Australian climate tool identifies end of winter by 2050

Posted: March 12, 2019 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, Temperature
Tags: ,

Sydney, Australia


Climate models can’t be wrong or unreliable – can they? Except they generally are.

Academics from the School of Art & Design have teamed up with colleagues from the ANU Climate Change Institute on a design project, which takes existing data and communicates the impacts of climate change in a way that people can engage with and better understand, says Phys.org.

The resulting new climate tool visualises data which shows by 2050, Australians will no longer enjoy winter as they know it today and will experience a new season the designers are calling “New Summer”.

New Summer represents a period of the year where temperatures will consistently peak in many cases well above 40ºC for a sustained period.

Using the tool, people can click on thousands of locations across Australia to see how the local weather in their home town will change by 2050.

“We looked at the historical average temperatures of each season and compared them to the projected data and what we find everywhere is that there’s really no period of a sustained or lasting winter,” said Dr Geoff Hinchliffe, Senior Lecturer (SOA&D).

“In 30 years’ time winter as we know it will be non-existent. It ceases to be everywhere apart from a few places in Tasmania,” he said.

The tool – which uses data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) and Scientific Information for Land Owners (SILO) – shows how many degrees the average temperature will rise by in each location and how many more days over 30 or 40 degrees a place will have in 2050 compared with today.

Continued here.

Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    But as Prof. Curry pointed out:

    Key summary points
    • GCMs have not been subject to the rigorous verification and validation that is the norm for engineering and regulatory science.
    • There are valid concerns about a fundamental lack of predictability in the complex nonlinear climate system.
    • There are numerous arguments supporting the conclusion that climate models are not fit for the purpose of identifying with high confidence the proportion of the 20th century warming that was human-caused as opposed to natural.
    • There is growing evidence that climate models predict too much warming from increased atmospheric carbon dioxide.
    • The climate model simulation results for the 21st century reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) do not include key elements of climate variability, and hence are not useful as projections for how the 21st century climate will actually evolve.

    http://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2017/02/Curry-2017.pdf

  2. ivan says:

    “We looked at the historical average temperatures of each season and compared them to the projected data and what we find everywhere is that there’s really no period of a sustained or lasting winter,”

    Are they using the real data or the manufactured data of the Australian BoM? If it is the real historical data where did they get it from since the BoM are incapable of supplying it since they ‘adjusted’ it twice.

    It would appear that anything from a Climate Change Institute should be ignored because of the total lack of scientific rigour. I can’t help wondering what courses they have to take to get a degree in climate science, lying 101, adjusting real data to fit preconceived ideas 101, dodging debate 101, might be the main ones.

  3. Graeme No.3 says:

    The School of Art and Design is a credible source of climate predictions?????

    Have they thought of the consequences IF these things happen? The March at the Gay & Lesbian Mardi Gras (held at the end of summer in Sydney) will have to be cancelled to avoid heat exhaustion for many associated with this School.

  4. oldbrew says:

    communicates the impacts of climate change in a way that people can engage with and better understand

    ‘Here are some numbers we just made up.’ That ought to do it 😐

  5. stpaulchuck says:

    “climate tool”… which member of the Met Office is that?

  6. stpaulchuck says:

    oldbrew says:
    March 12, 2019 at 10:47 am
    But as Prof. Curry pointed out:

    • There are valid concerns about a fundamental lack of predictability in the complex nonlinear climate system.
    —————————-
    here it is from the horse’s mouth (or other end, depending on your viewpoint)

    “The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” – IPCC TAR WG1, Working Group I: The Scientific Basis

  7. EternalOptimist says:

    I travelled the world. A few times.
    I can state, without fear of contradiction that the most politically correct folks live in the cities. I can also state, based on experience, the most politically correct cities are in Australia.
    They are screwed.
    But..I also know that the most down to earth decent honest and common sense folks live in the small towns and outback of Australia.
    I just hope they are not equally screwed.

  8. Ve2 says:

    The tool – which uses data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)

    Could have left out “- which uses data”

  9. oldbrew says:

    Back in the present…

    GREEN ENERGY WARS MAY BRING DOWN AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT
    Date: 12/03/19 The Australian

    After Scott Morrison yesterday rejected a push to fund new coal-fired power plants in central Queensland, Mr Joyce, the Prime Minister’s hand-picked drought envoy, told The Australian the termination of the Coalition was an option on the table.

    https://www.thegwpf.com/green-energy-wars-may-bring-down-australian-government/

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