What are the opponents of Donald Trump’s climate review committee afraid of?

Posted: March 16, 2019 by oldbrew in alarmism, Analysis, climate, Forecasting, modelling, Natural Variation, opinion, Temperature
Tags: , ,

Credit: nationalreview.com


Dr Roy Spencer tries to strike a note of sanity amidst the latest bout of doom-laden climate hysteria doing the rounds via cynical manipulation of the minds of school kids. What is accelerating is the bluster of alarmists, who lack credible empirical evidence of ‘human-caused’ as opposed to natural climate variation.

On March 5, 58 senior military and national security leaders sent a letter to President Trump denouncing his plan to form a National Security Council panel to take a critical look at the science underpinning climate change claims.

Their objections to such a Red Team effort were basically that the “science is settled”, writes Roy Spencer in The Washington Times.

But if the science is settled, what are they afraid of? Wouldn’t a review of the science come to the same conclusion as the supposed consensus of climate scientists?

The letter claimed, “Climate change is real, it is happening now, it is driven by humans, and it is accelerating.”

While climate change is indeed real, it is not at all obvious how much humans have to do with it. Even the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) admits this, saying only that over half of warming since the 1950s is believed to be human-caused. So, “driven by humans” is an exaggeration, even by the IPCC’s rather alarmist standards.

The additional claim that climate change is “accelerating” can also be challenged. In recent decades, warming actually decelerated, and there is a growing gap between climate model forecasts and measured global temperatures.

In fact, a peer-reviewed paper published last year in the prestigious Journal of Climate found that the observed level of global warming since the late 1800s, including the deep oceans, was consistent with a climate system only half as sensitive as are the climate models guiding U.S. energy and national security policy.

And even that study assumed that all of the warming was human-caused. If recent warming is only half anthropogenic, then the global warming problem is only one-fourth as bad as the public is being told.

In their letter, the Gang of 58 then used Hurricane Florence from last year as a supposed example of human-caused climate change. Seriously?

Until 2017, The U.S. went a record-setting 11-plus years without a major hurricane strike (Cat 3 or greater), and Hurricane Florence was normal and expected from a climatological point of view, making landfall as a Category 1 storm.

Continued here.

Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Roy Spencer sums it up:

    It’s time for the science of climate change to be independently reviewed by a body whose members do not depend upon climate alarmism to sustain their careers.

  2. Gamecock says:

    Climate science alarmism has always been a sophomoric argumentum ad ignorantium.

    The scientists, charged with attributing global warming to Man, couldn’t find natural causes (quelle surprise) for global warming. Therefore, it must be Man!

    Lack of evidence for one theory is NOT evidence for another theory. They were charged with blaming Man, so they blamed Man. They have NO evidence for it.

    ‘IPCC . . . saying only that over half of warming since the 1950s is believed to be human-caused. So, “driven by humans” is an exaggeration, even by the IPCC’s rather alarmist standards.’

    This shouts that THEY DON’T KNOW! How can anyone believe in MMGW when we simply don’t know? The theory is not invalidated, but there is hardly evidence to declare it settled science. It is an incredible theory, hence incredible evidence is required to prove it. There is hardly even crummy evidence for it.

    And what are senior military and national security leaders doing involving themselves with climate science? I consider it a discharge offense. Mr Trump, where are you?

    ‘The additional claim that climate change is “accelerating” can also be challenged.’

    It’s bogus from the start. ‘Climate change’ is undefined. The undefined cannot be ‘accelerating.’

  3. oldbrew says:

    ‘Climate change’ is undefined. The undefined cannot be ‘accelerating.’

    Indeed, but the media hype is accelerating with or without anything of substance to back it up. Attribution (to human causes) is based on assertion and belief.

  4. Hifast says:

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections and commented:
    “It’s time for the science of climate change to be independently reviewed by a body whose members do not depend upon climate alarmism to sustain their careers.”
    – Dr. Roy Spencer

  5. Don B says:

    The sea level is a great indicator of global warming and cooling. For example, the sea level has risen 400 feet since this interglacial began. All natural.

