US Congress launches climate data probe

Posted: February 19, 2017 by oldbrew in Analysis, climate, Dataset, pause, Politics
Tags:

Credit: slate.com

Credit: slate.com


It should be harder for NOAA to brush this off than it was when the last President was in office.
H/T GWPF

Revelations by the Mail on Sunday about how world leaders were misled over global warming by the main source of climate data have triggered a probe by the US Congress.

Republican Lamar Smith, who chairs the influential House of Representatives Committee on Science, Space and Technology, announced the inquiry last week in a letter to Benjamin Friedman, acting chief of the organisation at the heart of the MoS disclosures, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

He renewed demands, first made in 2015, for all internal NOAA documents and communications between staff behind a controversial scientific paper, which made a huge impact on the Paris Agreement on climate change of that year, signed by figures including David Cameron and Barack Obama.

The paper – dubbed the ‘Pausebuster’ – claimed that contrary to what scientists had been saying for several years, there was no ‘pause’ or ‘slowdown’ in the rate of global warming in the early 21st Century, and that in fact it had been taking place even faster than before. The ‘pause’ had been seized on by climate sceptics, because throughout the period, carbon dioxide emissions continued to rise.

This month, this newspaper revealed evidence from a whistleblower, Dr John Bates, who until the end of 2016 was one of two NOAA ‘principal scientists’ working on climate change, showing that the paper based its claims on an ‘unverified’ and experimental dataset measuring land temperatures, and on a then newly issued sea-temperature dataset that is now to be withdrawn and replaced because it exaggerates both the scale and speed of warming.

The ‘Pausebuster’ paper’s claims were trumpeted around the world when it was published by the journal Science in June 2015, six months before the UN Paris climate-change conference. Its assertions were highlighted in scientific briefings to officials who hammered out the Agreement – which commits the developed world to sweeping greenhouse-gas emissions cuts and pledges an additional £80 billion every year in ‘climate-related’ aid to poor nations.

In his letter to NOAA, Congressman Smith expresses frustration that previous demands for documents about the Pausebuster were not met, although his committee took the unusual step of issuing a legal subpoena. NOAA’s decision to withhold the documents was, he wrote, ‘without any justification in law’.

As for the revelations by this newspaper, Mr Smith said they ‘raise additional questions as to whether the science at NOAA is objective and free from political interference’. NOAA has said it intends to bring in ‘independent outside parties’ to investigate the Pausebuster and the flawed datasets.

Last week Peter Stott, head of climate monitoring at the UK Met Office, admitted that notwithstanding the Pausebuster, it was clear ‘the slowdown hasn’t gone away’. The ‘pause’ is clearly visible in the Met Office’s ‘HadCRUT 4’ climate dataset, calculated independently of NOAA.

Since record highs caused last year by an ‘el Nino’ sea-warming event in the Pacific, HadCRUT4 has fallen by more than half a degree Celsius, and its value for the world average temperature in January 2017 was about the same as January 1998.

Source: US Congress Launches Probe Into Climate Data That Duped World Leaders Over Global Warming | The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

Comments
  1. Stephen Richards says:

    The ‘pause’ is clearly visible in the Met Office’s ‘HadCRUT 4’ climate dataset, calculated independently of NOAA.

    Just make that a bit more accurate

    The ‘pause’ is clearly visible in the Met Office’s ‘HadCRUT 4’ climate dataset, ADJUSTED independently of NOAA.

  2. Climatism says:

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    “NOAA’s decision to withhold the documents was, he wrote, ‘without any justification in law’.

    Last week Peter Stott, head of climate monitoring at the UK Met Office, admitted that notwithstanding the Pausebuster, it was clear ‘the slowdown hasn’t gone away’. The ‘pause’ is clearly visible in the Met Office’s ‘HadCRUT 4’ climate dataset, calculated independently of NOAA.”

    Climate “science” finally being submitted to the proper scrutiny it deserves under the new administration.

    TOM KARL et al – Time to handover the publics data, that you refused to under subpoena, when Obama ran your corrupt climate show!

    Time “science” got its once good reputation back so we can make properly informed decisions with the publics money. The many trillions of their money spent so lavishly on “Climate Crisis Inc.”

  3. rishrac says:

    Do I hear the sound of hard drives crashing ? Maybe the rebelling climate scientists are taking refuge in France.

  4. I’m struggle to get used to this idea that governments are hiding from us things that we almost certainly want to happen. Anyone who knows anything, knows the Republicans are going to carry out a root and branch reform of NOAA.

    But we’re still absolutely clueless as to what that actually means. Presumably, they’ll let the investigation guide them about the detail, but surely after months of preparation, they’ve already got a broad brush plan?

    And by the way, have you seen the guys at NASA behaving like a bunch of naughty school kids about to leave forever? They’re not even trying to keep their jobs.

  5. oldbrew says:

    Bear in mind the rise in CO2 levels since 1997/8 then compare that trend with this.

    GWPF: Since record highs caused last year by an ‘el Nino’ sea-warming event in the Pacific, HadCRUT4 has fallen by more than half a degree Celsius, and its value for the world average temperature in January 2017 was about the same as January 1998.

