Paris Climate Challenge -Schedule

Posted: November 28, 2015 by tallbloke in Accountability, climate, Solar physics, solar system dynamics
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The alternative climate conference to COP21 in Paris this year is the Paris Climate Challenge, organised by Tom Harris of the International Climate Science Coalition and Philip Foster, author of several books on climate.

The Schedule has been finalised:

Challenging the groupthink of COP21

Stuart Agnew, Bob Carter, Piers Corbyn, Ed Flaherty, Philip Foster, Roger Helmer, Tom Harris, Donna Laframboise, Viscount Monckton, Patrick Moore, Nils-Axel Mörner, Ian Plimer, [Murry Salby], Roger Tattersall & more …  tba

If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn’t thinking. – Gen. George Patton

Schedule @ 11 rue La Rochefoucauld 75009 Paris

TUESDAY 1st Dec

10am Coffee/refreshments

10.30am start

Philip Foster MA Nat.Sci. (author)
Cutting ‘Carbon’ Kills

Nils-Axel (‘Niklas’) Mörner
Launching the Independent Committee on Geoethics “When Science becomes disgraced, it’s time for a new Independent Committee on Geoethics”
http://geoethic.com
Full paper

Lunch 12.30pm – 2.00pm

Viscount (Christopher) Monckton of Brenchley
Climate of corruption: trahison des clercs by the classe politique

Tom Harris: International Climate Science Coalition
Progressives should demand a reassessment of climate change concerns – Adherence to global warming dogma violating causes held dear by the left.
www.climatescienceinternational.org

4.00 – 4.20 pm tea

Piers Corbyn [Weatheraction: long range forecasting]
New understanding of the Jet stream and solar activity
 www.weatheraction.com

 

WEDNESDAY 2nd Dec

10am Coffee; 10.30am start

Bob Carter: Former professor and head of the School of Earth Sciences at James Cook University
Factual contraints on the DAGW hypothesis

Donna Laframboise, internationally respected journalist
Three Things Scientists Need to Know About the IPCC
www.noconsensus.org    www.nofrakkingconsensus.com

Lunch 12.30pm – 2.00pm

Roger Tattersall [tallbloke science blog]
The big orange missing variable in the climate debate
www.tallbloke.wordpress.com

Dr Patrick Moore [Ex-Director of Greenpeace:
Should we celebrate CO2?

4.00-4.20pm tea

Ed Flaherty -[Senior Partner, Juris Doctor; Schwab, Flaherty & Associates, Geneva, Fribourg, Istanboul, Singapore]
Law, governments, supra-national organisations and NGOs

7.15pm Invitation from Collectif des Climato-realists at ALEPS premises, 35 av. MacMahon 75017 (Arc de Triomphe), 60 pax: multilingual welcome party for our foreign friends present in Paris. RSVP to Marie-France Suivre: collectifdesclimatorealistes@gmail.com

THURSDAY 3rd Dec

10am Coffee

10.30am start

Stuart Agnew MEP
A Farmer’s Confession… there is no one more zealous than the reformed sinner!

Roger Helmer MEP
EU, energy and climate policy

Prof. Murry Salby –  lecture on the big screen
Origins of rising CO2
http://youtu.be/jZ0R1MCkSOU

Lunch 12.30pm – 2.00pm

Nils-Axel (‘Niklas’) Mörner, [global sea level expert and paleoclimatologist]
The liberation from fear of a disastrous sea level rise – observational facts don’t lie
Full paper

Prof Ian Plimer, [geologist and paleoclimate expert, University of Adelaide ]
Heaven & Hell; the Pope condemns the poor to eternal poverty
Full article

4.00pm Tea

Plenary session.

1st – 3rd Dec

11 Rue La Rochefoucauld

75009 PARIS

Avoid the ennui at Le Bourget COP21 – Listen to some real science and analysis

CONTACTS during Conference:

Tom Harris    +1 613 728 9200

Philip Foster  +44 7931 592197

Comments
  1. Joe Public says:

    Sadly, I won’t be able to attend any of those events.

