Global energy demand to double by 2050 

Posted: July 20, 2019 by oldbrew in Analysis, Energy
Tags: , , ,


While many richer countries play fake climate games with their so-called ‘virtue signalling’ energy policies, the not-so-well-off majority try to get more access to those same power sources which are so necessary for better living conditions, e.g. air conditioning in hotter countries, and for general prosperity and health: more schools, hospitals, roads and all the rest.

Global power consumption will more than double over the next 30 years, says The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF).

Global oil and gas demand will respectively surge 22% and 66% from 2020 to 2050. There’s an unimaginable urbanization boom occurring around the world that means more energy use.

We, of course, don’t see much of it here in the West, but global cities swell in population by some 80 million people every year: e.g., the rise of the “megacity” with 10 million residents.

Basically all population growth in the decades ahead will take place in urban areas, all of which will be in the still developing nations (non-OECD), where poverty and insufficient access to energy is far more rampant than our worst nightmares could ever imagine.

And just look to the West to see why urbanization is desirable.

The rich, developed nations have urbanization rates of 85% and above, versus less than 40% for some of the world’s massively populated countries, such as India and Bangladesh.

The world today is only 55% urban, and that will rise to 75% before 2050.

No wonder: moving to a city brings greater employment prospects, more educational opportunities, better health care, more access to cultural activities, and an overall higher quality of life.

Urbanites have more money and access so they consume more energy: “Urbanization: Reducing Poverty and Helping the Environment.

The global energy demand trend is increasingly… up.

Poverty

Indeed, the reality is that the world is tragically and overwhelmingly poor, far beyond the comprehension of the rich Westerners trying to dictate global energy policies.

Over 80% of all people live in still developing countries, or some 6 in every 7 humans.

These unfortunate souls live in the backwater of humanity, increasingly becoming an afterthought to a Western world ignoring their present and immense energy needs – rich folks forcing the poor to not use the same energy that made them rich.

They are dangerously forced to use biomass for energy, like wood and dung, sadly destined to perish long before their time.

It’s women and children that suffer the most because they are the ones filling their days with mundane tasks like collecting wood, never any time to better their economic condition.

Some 16,000 children under age 5 die every day from preventable causes, which is enabled by poverty, which is enabled by a lack of energy.

That’s a city-proper population of Miami wiped out every month by problems we solved over a century ago.

Take electricity, the sine qua non of a modern society.

At less than 2,500 kWh per capita per year, over half the world uses less than 40% what the average Europe consumes and less than 20% of what we Americans use.

Again, the richest, healthiest nations on Earth devouring the most energy and now demanding that the world’s poor can’t do the same.

Over 600 million Sub-Saharan Africans have no electricity whatsoever: “Electrify Africa and Save Hundreds of Millions of Lives.”

All UN poverty reduction goals have access to electricity as a prerequisite.

Global power consumption will more than double over the next 30 years.

And as for oil and natural gas, two sources that supply 60% of the world’s total energy.

The reality is that many massively populated countries have JUST STARTED to consume: “What If India And China Used Natural Gas And Oil Like The U.S.?

For these reasons, the U.S. Department of Energy concludes that global oil and gas demand will respectively surge 22% and 66% from 2020 to 2050.

Regardless of what you keep hearing and what some want you to think, eradicating poverty is justifiability the first priority of all governments: “The Paris Climate Accords Are Looking More and More Like Fantasy.”

More energy is truly the heart of it all.

The global energy demand trend is increasingly… up.

Air Conditioning

Another everyday example of why the world will clearly be using more energy in the decades ahead is air conditioning.

Full article here.

Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Global energy demand to double by 2050

    But poor countries are unlikely to be awash with wind turbines and solar panels by 2050.

  2. ivan says:

    Can’t help wondering what is going to happen when the Chinese start coal fired or nuclear power stations to third world countries. The west could be doing that but they won’t for ideological reasons.

  3. Adam Gallon says:

    The Chinese are already selling coal-fired power stations to Third World countries. Rather than building them, they’re financing them. https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/show/single/en/11059-Should-China-export-clean-coal-power-

  4. oldbrew says:

    Adam – yes, at least partly because the climate cranks at the World Bank won’t finance coal power any more.

  5. stpaulchuck says:

    not if they can kill half the population first

  6. oldbrew says:

    FORGET THE CLIMATE HYSTERIA: HERE’S A GLOBAL ENERGY REALITY CHECK
    Date: 24/07/19 Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian

    There is zero chance that any developing country will stop their CO2 emissions increases until they have achieved the same levels of per capita energy consumption that we have here in the U.S. and in Europe.

    https://www.thegwpf.com/forget-the-climate-hysteria-heres-a-global-energy-reality-check/

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