US ‘monster’ hurricane set to strengthen

Posted: September 11, 2018 by oldbrew in News, Ocean dynamics, weather
Tags:

Image credit: sanibelrealestateguide.com

Right on cue at the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, three major storms are barrelling westwards. So far, the first one looks like being the most powerful. Mandatory evacuations for more than a million people near the US east coast have been declared.

North Carolina’s governor warns the state Florence will be a “life-threatening, historic hurricane”, reports BBC News.

Hurricane Florence – the most powerful storm to threaten the Carolinas in nearly three decades – is expected to strengthen, say forecasters.

Officials warn there is a chance of “life-threatening inundation from rising water” over the next 48 hours as Florence heads for the US East Coast.

With sustained winds of about 130mph (215km/h), the weather system is currently a category four storm. It could make landfall on Thursday, near Wilmington, North Carolina.

North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper told a news conference on Tuesday: “This storm is a monster. It’s big and it’s vicious.

“It is an extremely dangerous, life-threatening, historic hurricane.”

The latest National Weather Service (NWS) update on Tuesday morning says Florence is expected to “continue a slow strengthening trend for the next day or so”.

It could weaken on Thursday, according to current predictions, but officials cautioned Florence will most probably remain “an extremely dangerous major hurricane through landfall”.

Continued here.

UPDATE 13/09/2018: Storm may have weakened but flooding still likely  https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-45505539

 

 

Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Only four Category 4 hurricanes have ever made landfall north of Florida since records were kept, according to The Weather Channel. All of those, however, made landfall south of where Florence is predicted to hit, and Florence’s wind speeds are predicted to be higher than those four storms.

    https://www.sciencealert.com/hurricane-florence-could-be-the-most-powerful-storm-to-ever-make-landfall-north-of-florida

    Key phrase…since records were kept

  2. p.g.sharrow says:

    Not only a bit of a blow, but it looks like they will be blessed with a more rain the normal.
    High winds, high storm surge and heavy rain and maybe stall along the coast. This may become a legionary storm! for millions. Glad I live in the far west, nearly 3,000 miles away.
    This will test Ameria’s society as well as it’s economy…pg

  3. fast says:

    it’s all Donald Trump’s fault.

  4. oldbrew says:

    Delingpole: Hurricane Florence – Another Thing Not Caused by Climate Change…

    The US is just coming off the longest hurricane drought on record.
    https://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/09/12/delingpole-hurricane-florence-another-thing-not-caused-by-climate-change/

    Alarmist ambulance chasers will be reaching for their megaphones…

  5. oldbrew says:

    Joe Bastardi’s detailed analysis of Florence here…

    Hurricane Florence: How We Got Here

    By the way, you are about to see the opposite of what I am suggesting here occur. The 2018 Climate Ambulance Chaser Hurricane Blamefest is underway. Hopefully, if you have been following along with me, you can see that this threat was a long time coming and has perfectly natural explanations.

    https://papundits.wordpress.com/2018/09/11/hurricane-florence-how-we-got-here/

  6. oldbrew says:

    THREE FAILED GOVERNORS GETTING TOGETHER TO MAKE MATTERS WORSE!
    by The Elephant’s Child
    September 12, 2018

    The globe has been warming and cooling for millions of years, and has actually cooled a bit recently. Hurricanes are not caused by global warming. The amount of CO² in the atmosphere is helping plants to grow, including our forests, because CO² is a natural fertilizer. Helps food crops as well, which is relieving hunger across the world. Alarmist global warming exists only in the computer programs devised by climate scientists who want government grants and new equipment and assume that they can create in a computer a program that prophecies the future climate of the world. They can’t. If you want the real climate, consult Dr. Roy Spencer, who runs the satellites that actually measure the temperatures of the world, with Dr. John Christy at University of Alabama at Huntsville.

    https://americanelephant.wordpress.com/2018/09/12/three-failed-governors-getting-together-to-make-matters-worse/
    – – –
    The 30 Costliest U.S. Hurricanes Have Not Increased in Intensity Over Time
    by Dr Roy Spencer
    September 12th, 2018

    As part of the 2nd edition of my Kindle e-book Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can’t Be Blamed On Global Warming (which should go live tonight), I include the following graph, based upon data in a January 2018 U.S. Government report.

    In the top panel we see that the average monetary damages of the 30 most costly hurricane disasters in U.S history has gone up dramatically in recent decades.

