Climate Crisis? Four Major Metrics That Say Otherwise

Posted: March 17, 2019 by oldbrew in climate, Forecasting, Natural Variation, opinion, weather
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Joe Bastardi argues that loud claims of a climate about to spin out of control are out of tune with various actual observations.

I have long advocated that climatologists take a course on long-range forecasting so they can better understand the inherent errors in trying to predict the weather or climate, says Joe Bastardi at Patriot Post.

In the debate over the fate of the planet, where one side is always pushing hysteria, the weather is plainly not cooperating with the missive.

Forecasters take climatology classes and are now being taught the one-sided climate narrative, but in general, climatologists do not have to learn how to forecast.

If they did, they would have to confront errors. I have had to confront mine, the latest example being this past winter’s botched forecast for the Southeast.

Because climatologists are not exposed to forecast verification, it has led to a bold initiative that simply pushes an issue because no one will question it.

From the evidence I have seen, not only is the cause of warming questionable (there’s no question it’s warming; the question is why it’s warming), but the implied negative impacts are also questionable, because there are factual examples of the opposite happening.

I am not trying to be mean and nasty. That is not my mission. My mission in writing a piece like this is to show what I am looking at and why I question what I am being told. It does me no good to engage in the kind of activity I see out there today with derogatory labeling. In fact, I am trying to go the other way.

The assumption, of course, is that everyone is truly searching for the right answer. But if that is the case, is the missive being pushed not unlike using the fruit of a poisoned tree, wherein the means justify the ends? What if the ends are not at all what they are purported to be?

If a catastrophe that is driving children to sue the government is actually occurring, why are there major metrics opposite of what is being claimed?

Continued here.

  1. Gamecock says:

    Climate change is politics, not science. I don’t think the esteemed Joe Bastardi is going to find a scientific solution to a political problem.

  2. ren says:

    The map shows the waves of stratospheric intrusion in the northeast the US.

  3. oldbrew says:

    Going, going…not going – since 2008. Big El Niño around 2016, another one in 2012.
    No man-made CO2 signal.

  4. stpaulchuck says:

    “I am not trying to be mean and nasty.”

    Well, I am. These CAGW snake oil salesmen should be tarred and feathered and run out of the country on a previously heated electric rail.

    We’ve had years of proof that the numbers are tortured into gibberish so all the ‘findings’ based on them are crap – GIGO. Just the actual coverage percentage for surface temperatures alone dictates that their conclusions are total fiction and nonsense (we had at least one paper on that here at tallbloke). There is no more time to be ladies and gentlemen on this. It’s time to roll up the sleeves and have at them.
    “Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats.” – H. L. Mencken