BBC, Tim Palmer & Cyclone Pam

Posted: March 17, 2015 by tallbloke in solar system dynamics

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Glenwaytown

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On the BBC Today programme yesterday, John Humphrys interviewed Oxford professor Tim Palmer to discuss Cyclone Pam.

Palmer is a Royal Society Research Professor in Climate Physics, interested in the predictability and dynamics of weather and climate, and is one of the gang often wheeled out when climate change is discussed on the BBC.

The piece, at around 8.38am, went something like this:

It began with a news update on Vanuatu and extracts from a recorded interview with the country’s president (quite widely reported elsewhere), saying that the cause of the disaster was climate change – rising sea levels etc.

John Humphrys then asked ‘what do the scientists think?’ and interviewed Oxford professor Tim Palmer (a Royal Society Research Fellow), “in charge of modelling and climate change”.

The key quotes were that he said of the recent “incredibly intense” cyclones in Vanuatu and…

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Comments
  1. oldbrew says:
    March 17, 2015 at 6:29 pm

    We have to expect the absurdities of bloviating climate buffoons to intensify in the run-up to the Paris summit of fools in November.

  2. tom0mason says:
    March 17, 2015 at 9:46 pm

    Yes the BBC finds yet another Royal Society nutty professor willing to bleat nonscientific alarmist advocacy Krap with fake authority.

    Next item Maurice Chevalier and “I love Paris In The Springtime” — does it cause global warming?

  3. Kon Dealer says:
    March 17, 2015 at 9:50 pm

    When will these lying b*st*rds be nailed?

  4. tom0mason says:
    March 18, 2015 at 1:20 am

    I wonder why the RS’s nutty Professor could not contrast and compare storm Pam to the events of 1985 –

    ERIC (Hurricane) 13 – 20 January 1985
    NIGEL (Hurricane) 14 – 28 January 1985
    ODETTE (Hurricane) 16 – 21 January 1985

    Between 14 and 21 January three Hurricane Force cyclones affected the south west pacific. Fiji and Vanuatu were particularly affected by all three.
    On 17/18 January a minimum pressure of 987.9mb and winds gusting to over 85knots were experienced on Santo. ERIC and NIGEL followed almost identical easterly tracks across the south of Santo within 48 hours of each other. ODETTE passed further to the south over Erromango.
    Considerable damage was inflicted to most of the norhtern islands and to Erromango
    .
    GAVIN (Storm ) 2 – 8 March 1985 GAVIN was named as a tropical cyclone some 150 miles east of Efate but quickly moved away from Vanuatu southeastwards reaching storm force winds over the sea well south of Fiji. – No damage reported
    .
    HINA (Hurricane) 10 – 20 March 1985 HINA marginally affected Vanuatu while its winds were still of gale force. A maximum wind of 32 knots being reported on the 12th at Santo whilst a minimum pressure of 994.6mb reported at Sola on the 15th.

    Full Report and more info here:

    Click to access VUT_TC_1847_1994.pdf

  5. Richard111 says:
    March 18, 2015 at 7:46 am

    Sadly the good professor is quite correct. Climate change will indeed bring about more intense storms all around the world as wind speeds increase. As the polar regions become cooler the temperature difference between the equatorial and polar regions increases causing in increase in the normal wind circulation.
    Oh, sorry, Didn’t the professor say we are heading for an ice age?

  6. roger says:
    March 18, 2015 at 12:04 pm

    Last evening on Sky news a reporter scrambled ashore on a lesser island that had he said been isolated for the past five days.
    Remarkably the highwater line on the beach where he landed barely encroached on the landward vegetation despite the gradual slope, and there was no sign above either line of the flotsam normally associated with such events.
    In short, the islands seem to have survived a force five without becoming subsumed by the reportedly rapidly rising ocean.

  7. A C Osborn says:
    March 18, 2015 at 6:51 pm

    According to NuSchool real time analysis it was no where near a Cat 5.
    The average wind speed was about 100Km/h.
    Every single Cyclone/Hurricane in thelast couple of years has been overhyped wind speed wise.
    It is because they are using Satellite data, when the storms finally get somewhere that reads actual land based wind speeds they are always 70-100Km/h.
    Perhaps they think they are Knots?

  8. oldbrew says:
    March 18, 2015 at 10:20 pm

    ‘The consensus regarding Cyclone Pam is that there is no clear evidence for a link between it and climate change. This means that any responsible scientist would not assume such a link exists, as it hasn’t been proven.’

    http://www.thegwpf.com/no-link-between-cyclone-pam-and-climate-change/