Green Germany risks running out of power 

Posted: July 18, 2019 by oldbrew in Energy, government, ideology
Tags: , ,

Residential solar panels in Germany.
Credit: Wikimedia Commons/ Sideka Solartechnik


The German energy crunch looms in the next few years, not unlike some other over-committed renewables enthusiasts, for example Britain. European countries don’t seem to see or admit the potential problem of relying on each other for imports. Somebody has to have an excess of power for that to work, but as more countries favour renewables over power stations the availability of on-demand electricity must inevitably decline.

H/T The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Germany, a poster child for renewable energy, is renouncing nuclear and coal.

The problem is, say many power producers and grid operators, it may struggle to keep the lights on.

The country, the biggest electricity market in the European Union, is abandoning nuclear power by 2022 due to safety concerns compounded by the Fukushima disaster and phasing out coal plants over the next 19 years to combat climate change.

In the next three years alone conventional energy capacity is expected to fall by a fifth, leaving it short of the country’s peak power demand.

There is disagreement over whether there will be sufficient reliable capacity to preclude the possibility of outages, which could hammer the operations of industrial companies.

The Berlin government, in a report issued this month, said the situation was secure, and shortfalls could be offset by better energy efficiency, a steadily rising supply of solar and wind power as well as electricity imports.

Others are not as confident, including many utilities, network operators, manufacturing companies and analysts.

Katharina Reiche, chief executive of the VKU association of local utilities, many of which face falling profitability as plants close, said the government’s strategy was risky because it had not stress-tested all scenarios. She characterized the plan as “walking a tightrope without a safety net”.

Utilities and grid firms say if the weather is unfavorable for lengthy periods, green power supply can be negligible, while storage is still largely non-existent.

Source here.

Comments
  1. JB says:

    George Santayana was so right. The Germans have not learned anything from their previous economic and industrial collapses. What participating countries will find that adhere to this mentality is complete collapse of their economic and industrial infrastructure, despite the warnings. In this, George really had some insight.

    “Progress, far from consisting in change, depends on retentiveness. When change is absolute there remains no being to improve and no direction is set for possible improvement: and when experience is not retained, as among savages, infancy is perpetual. Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it. In the first stage of life the mind is frivolous and easily distracted, it misses progress by failing in consecutiveness and persistence. This is the condition of children and barbarians, in which instinct has learned nothing from experience.”

  2. Phoenix44 says:

    Many people seem to have this weird belief in the fragility of nature whilst believing that man-made infrastructure and services cannot ever be lost. The truth is the opposite, that nature is massively resilient and what we make must be constantly renewed, repaired and defended.

    The fools in Extinction Rebellion think we will still have all the things they use and love, and which keep them alive and safe, no matter what they do to society and the economy. If we go down their road, they are in for a very rude awakening.

  3. Stephen Richards says:

    Don’t you concern yourself with the Germans. They will do whatever is necessary to keep their industry well fed with energy no matter what the EU may say or do. The new president is german, after all.

  4. ivan says:

    safety concerns compounded by the Fukushima disaster

    If they are afraid of a tsunami taking out their nuclear plants they should be very afraid of it taking out most of their unreliable renewables as well.

    I assume that was the excuse the green blob used in the charge to remove any and all reliable sources of energy and so drive up the cost of power to the people by using unreliables – all in accordance with the Marxist diktat of the UN Agenda 21 and Agenda 30. But then what is to be expected with Fuhrer Merkel in charge?

  5. oldbrew says:

    JULY 12, 2019
    Shifts to renewable energy can drive up energy poverty, study finds
    by Portland State University

    Efforts to shift away from fossil fuels and replace oil and coal with renewable energy sources can help reduce carbon emissions but do so at the expense of increased inequality, according to a new Portland State University study.
    . . .
    Their findings, published recently in the journal Energy Research & Social Science, support previous claims by researchers who argue that renewable energy consumption may be indirectly driving energy poverty.

    https://phys.org/news/2019-07-shifts-renewable-energy-poverty.html

    Economic and social damage for no measureable benefit, except possible drop in fuel imports :/

  6. pochas94 says:

    Amazed that the Germans, who I consider to be intelligent people, would go blindly forward with such self-destructive measures. How does this happen?

  7. Gamecock says:

    ‘Better energy efficiency’ will work. When the power goes out, efficiency approaches 100%.

    For the rational, betting on ‘better energy efficiency’ is suicidal.

  8. oldbrew says:

    Some problems Germany has created for itself:
    1) rapid phase-out of nuclear power, then trying to stop coal gen as well
    2) offshore wind only in the north, power shortages mainly in the south (north has most of the coal)
    3) over-spend on renewables sometimes leading to wild swings in electricity supply
    4) supply priority for renewables makes new gas gen too risky for investors, existing gas gen unprofitable
    5) high prices for electricity, still going up faster than incomes
    6) increasing reliance on imports to bail out their wonky elec. grid

  9. ozymandiasssss says:

    They have their Russian gas pipeline coming in now so they will have all they want. NATO to protect them from Russia and Russia to protect them from energy deficits. Nice job.

  10. stpaulchuck says:

    “Hon… lay in some extra popcorn. This is fun to watch.”
    ————-
    “Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder.” – Arnold J. Toynbee

  11. oldbrew says:

    Adequate gas supply is not the issue, but having enough places to turn it into electricity is – when it’s been made uneconomic to do so.

    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2018/04/29/german-eco-friendly-gas-power-plant-set-to-be-idled-for-third-successive-year/

    But it might become more ‘economic’ when the country is desperate 😉

  12. oldbrew says:

    Tony Abbott brands wind turbines ‘dark satanic mills of the modern era’

    The former Prime Minister of Australia noted he was comforted to hear plans to keep existing coal power stations in operation
    . . .
    He suggested keeping existing coal-fired power in the system is vital in avoiding a “disaster”.

    The politician has previously described the renewable energy infrastructure as “ugly”, “noisy” and “awful”.

    https://www.energylivenews.com/2019/07/19/tony-abbott-brands-wind-turbines-dark-satanic-mills-of-the-modern-era/

  13. stpaulchuck says:

    Delingpole had a blogger note that wind farms and solar farms are actually subsidy farms, without which no one would buy their overpriced, unreliable, crap product.

    Germany needs a strong dose of what South Australia has suffered through with their idiot wind farms.

  14. tom0mason says:

    One really snowy winter spell across Europe will see how ineffective and unreliable their electricity grid system truly is. One cold winter and it will exposed the rift between national interests and EU wide interests.
    Is there a workable/tested contingency plan to cover the probability of a cold and snowy winter in Europe?

  15. oldbrew says:

    German students fined for skipping class to protest climate change

    Four Mannheim families have to pay €88.50 each as a result of children taking place [sic] in the Fridays for Future demonstration

    https://www.energylivenews.com/2019/07/20/german-students-fined-for-skipping-class-to-protest-climate-change/
    – – –
    They should address their complaints to the Sun. ‘Dear Sun…’

  16. […] via Green Germany risks running out of power  — Tallbloke’s Talkshop […]

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