Tom Wysmuller: No Link Between CO2 & Sea Level! NONE!!!

Posted: November 9, 2015 by tallbloke in Ocean dynamics
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My thanks to Tom Wysmuller for sending me this pithy one pager that he’s asked to have handed out as a flyer in Paris.

No Link Between CO2 & Sea Level! NONE!!!
Tom Wysmuller© 5 Nov 2015

For the past 2,000 years, Sea Level rise was unchangingly linear, increasing between 1 & 1.5 mm/yr., and CO2 was stable and flat at 280 parts per million (ppm) for the same period. The great Ice Sheets from the last Ice Age had already melted.

Additional Sea Level change was slow, mostly due to thermal expansion of oceans and edge ice melt from Greenland and Antarctica. As Earth periodically warmed and cooled, remaining mountain glaciers either grew or added some melt water to the oceans.

In 1880, CO2 finally surges up, achieving a huge 38% increase during the past 135 years, likely due to industrial and agricultural development.

Most seacoasts either rise or fall, due to geological activity. Some do neither, and are “tectonically inert.” Actual Sea Levels, and any changes, are measured from them, such as Portland, Maine, USA, and Wismar, Germany, where Sea Level continues its methodical, steady, minimal, and linear rise. In the timeframe that CO2 massively increases, there is no sign whatsoever that Sea Level reacts likewise.


Over 1000 of the world’s Tide Gauges show pure linear trends, along with minimal (mostly thermal expansion and glacial melt) increases. There are none showing any acceleration of Sea Level rise rate in tectonically inert areas.

When a massive 38% CO2 increase doesn’t even begin to accelerate Sea Level rise, how would we ever attempt to measure any Sea Level fall resulting from an almost impossible to achieve 1% CO2 reduction. That Sea-­‐Level drop would be undetectable, and spending $€¥Billions to achieve it, is an indefensible diversion from real problems.

There is no measurable linkage between Sea Level and CO2!

(1) British Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level & LAMPE, REINHARD; ENDTMANN, ELISABETH; JANKE, WOLFGANG; MEYER, HINRICH; LÜBKE, HARALD; HARFF, JAN; LEMKE†, WOLFRAM, 2005: A new relative sea-­‐level curve for the Wismar Bay, N-­‐German Baltic coast. (Eine neue relative Meeresspiegelkurve für die Wismarbucht, norddeutsche Ostseeküste).-­‐ Meyniana, 57:5-­‐35,10 fig., 2 tab., Kiel.

  1. Berényi Péter says:

    Deceleration of sea level rise, as measured by satellites is -34 mm / century squared over the last 23 years. That is, it’s perfectly linear.

  2. Don B says:

    Across the Atlantic, at the tip of Manhattan, the tidal gauge called The Battery shows no change in the rate of sea level rise for the past 160 years.

  3. tallbloke says:

    A slightly more nuanced and thorough look at sea level change from our old friend Roger Andrews on Euarn Mearns blog here

  4. A C Osborn says:

    I can’t totally agree with this statement “In 1880, CO2 finally surges up, achieving a huge 38% increase during the past 135 years, likely due to industrial and agricultural development.” as it ignores the increased release of CO2 from warming oceans and coming out of the LIA.

  5. Brett Keane says:

    The accomplished NZ Oceanographer Willem de Lange, whom I’ve talked to, seems to be saying that there is little or no honest data for significant sea level rise. Certainly not evident to me nor others on our coasts, once other factors are taken into account. With 50yrs of observation.

  6. oldbrew says:

    ‘El Nino now third strongest on record: Australian weather bureau’

  7. Brett Keane says:

    Of course it seems more than just a (Modoki) Nino, thanks to the Blob. I hope we will soon have data on what warm water is left under the West Pacific. Not sure where to find it, but time to start looking. Though it will find us next year, I see 20cm holes and 25cm humps in the Pacific, over huge areas. It’s a mess. Very interesting….