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A rational look at recent severe weather events, which have been seized on by disaster-starved climate alarmists to push their pre-conceived agendas.
By Paul Homewood
The recent spate of hurricanes has inevitably attracted attention and spawned wildly inaccurate headlines, such as “a 1000 year event”, “the most powerful Atlantic storm on record”, “storm of the century”, and even “most deadly storm in history”.
Many climate scientists have also jumped on the bandwagon, to claim that these storms have been exacerbated by climate change.
With Hurricane Maria now weakening and heading north into cooler waters, it is perhaps time to take a rational look at what has actually been happening.
First, let’s look at the two most notable storms:
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Tallbloke's Talkshop 
>It has been widely, but wrongly, reported that Irma was the “most powerful Atlantic storm on record”>
No, sorry, but it is a true statement but maybe not the clearest. Irma is the most powerful Atlantic [Ocean] storm on record. Hurricanes Allen, Gilbert and Wilma reached their intense levels while in the Caribbean Sea …which is not the Atlantic Ocean.
The Atlantic has irregular coasts indented by numerous bays, gulfs, and seas. These include the Baltic Sea, Black Sea, Caribbean Sea, Davis Strait, Denmark Strait, part of the Drake Passage, Gulf of Mexico, Labrador Sea, Mediterranean Sea, North Sea, Norwegian Sea, almost all of the Scotia Sea, and other tributary water bodies. [bold added]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_Ocean
Wikipedia looks at the ‘records’ here.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Irma#Records
In terms of ‘Most intense landfalling hurricanes in the Contiguous United States’ (Intensity is measured solely by central pressure) Irma is 7th on the Wiki list. Of course there are various other categories of record that can be and are put forward.
No, those “numerous bays, gulfs and seas” are part of the Atlantic Basin and are distinct geographic areas as opposed to the wide open “Atlantic Ocean”. When hurricane Harvey was being monitored, it was never reported to be in the Atlantic Ocean…because it was in the Gulf of Mexico.
Again, the report was correct. Irma was the strongest hurricane in the open Atlantic Ocean [excluding Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, Davis Strait, Denmark Strait, part of the Drake Passage, Gulf of Mexico, Labrador Sea, Mediterranean Sea, North Sea, Norwegian Sea, almost all of the Scotia Sea, and other tributary water bodies]
Happy now?? sheesh!
[reply] read the wikipedia link and don’t try to be smart
LA Times: How Hurricane Irma became the second-strongest Atlantic hurricane on record
http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-hurricane-irma-explained-20170906-htmlstory.html
Most if not all of this ‘record’ stuff depends on arbitrary selection criteria, as the Wikipedia ‘record’ page makes clear.
140-Year Data Show Correlation Between CO2 Emissions And Cyclone Energy “Essentially Near Zero”!
By P Gosselin on 27. September 2017
At Twitter physical scientist Ned Nikolov informs us of a 2015 paper that “finds NO trend in global Tropical Cyclone Activity between the decade 1965-1974 and the present. Hence, warming has NOT affected hurricane activity for the past 45 yrs! ”
http://notrickszone.com/2017/09/27/140-year-data-show-correlation-between-co2-emissions-and-cyclone-energy-essentially-near-zero/
>[reply] read the wikipedia link and don’t try to be smart
Point of order – I *did* read the wikipedia link…and I’m not trying to be smart, I’m trying to be factual. However, I wouldn’t have to be ‘smart’ if you didn’t;
a) try to redefine what the Atlantic Ocean is and…
b) include links to issues that have nothing to do with the original comment. The Wiki link about Hurricane Irma records showing it was 7th on most intense to make landfall on contiguous US is irrelevant. I never tried to make the point it was the most intense Atlantic storm at landfall, my point was that it reached it’s most intense stage while out at sea in the Atlantic Ocean & not the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico which, I thought, was quite obvious but…
I can see this is a waste of my time. …sure your not Willis? He acts this way too /sarc
I suspect the met office are a bit off track. Saw several weather reports last night that mentioned the dregs of Maria and Lee approaching the UK and causing BAD weather this coming Sunday.
Have a look at this link and note the storm in the Atlantic just west and slightly south of Ireland.
https://earth.nullschool.net
Nothing to do with Maria and Lee.
Ach! That storm in the link I posted above is moving rapidly northwest and looks like it will miss.
Back to waiting on Maria and Lee.
Enough is Enough! Stop hyping Harvey and Irma!
Guest Blogger / 3 days ago September 25, 2017
Dr. Neil Frank, former Director National Hurricane Center
How does Irma compare with other strong historical hurricanes if we use the central pressure to determine the strength rather than wind? The lowest central pressure recorded in Irma was 914 millibars. The lowest pressure ever recorded in an Atlantic hurricane was 882 mb while Wilma was in the northwest Caribbean Sea in 2005. The lowest pressure for a land falling hurricane was 892 mb when the 1935 hurricane crossed the Florida Keys. There have been 10 hurricanes with central pressures below 910 mb of which 5 were below 900 mb. Irma did not even make the top 10; therefore, it was not close to being the strongest hurricane ever observed In the Atlantic. [bold added]
A strong geomagnetic storm may accelerate the volcanic eruption in Bali. Observations indicate an increase in lava levels in volcanoes during geomagnetic storms. For example, in the Kilauea volcano.
https://www.facebook.com/Sunclimate-719393721599910/
In the Caribbean there will be more tropical storms.
http://solar-flares.info/
Mount Agung last erupted in 1963, emitting an ash cloud as high as 20 km (12 miles).
As you can see in the graphic below, this is already the stratosphere over the equator.
Volcanic ash in the stratosphere intercepts part of the solar radiation. Therefore, measurements indicate a rise in temperature in the stratosphere.
Large solar storm sparks global aurora and doubles radiation levels on the martian surface
September 30, 2017
The solar event on Sept. 11, 2017 sparked a global aurora at Mars more than 25 times brighter than any previously seen by the MAVEN orbiter
. . .
This event was big enough to be detected at Earth too, even though Earth was on the opposite side of the Sun from Mars.
. . .
“When a solar storm hits the Martian atmosphere, it can trigger auroras that light up the whole planet in ultraviolet light. The recent one lit up Mars like a light bulb. An aurora on Mars can envelop the entire planet because Mars has no strong magnetic field like Earth’s to concentrate the aurora near polar regions. The energetic particles from the Sun also can be absorbed by the upper atmosphere, increasing its temperature and causing it to swell up.” [bold added]
http://phys.org/news/2017-09-large-solar-storm-global-aurora.html
It can be seen that the tropical storms are continuing in the Atlantic, which, according to the current circulation on the equator, will reach the Caribbean.
To the north is still observed geomagnetic activity.