    But I’m not too concerned; no doubt I’ll be able to follow all the proceedings via the regular reports from our state broadcaster’s many climate correspondents in the city.

    Has Mr Harrabin been sent an invite, so that the BBC can demonstrate true balance in its reporting?

    😇

  2. tallbloke says:

    Joe: PCC15 won’t rely on them. Video of the talks will be uploaded to the http://pcc15.org site daily.

  3. colliemum says:

    I know you’ll have a great time, Rog – wish I could be there! any chance of the speeches being published, such as in an e-book???

    As for Maurice Strong popping his clogs: shame, innit …

  4. ren says:

    Iain Cameron uses his free time to count the number of snow patches left on mountains from the previous winter.
    The amateur snow researcher’s data is compiled and published in the prestigious Royal Meteorological Journal.
    He has recorded an average of between six to 12 patches of snow each year since he started his research in 1994.
    But this year Mr Cameron, who works with a team of volunteers, noted 73 spots had survived from winter 2014.
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3337267/So-global-warming-winter-weather-sweeps-snow-lover-reveals-s-white-stuff-left-Scottish-mountains-21-years.html#comments

  5. tallbloke says:

    Paris is kicking off.

  6. tallbloke says:

    OB, we contacted Verdier’s publishers with an invite to speak, but he’s gone to ground it seems.

  7. tallbloke says:

  8. tallbloke says:

    One question to voters found only six per cent agreed when asked whether humans definitely cause climate change.

    The majority – 51 per cent – said any change in temperatures were down to “the sun and changing cycles” rather than fossil fuels.

    Another 42 per cent believed the Earth’s temperatures will always fluctuate regardless of manmade changes.

    http://www.express.co.uk/news/science/622910/Global-warming-farce-majority-Britons-climate-change-fake-UN-summit

  9. oldbrew says:

    Who needs to ask voters when you’ve got climate modelling computers to play with😦

    ‘Brandalism’ hits Paris streets – more emotional climate nonsense…
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-34958282

  10. manicbeancounter says:

    Something else that could be of interest to the discussions
    http://manicbeancounter.com/2015/11/29/unfccc-massively-overstates-impact-of-indcs-on-2100-emissions/
    UNFCCC Executive Secretary Christiana Figueres has claimed that the policy proposals leading up to COP21 will make a huge difference to emissions by 2100. The warming impact will be reduced from 4-5C without policy to 2.7C with the policy proposals. The implied message is that with a little extra effort the 2C dangerous warming limit will not be breached. This claim I find to be contradicted by the UNFCCC’s own assessment, where the impact of proposed policy on emissions is small. It is only if you go to two external organisations that are referenced at the very end of a technical appendix that you find the 2.7C claim. One of them achieves this estimate by post 2050 substituting forecasts by a hybrid of modelled scenarios. The authors of the scenarios explicitly state they should not be used for policy evaluation, and scenarios are non-comparable. This seems to be analogous to Mann et al splicing actual average temperature anomalies onto the end of proxy data.

  11. ntesdorf says:

    It is a really impressive analysis and presentation by Professor Murry Salby. If only the Warmistas would look at it, they could all relax and go home.

  12. ren says:

    Currently, very high cosmic radiation. Average daily far exceeds 6300 counts in Oulu.

  13. tallbloke says:

    Our first 3 videos are up. See the video links on this page:
    http://pcc15.org/about/

    Philip Foster on The Science

    Niklas Morner on the Geoethics angle

    Christopher Monckton on the climate fraud

    http://pcc15dotorg

  14. Paul Vaughan says:

    For the first time since recently elected Canadian PM, Trudeau’s leadership polling has dipped (exactly when MSM Paris climate conference reporting intensified).

    I once tried to argue politics with an eminently sensible uncle who sagely turned on me and scolded:
    “Paul, they’re ALL bad.”

    Well, it turns out he was right as neither Harper (former PM) nor Trudeau (current PM) have acknowledged trivial proofs of aggregate sun-climate geometry.