  6. Paul Vaughan says:

    I took a look at ERSSTv5. It’s more corrupt than ERSSTv4. I spent a lot of time exploring and noting spatiotemporal corruption of ERSSTv4 2 years ago. I’m not spending my time doing the same for ERSSTv5 because the judging of commentary about v4 was corrupt and/or grossly incompetent.

    There are no competent, trustworthy judges; that’s a definition of the more fundamental problem faced by declining western civilization.

    It’s better if in a multipolar world there’s some kind of balance, but given the rate at which western civilization is declining into fatally wasteful infighting, it’s a sure bet that the east won’t even have to do anything to end up 100% dominant on top with unchecked power. Sick infighting is leading the west’s way down a 1-way drain.

    Maybe 5% of us in the west are in a higher league and we’re capable of contributing positively to a stable, secure global order. It’s time for us to calmly and peacefully say no to fatally draining western infighting. It’s the simple things that matter.

    The symbolism of retracting both ERSSTv5 and ERSSTv4 and reinstating ERSSTv3b2 would be one way to humbly earn appreciation and respect. This is the type of symbolic gesture needed to convey genuine desire to restore thoughtlessly sacrificed trust.

  7. P.A.Semi says:

    I’ve spent some time now analysing NOAA datasets, the work is in progress but here some preliminary result:
    Daily Sea Surface Temperatures, anomaly from DayOfYear averages:

    http://semi.gurroa.cz/SST/index.html

    There is some strange adjustment to Atlantic and north pole arround 1998. Stable oscilation in 1980..1997, sharp rise over 2 years, and stable oscilation 1999..2010 . Seems little unrealistic…
    (If it was el-Nino, could it have such a permanent effect?)
    Then since 2010 the temperature seems rising… (it does not show Jan 2017 yet)

    South polar ocean (southward from Africa) is pretty stable — IF it was caused by changes in Solar activity, or global CO2 levels which probably should be rising in southern hemisphere too, it would appear on southern ocean SST too…

    The oceans have high capacity and rise slowly, so variability in ocean is much less than variability in air temperature…

    Then that my page shows another NOAA dataset – NCEP/NCAR re-analysis, which is a computer model of weather, that is used in many universities too… It is from year 1948 until today, showing many different variables. I’ve selected temperatures, relative humidity and total cloud cover for charts…

    There is another dataset downloadable from NOAA, named ISCCP v2, having very detailed information on clouds. (High,Middle,Low, various types, amount, temperature, water path, etc…) Problem is, that the dataset is flawed, there is a huge and sharp step in the data at Sep 2001 (like 2 degree C of middle cloud temperature in one month is really huge…)

    It’s a pitty, because I really suspect difference in Cirrus and Cirrostratus clouds being source of warming.
    You may notice, that clear-sky nights or days are very cold, but cirrus days or nights are much warmer, with difference of 5-10 deg C or more. This effect is many thousands times stronger than any possible CO2 influence, and even few-percent change in cirrus clouds (or other clouds?) could probably explain all warming…
    Man-made cirrus clouds, from aviation, possibly from industry, could explain northern-hemisphere warming while southern-hemisphere is much more constant…

  8. P.A.Semi says:

    Technical note:

    The post above is missing this image:

    (it’s probably too large, or I mistaken the img code ?)
    small version:

    [mod note] click on image to enlarge

  9. oldmanK says:

    P.A.Semi says: February 19, 2017 at 10:41 pm

    Quote: “You may notice, that clear-sky nights or days are very cold, but cirrus days or nights are much warmer, with difference of 5-10 deg C or more.”

    This is why it happens: https://thescienceclassroom.wikispaces.com/Phase+Change
    Changing water temp by 1deg requires very little heat energy than changing same amount from ice to water; and even more to change from water to vapour.

    Is it all ‘seeing chaos over time’?

  10. P.A.Semi says:

    > oldmanK says: February 20, 2017 at 6:47 am
    > Phase Change

    Obviously, there is rather a difference in radiation balance.

    Sunlight can come in, but IR (infra-red) radiation from surface, which looses most energy, is reflected by cirrus or other clouds back. Clear sky let’s IR radiation from surface to escape.

    Precisely as the definition of Greenhouse effect…

    Water (clouds) is by many thousands times more effective greenhouse agent than CO2…

    Most notably at night the clouds do not block Sunlight but reflect outgoing IR back, so they are most effective in warming. At day, there is another effect of clouds blocking incoming sunlight, which contributes to cooling instead… Then different types of clouds have different effect (cirrus clouds let sunlight down and block IR up, low clouds block both ways)

    I’ve heard, that during both world wars, there were very tough colds, because there was a lot of smoke in air blocking Solar radiation (higher albedo). It’s a question, how long could last this effect after wars – climate and mostly oceans have some inertia…

    Now the warming could be connected with overall decreasing total cloud amount. (as suggested by ISCCP v2 flawed dataset – it is a question, what all parts of it are flawed and which are right)… Than it may even mean, that the more we strive for a clean air, the more it causes lack of middle clouds and the more warming it will bring…?

    NCEP/NCAS re-analysis shows rather little increasing total cloud cover (by some 1-2% globally) – or rather increasing over oceans and decreasing over lands …

    I’ll need more time to rethink, how does it affect things…
    It’s a pitty, that there are more conflicting datasets arround, it’s harder to guess, which and how much is flawed…

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