    But in the 2nd panel we see that the average intensity of those 30 most costly storms has not increased.

    http://www.drroyspencer.com/2018/09/the-30-costliest-u-s-hurricanes-have-not-increased-in-intensity-over-time/

  7. oldbrew says:

    Hurricane Florence Drops To Category Two, But Still Wildly Dangerous Due To Size, Experts Say

    The category drop will actually cause the storm to linger, causing torrential downpour for days.
    https://www.inquisitr.com/5070507/hurricane-florence-drops-to-category-two-but-still-wildly-dangerous-due-to-size-experts-say/

  8. oldbrew says:

    Video: Staring down Hurricane Florence
    September 13, 2018, NASA
    https://phys.org/news/2018-09-video-hurricane-florence.html

  9. oldbrew says:

    On its way in…

    https://phys.org/news/2018-09-big-slosh-florence-days-coast.html
    – – –
    Over in Asia…
    A Far More Powerful Storm Than Florence Is Happening Right Now, And We Need to Pay Attention

    The strongest storm of the season so far.
    14 SEP 2018

    “Mangkhut presents a more serious threat to life considering it will hit with stronger winds, over a larger area, and have higher storm surge” [rated Cat. 3 equivalent]

    https://www.sciencealert.com/not-just-hurricane-florence-far-stronger-super-typhoon-mangkhut-about-to-hit-philippines-china

  10. hunter says:

    Members if my immediate family are being directly impacted right now.
    No wind damage, but flooding is substantial.

  11. p.g.sharrow says:

    Florence, the Hurricane of the Century seems to lost much of it’s punch. 175mph winds are now less then 100mph, 40 inches of rain projected seems to now be 12 inches. Things are bad enough for those effected but at least nothing like the great disaster envisioned…pg

  12. oldbrew says:

    BBC News showed some trees blew down and damaged properties, vehicles etc. Some roads under water with vehicles flooded out. Reports of power cuts. The sorts of things hurricanes and big storms can do, unfortunately.
    – – –
    ITV REPORT 14 September 2018 at 5:37pm
    Hurricane Florence flooding ‘could wipe out entire communities’

    Meteorologist Ryan Maue, of weathermodels.com, calculated that 34 million people in the US could get at least 3in of rain from Florence, with more than 5.7 million people probably receiving at least a foot.

    http://www.itv.com/news/2018-09-14/hurricane-florence-flooding-could-wipe-out-entire-communities/

  13. ivan says:

    I think we could say it was a rather damp squib that didn’t live up to the expectations of the scare mongers.

  14. stpaulchuck says:

    “We’re all gonna die! Die I tell ya!” (unless you fork over all your money so we can save you)

    Did you hear? President Trump secretly purchased W’s weather machine and just now turned it on to blow all the voters away on the East Coast to up his chances in the mid terms this November of maintaining a majority in the Congress. It’s true. I read it on the interwebs, so it MUST be true. CNN and MSLSD both said so. [*snickers behind hand then rolls on the floor laughing*]

  15. tom0mason says:

    Millions of tons of atmospheric water on the move.
    I’m still very impressed by nature, and, IMO, this rather dwarfs what CO2 is hypothetically capable of doing.

    I wonder how much energy it takes to move all that water, to condense all that water vapor?
    How does that compare to the IPCC’s figures for energy from CO2 mediated global warming?

  16. oldbrew says:

    A hurricane historian explains how another slow-moving storm from 1999 set a deadly record for North Carolina.

    During a FEMA briefing on then-hurricane, now-tropical storm Florence, a NOAA spokesperson said this:

    “Some of you may remember this is in comparison to September of 1999. The first half of that month of that year, we had Hurricane Dennis and Floyd.”

    That last hurricane is pretty significant.

    North Carolina has a history with slow-moving storms — like Florence — and it was Hurricane Floyd that set a deadly record for the Tar Heel State.

    “Floyd stands as North Carolina’s greatest natural disaster of record to date. Six billion dollars in damages.”

    https://www.newsy.com/stories/north-carolina-has-history-with-deadly-slow-moving-storms/
    – – –
    Steve Goldstein of the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said some areas have already received two feet of rain and could expect up to 20 inches more as the system moved “slowly, nearly stationary” over eastern North Carolina.

    https://www.afp.com/en/news/205/killer-storm-florence-dumping-epic-amounts-rainfall-carolinas-doc-18z89y45

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