Volcano eruptions at different latitudes impact sea surface temperature differently

Posted: August 20, 2018 by oldbrew in Analysis, ENSO, Ocean dynamics, research, volcanos

Volcanic eruption


Interesting results from this research into where and how volcanoes might fit into the oceans/climate picture.

Volcanic eruptions are among the most important natural causes of climate change, playing a leading role over the past millennium, says Phys.org.

Injections of sulfate aerosols into the lower stratosphere reduce the incoming solar radiation, in turn cooling the surface.

As a natural external forcing to the Earth’s climate system, the impact of volcanic aerosols on the climate has been of great concern to the scientific society and the public.

In recent years, scientists have found that there is a relationship between volcanic eruptions and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) based on reconstructions and model simulations, which is manifested in increased/decreased sea surface temperature (SST) gradient over the equatorial Pacific.

Since ENSO influences the global climate through atmospheric teleconnections, it is of great importance to understand the influence of volcanic eruptions on ENSO phase changes. Many studies have shown the phenomenon, but the reasons remain ambiguous.

Recently, Zuo Meng, a doctoral student from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, along with her mentors Prof. Zhou Tianjun and associate Prof. Man Wenmin, used the CESM Last Millennium Ensemble (LME) simulations, which has the largest ensemble of LM simulations, to investigate the impacts of northern, tropical and southern volcanic eruptions on the tropical Pacific SST.

Analysis of the simulations indicates that the Pacific features a significant El Niño-like warm SST anomaly five to 10 months after northern and tropical eruptions, with the Niño3 index peaks at the winter of next year. Compared with northern eruptions, the warm SST anomaly is mainly confined to the eastern Pacific with a stronger intensity following tropical eruptions.

Following southern eruptions, the Pacific shows a weaker warming anomaly over the eastern Pacific, and the time at which the Niño3 index reaches its peak is about four months earlier than that after northern and tropical eruptions.

They further advance the underlying mechanism: The shift of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) can explain the El Niño-like response to northern eruptions, which is not applicable for tropical or southern eruptions. Instead, the westerly anomaly in the western Pacific triggered by the ocean dynamical thermostat mechanism can explain the divergent SST responses following three types of eruptions.

Continued here.

Comments
  1. richard verney says:

    A couple of months ago, Willis on WUWT demonstrated that (about) the 20 largest volcano eruptions could not be detected in the usual land thermometer temperature reconstruction sets including BEST and CET. No one questioned the correctness of Willis’s statistical analysis, not even Nick Stokes who is a PhD mathematician.

    I suggested that the reason why they could not be detected in the data sets was because the data sets are not fit for scientific purpose, too corrupted by adjustments, station drop out etc and the error bounds are too wide to detect climate forcings which impact temperature by a few tenths of a degree.

  2. Salvatore Del Prete says:

    Willis is a climatic fool.

  3. Salvatore Del Prete says:

    I think high latitude volcanic eruptions promote a more meridional atmospheric circulation.

  4. craigm350 says:

    Reblogged this on WeatherAction News and commented:
    Interesting

  5. cognog2 says:

    Pleased that volcanism is now being looked at in the climate debate.
    I suspect that large eruptions are merely a symptom of what is happening to the magma beneath our feet. Very little is known on volcanic activity beneath the oceans. Although the gross energy involved may appear small in the overall picture this may not be the case for relatively local areas; particularly as this energy is provided upwards into the oceans rather than as down radiation.
    I note that the ring of fire area around the south west pacific is particularly active and makes me wonder what influence this has on SST in that general area with the potential to trigger the El Niño/ Niña situations.

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