    More to the point, a tide gauge installed at the end of Manhattan Island in the 1850s shows that the sea level was rising as fast before the U.S. Civil War as it is today. There has been no acceleration in SLR. From that data it is not possible to show that human activity is causing any sea level rise.

    https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=8518750

  6. ren says:

    The temperature above the 80th parallel has now fallen below the average of 1958-2002.

    It is now such as in the middle of winter (-29 C).

  7. tasfaymartinov says:

    These are the new ‘30s.
    Climate fascism now has its Hit1er youth.

    “The best lack all conviction, while the worst
    Are full of passionate intensity.”
    Yeats, Second Coming

  8. A C Osborn says:

    What they are afraid of is having their Grants cut and the world waking up to the Scam that has perpretated on them.
    There are Trillions at stake here.

  9. oldbrew says:

    The Met Office can’t find any of their make-believe human-caused warming here…

    16 March 2019 at 1:25pm
    Wintry conditions return as Met Office issues five weather warnings

    A yellow warning for snow is in place until Saturday night for much of Scotland, Northern Ireland and the north east of England, while wind and rain are forecast for Wales with high winds expected on the south coast.

    As much as 10cm of snow could fall on higher ground, according to forecasters.

    Parts of the UK woke up to snow on Saturday morning after an area of low pressure swept across the country, signalling a start to the cold front.

    https://www.itv.com/news/2019-03-16/in-pictures-snow-showers-spoil-start-to-spring/


    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-47588473

  10. jb says:

    “Extreme orthodoxy betrays by its very frenzy that the poison of skepticism has entered the soul of the church; for men insist most vehemently upon their certainties when their hold upon them has been shaken. Frantic orthodoxy is a method for obscuring doubt.” pp2-3 Does Civilization Need Religion? –Reinhold Niebuhr

    The First Church of GWPF steps up witnessing.

  11. pochas94 says:

    I think that by now most people suspect that climate science is a crock. So provoking hysteria on the part of the climate warriors may be the best option for the Donald prior to the election if it wins over swing voters.

  12. oldbrew says:

    Yet another climate scare bites the dust…

    IGNORE CLIMATE HYSTERIA: CALIFORNIA’S ‘PERMANENT’ DROUGHT WAS FAKE NEWS
    Date: 15/03/19 Los Angeles Times

    It’s official: California is 100% drought-free.

    “The reservoirs are full, lakes are full, the streams are flowing, there’s tons of snow,” said Jessica Blunden, a climate scientist with the National Climatic Data Center at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. “All the drought is officially gone.”

    https://www.thegwpf.com/ignore-climate-hysteria-californias-permanent-drought-was-fake-news/

  13. Val says:

    “Climate change is real… and it’s accelerating.”

    It could hardly be accelerating when the change isn’t even systematic.
    The slightly warmer temperature that’s existed now for two decades
    resulted from brief episodes of warming associated with El Ninos – warming that was random.

    https://edberry.com/blog/climate-physics/agw-hypothesis/what-is-really-behind-the-increase-in-atmospheric-co2/ [16:00]

    It couldn’t have been caused by CO2, which increased steadily.

  14. stpaulchuck says:

    “is believed to be”
    science or religion? That’s easy. If you have to believe in something as opposed to it being an objective fact standing on it’s own feet, then you’re in a religion. I give you AGW. QED, a religion.

  15. stpaulchuck says:

    A C Osborn says:
    March 16, 2019 at 5:22 pm
    What they are afraid of is having their Grants cut and the world waking up to the Scam that has perpretated on them.
    There are Trillions at stake here.
    ————————————————–

    BINGO!! got it in one my friend. In both academia and the political arena, this is now and always has been about the Benjamins. There are herds of semi to unskilled professors and post-docs out there terrified they might have to get an honest job, perhaps at Home Depot or Taco Bell. Politicians have ALWAYS been rent seekers so it’s no surprise they jumped on this band wagon right from the git-go.

    But then beating a dead horse is one of their specialties too.

  16. oldbrew says:

    Solar cycle 24 / 25 transition – two predictions.

  17. oldbrew says:

    Exposing the alarmists…

    New York Times: Time to PANIC !
    http://appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/Panic.htm

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