibonacci numbers and the Lucas series are closely related, as shown here.

There’s a lunar connection – the Inex cycle is the cousin of the shorter Saros and lasts nearly 29 years, such that:
18 Inex = 521 years
18 and 521 are both Lucas numbers

What does this tell us?

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bbc-greenpeace-medThe BBC doesn’t like fracking. This is evident from their coverage over the years (example). In order to ramp up concern, they use every trick in the book. This one is a diagram they use which is designed to worry people about shalegas getting into the water table, and the ongoing presence of a big ugly tower (wind turbines anyone?) making a blot on the lanscape. Of course, they include a ‘not to scale’ grey on a grey background label for plausible deniability purposes.

UPDATE: Josh has kindly send a ‘to scale’ drawing for us to refer too. BBC take note. See bottom of post.

shale_gas_extraction

Below the break, I’ve made an improved version which the BBC is welcome to make use of if they are interested in escaping further criticism of their blatant bias. I left them some tidying work to do, since I don’t get paid for correcting their deceptive output.

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Excellent job! UKIP crucial in defeating EU economic suicide pact. Well done Roger Halmer and David Coburn!

Roger Helmer MEP

image001

A typical EU Parliament Committee meeting

Just a couple of days ago I wrote about the disaster of European energy policy, which is creating “an Industrial Massacre in Europe” (former Commissioner Antonio Tajani).  It is driving jobs and investment and industry — and emissions — out of Europe altogether.  Often they go to jurisdictions with lower environmental standards, so we may also be increasing global emissions as we undermine EU competitiveness.

In steel, and aluminium, and petroleum refining, and glass, and chemicals, and cement, plants are closing and hundreds of thousands — maybe millions — of jobs are being lost across Europe. And this is the result not of bad luck, or an act of fate, but as a direct consequence of deliberate policy decisions which have forced up the price of energy.

I described how a new proposal for a “Market Stability Reserve” attached to the ETS was deliberately…

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Gas heating [image credit: CVO Fire]

Gas heating [image credit: CVO Fire]

A committee of MPs has been accused of listening to “ill-informed” green groups instead of scientific evidence, after it called for a ban on fracking for shale gas, citing health and environmental fears, the Daily Telegraph reports.

The Environmental Audit Committee (EAC) on Monday called for fracking to be put on hold indefinitely, and at a minimum banned in national parks, amid “huge uncertainties around the impact that fracking could have on water supplies, air quality and public health”.

Developing shale gas is also “incompatible” with the UK’s legally-binding climate change targets, it claimed.

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Nigel_Farage_MEP-sIf we want to go from Little England back to being Great Britain, we must leave the EU. But it’s people like John Major and other fake Europhiles who keep us tied to a weak and crippling Union.

Every time I’m in the chamber of the European Parliament, I have to listen to people stand up and talk about what a great success the EU has been.

But I’m not sure anybody saying it really believes it anymore.

It’s the same when I listen to John Major saying Britain is better off inside the EU than out. He is an intelligent man, so does he really believe it?

Okay, Sir John has to carry the shame of being the British prime minister who signed the Maastricht Treaty – and, you know, he signed it and then had to ask his civil servants to tell him what he’d agreed to – so of course he has to go on believing.

Otherwise he’d have to admit that when he signed that treaty he allowed the creation of the single currency, the ghastly euro monstrosity that has destroyed the economies of the EU’s Mediterranean members and left Germany – again – with huge political sway over the Continent.

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Businessweek has the story. The image below shows the damage (bordered with the red dashed line) Greenpeace did to the world heritage site which contains Peru’s national emblem, the Hummingbird.

nazca-lines-damage

Greenpeace has provided Peruvian authorities with the identities of the four foreign activists principally responsible for vandalizing the Nazca Lines heritage site during last month’s international climate negotiations in Lima, Bloomberg Businessweekhas learned.  The stunt, in which activists placed yellow letters urging climate action near a hummingbird carved in soil 1,500 years ago that is a national symbol of Peru, bombed. It distracted attention from the climate talks and outraged Peru’s people and government, which has called for the activists’ extradition to face legal charges. The action also gave Greenpeace, one of the world’s most recognized nongovernmental organizations and social brands, the worst public relations black eye in its 40-plus years of attention-grabbing protest.

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From Space.com. It’s worth reading between the lines of this one to see the perplexed furrows on the brows of the ‘surprised’  scientists.

dynamoThe magnetic fields of planetary building blocks lasted for a surprisingly long time in the solar system’s early days, a new study suggests.

The magnetic fields of these big asteroids were apparently generated by the same process that drives Earth’s global magnetic activity, and could have persisted for hundreds of millions of years after the objects’ formation, researchers said.
The study team analyzed pallasites, iron-and-nickel meteorites believed to originate from an ancient rocky body about 250 miles (400 kilometers) wide. The pallasites contain tiny particles of ‪tetrataenite — a mineral that records a magnetic history of the parent body going back billions of years.

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Australians cool Melbourne

Posted: January 23, 2015 by tchannon in Surfacestation, UHI, weather

Image

Mr Trewin also noted that the Bureau had recently changed its Melbourne monitoring site from the Royal Society of Victoria on La Trobe Street in the city to Olympic Park, near Rod Laver Arena. Maximum temperatures recorded at the new site were on average 1.2 degrees cooler, particularly on cool days, because air coming from the south and west was travelling over parklands rather than the through the city.

http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/melbourne-weather-summer-2015-still-hot-just-last-year-was-hotter-20150119-12tbhi.html

h/t to handjive at notricks

Head image from an article by Anthony Watts at Steve McIntyre’s ClimateAudit 2007 article 6 years ago. (I’ve add the red circles)

Image

BOM report it here, no mention of why [wrong, see comment by jdmcl]. Above is how BOM show the station.

Even rainfall data will be wrong with those tall nearby structures and fences.

The Age reported the closure here. No mention of why.

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The level of ignorance is astonishing. These people aren’t fit to wield power. Vote them out in May.

eac-release
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Right click and open in new window to see the full size version.

The caption reads: “D’you reckon it’s true George, what them scientists says, that the world is slowly coolin’?”.

punch1935

Matt Ridley: A Lukewarmer Against Dogmatism

Posted: January 22, 2015 by tallbloke in alarmism, Analysis, flames
Tags: ,

Reposted from Matt Ridley’s blog

Matt-RidleyI am a climate lukewarmer. That means I think recent global warming is real, mostly man-made and will continue but I no longer think it is likely to be dangerous and I think its slow and erratic progress so far is what we should expect in the future. That last year was the warmest yet, in some data sets, but only by a smidgen more than 2005, is precisely in line with such lukewarm thinking.

This view annoys some sceptics who think all climate change is natural or imaginary, but it is even more infuriating to most publicly funded scientists and politicians, who insist climate change is a big risk. My middle-of-the-road position is considered not just wrong, but disgraceful, shameful, verging on scandalous. I am subjected to torrents of online abuse for holding it, very little of it from sceptics.

I was even kept off the shortlist for a part-time, unpaid public-sector appointment in a field unrelated to climate because of having this view, or so the headhunter thought. In the climate debate, paying obeisance to climate scaremongering is about as mandatory for a public appointment, or public funding, as being a Protestant was in 18th-century England.

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