  15. oldbrew says:

    The Climate Cycle – ‘time is running out’ and other slogans…every year since 2007.
    http://www.thegwpf.com/content/uploads/2015/11/ClimateCycle.pdf

  16. Paul Vaughan says:

    SUN-CLIMATE 101

  17. ren says:

    Neutrons are growing as fast as in 2006.

  18. tallbloke says:

    I managed to get Tom Harris’ presentation up just as the hall was cleared for the evening. See his and all our other videos at the links on this page:
    http://pcc15.org/about/

  19. Ed says:

    Ren; “Neutrons are growing as fast as in 2006”.
    Ren, please give us an explanation on how the fast-growing neutrons will affect the climate.
    Many thanks.

  20. tchannon says:

    Ed: there is believed to be a link between neurons whacking atmospheric gas producing daughter showers of particles and thereby cloud cover. The particles enhancing cloud forming.

    This is related to weak solar magnetic field reducing magnetic shielding.

    Left blog column, find the link to late Nigel Calder’s blog, couple of articles down.

  21. tchannon says:

    Calder turning up today, how strange.

    I notice the memorial was exactly 1 year ago, 2nd December 2014

    Let him twinkle.

    He was pushed out by the media for not playing the game. Following that with no obituary is dishonour yet he is on many many bookshelves as a popular author.

    Best the BBC could do, 2007
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/newsnight/2007/02/the_chilling_stars_by_calder_and_svensmark.html

    Try this to find an obit
    site:bbc.co.uk “nigel calder” obituary

  22. ren says:

    Ed: this means that solar activity decreases rapidly. Atmospheric circulation will now slow down.

  23. ren says:

    A very interesting new map that shows the most recent data on the distribution of CO2 on Earth. We can see the role of the oceans in regulating the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. Cold oceans in the south (there ended in winter) absorb much more CO2 than warm water to the north.
    Interesting is the large amount of CO2 over Siberia, probably related to forest fires, or changes biomass. Most of CO2 produced by man can be seen in the south east China and eastern North America.
    In any case, it is clear at a glance that the higher the temperature of the oceans has the biggest impact on the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, if only because of their enormous area. Therefore, studies of ice cores stroke CO2 is always preceded by a rise in temperature.
    “The data presented in the chart, from ice tested at the research station Vostok show that the highest temperatures Ice Age called. Maximums and warm periods międzylodowcowe are in the form of regular cyclic model along the lines of the graph, which is similar to the rhythm of the heart, when we follow the chart electrocardiogram. Chart data from Vostok station also shows that changes in the global level of CO2 closely follow the global temperature changes by about eight hundred years. This means that global temperatures precede or cause changes in global CO2, not vice versa. In other words, the increase in CO2 levels in the atmosphere does not cause the global temperature rise, while the natural cycle of global temperature rise causes an increase in global CO2 levels. The reason for this global growth and a drop in CO2 levels to respond to the changing global ocean temperatures because the cold water is able to keep themselves more CO2 than warm water . Fluctuations in temperature always slightly ahead of changes in CO2 concentration. ”
    http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/chem/surface/level/overlay=co2sc/equirectangular

  24. ren says:

    Let’s see the current situation in the Arctic. The polar vortex is strong, inhibited over North America.

  25. ren says:

    Please click on.

  26. oldbrew says:

    ren’s quote says: ‘Chart data from Vostok station also shows that changes in the global level of CO2 closely follow the global temperature changes by about eight hundred years. This means that global temperatures precede or cause changes in global CO2, not vice versa.’

    Does that mean current CO2 levels are related to temperatures about 800 years ago? If so, what physical mechanism might enable that to occur?

  27. ren says:

    Oldbrew: I do not know, maybe a matter of algae growth.
    http://phys.org/news/2015-11-rapid-plankton-growth-ocean-carbon.html

  28. ren says:

    “Sea temperature gradients (contrasts) in the tropics and subtropics are the engines of Earth’s climate. They control global atmospheric circulations, as well as the transport of water vapor for the planet.
    As part of the study, the researchers investigated climate evolution since the early Pliocene epoch, 4 to 5 million years ago. They looked at the development of gradients along the equator and mid-latitude regions to the north and south.
    The early Pliocene was the last time atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations were as high as today’s levels, yet ocean temperatures during the Pliocene—from the subtropics to the Artic—were much warmer than today. The tropical Pacific, for example, had conditions resembling a modern El Niño that persisted for thousands of years.
    “The puzzle is how to explain this warmth during the Pliocene,” said lead author Alexey Fedorov, a professor of geology and geophysics at Yale. “Ocean temperature contrasts are a major part of this puzzle.”
    http://phys.org/news/2015-11-ocean-temperatures-global-climate-patterns.html

  29. Chaeremon says:

    @oldbrew says (December 2, 2015 at 8:52 am) what physical mechanism might enable that to occur?

    If it’s many dozens of months methinks it’s the atmosphere, and if many dozens of years it’s the oceans …

  30. ren says:

    This brilliant cyan pattern scattered across the surface of the Black Sea is a bloom of microscopic phytoplankton. The multitude of single-celled algae in this image are most likely coccolithophores, one of Earth’s champions of carbon pumping. Coccolithophores constantly remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and slowly send it down to the seafloor, an action that helps to stabilize the Earth’s climate.
    This image of this swirling blue bloom was captured on July 15, 2012, by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite. Note that the image is rotated so that north is to the right. Ocean scientist Norman Kuring of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center suggested the bloom was likely Emiliania huxleyi, though it is impossible to know the species for sure without direct sampling of the water.
    Coccolithophores use carbon, calcium, and oxygen to produce tiny plates of calcium carbonate (coccoliths). Often called “stones” by researchers, coccoliths resemble hubcaps. During their lifespan, coccolithophores remove carbon from the air, “fix” or integrate it into what is effectively limestone, and take it with them to the seafloor when they die and sink or when they are consumed (and eventually excreted) by zooplankton and fish.

    http://phys.org/news/2012-08-carbon-eaters-black-sea.html#nRlv

  31. oldbrew says:

    ren: there aren’t any 800-year old algae? If there’s a cycle or predictable period of that length it needs a driver.

    ‘The 800 year lag in CO2 after temperature – graphed’
    http://joannenova.com.au/global-warming-2/ice-core-graph/

    PS An obvious driver would be oceans warming up to a certain temperature, causing CO2 to out-gas into the atmosphere.

  32. ren says:

    ABSTRACT

    As anthropogenic CO2 emissions acidify the oceans, calcifiers generally are expected to be negatively affected. However, using data from the Continuous Plankton Recorder, we show that coccolithophore occurrence in the North Atlantic increased from ~2 to over 20% from 1965 through 2010. We used Random Forest models to examine >20 possible environmental drivers of this change, finding that CO2 and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation were the best predictors, leading us to hypothesize that higher CO2 levels might be encouraging growth. A compilation of 41 independent laboratory studies supports our hypothesis. Our study shows a long-term basin-scale increase in coccolithophores and suggests that increasing CO2 and temperature have accelerated the growth of a phytoplankton group that is important for carbon cycling.
    http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/2015/11/24/science.aaa8026

  33. oldbrew says:

    ren’s abstract says: ‘As anthropogenic CO2 emissions acidify the oceans’…

    Really?

    ‘if global warming resumes after the “pause,” ocean temperatures will rise along with CO2 outgassing, which will make the oceans more basic, not acidic. You simply cannot have it both ways’
    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/10/21/new-paper-debunks-acidification-scare-finds-warming-increases-ph/

    Colder water absorbs more CO2, warmer water expels more.

  34. Paul Vaughan says:

    How do terrestrial heat engines alias the solar cycle and its shifting harmonics?
    (to be continued….)

  35. J Martin says:

    Rog comes up with term “nutfest” to describe the Paris climate nonsense. Brilliant. Wish I’d thought of it myself.

    [reply – that was Tim C in fact – mod]

  36. ren says:

    “The truth sets us free.”
    HomeCurrent NewsVolcanic Carbon Dioxide
    JUN
    15
    VOLCANIC CARBON DIOXIDE

    Written by Timothy Casey, Consulting Geologist on 15 Jun 2014

    A brief survey of the literature concerning volcanogenic carbon dioxide emission finds that estimates of subaerial emission totals fail to account for the diversity of volcanic emissions and are unprepared for individual outliers that dominate known volcanic emissions.

    volcano

    Deepening the apparent mystery of total volcanogenic CO2 emission, there is no magic fingerprint with which to identify industrially produced CO2 as there is insufficient data to distinguish the effects of volcanic CO2 from fossil fuel CO2 in the atmosphere.

    Molar ratios of O2 consumed to CO2 produced are, moreover, of little use due to the abundance of processes (eg. weathering, corrosion, etc) other than volcanic CO2emission and fossil fuel consumption that are, to date, unquantified. Furthermore, the discovery of a surprising number of submarine volcanoes highlights the underestimation of global volcanism and provides a loose basis for an estimate that may partly explain ocean acidification and rising atmospheric carbon dioxide levels observed last century, as well as shedding much needed light on intensified polar spring melts.

    Based on this brief literature survey, we may conclude that volcanic CO2 emissions are much higher than previously estimated, and as volcanic CO2 contributions are effectively indistinguishable from industrial CO2 contributions, we cannot glibly assume that the increase of atmospheric CO2 is exclusively anthropogenic.

    http://www.principia-scientific.org/volcanic-carbon-dioxide.html

  37. ren says:

    More light may be cast a amount of CO, which is the origin of anthropologic.

    http://www.principia-scientific.org/volcanic-carbon-dioxide.html

  38. tallbloke says:

    See more newly uploaded videos at the links on this page:
    http://pcc15.org/about/

  39. ren says:

    From the publicly available data, Ewert made an unbelievable discovery: Between the years 2010 and 2012 the data measured since 1881 were altered so that they showed a significant warming, especially after 1950. […] A comparison of the data from 2010 with the data of 2012 shows that NASA-GISS had altered its own datasets so that especially after WWII a clear warming appears – although it never existed.”
    http://notrickszone.com/2015/11/20/german-professor-examines-nasa-giss-temperature-datasets-finds-they-have-been-massively-altered/#sthash.Q0wemsVI.dpbs
    “There were 120 stations in 2010 archived NASA GISS temperature data with the 2012
    compared from NASA GISS data offered. In all cases, they were changed retroactively
    been. When changes 10 different methods were used. Two of these
    Methods are illustrated with the examples Darwin and Palma de Mallorca:
    • The March 2010 indicated by Darwin cooling is to March 2012 in a warming
    converted by the data from 1880 to 1960 and eliminates the data from 1980
    were increased. Between March and December 2012 there was a further change: now
    have been added back, but significantly lowered the previously deleted data. By
    these retroactive changes have been made to the 2010 exposure of cooling –
    0.0068 ° C / a warming of first + 0.0038 ° C / a and then + 0.0104 ° C / a.
    • In the case of Palma de Mallorca has been registered from the cooling of 0.0076 ° C / a
    by inversion of the data until a warming of 0.0074 ° C / a, then by lowering the
    the early data ‘was increased to 0.0102 ° C / a.”
    http://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/news-cache/manipulierte-temperatur-daten-erderwaermung-was-wurde-gemessen-und-wie-wurde-ausgewertet/
    http://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/uploads/media/EIKE_NASA-GISS_Anl__22.11.15.pdf
    http://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/uploads/media/EIKE_NASA-GISS_TXT_22.11.15.pdf

  40. oldbrew says:

    CPY: early leader…

  41. ren says:

    Tallbloke tonight floods in the southern Scotia.
    http://pl.sat24.com/pl/eu/rainTMC

  42. tallbloke says:

    Patrick Moore, the ex-director of Greenpeace who left the organisation in 1986 disgusted by the group’s unscientific approach, gave an excellent talk at the Paris Climate Challenge on the hype around ocean ‘acidification’. That’ll be online soon. OIn the meantime, he’s written this excellent op-ed:

    http://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2015/12/04/two-climate-conferences-in-paris/#.VmH1pnbhDIV