Putting a Cap on Heat Hysteria

Posted: July 21, 2019 by oldbrew in alarmism, Natural Variation, Temperature, weather
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Forecaster Joe Bastardi attempts to cool some fevered brows with a more rational view of recent weather.

PA Pundits - International

Joe Bastardi  ~   

It’s summer, it’s hot, and the climate-change agenda is turning up the heat on the weaponization of weather. So I thought some perspective may be in order.

No question the last three Julys have been warmer than average for a large area of the nation.

But for perspective, the three Julys before that were quite cool in the U.S.

The 2015-16 Super El Niño, with its input of massive amounts of water vapor, changed all that. How can we tell it’s water vapor and not CO2? Because nighttime lows (mins) are beating out daytime highs (maxes) in relation to averages. The moisture in the air when the air is stable at night effectively keeps temperatures up (as do Urban Heat Islands). However, because there is not enough corresponding warming aloft, more clouds form during the day from convective processes as it heats up…

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Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Ron Clutz writes:
    As it happens, chapter six of 2017’s Fourth National Climate Assessment reports that heat waves measured as high daily temperatures are becoming less common in the contiguous U.S., not more frequent.

    https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2019/07/20/nyt-does-more-weird-science-heat-waves/

  2. hunterson7 says:

    As Ron points out, heatwaves are actually less common over the last 100 years or so.

  3. Jim says:

    What is not pointed out, was that the high temps, where I live, have been three degrees over average, for the heat wave and nine degrees under average in the American Midwest.

  4. JB says:

    Nuts. As a Mid-Westerner the hottest its been around here was in 2001 if I recall correctly. Two weeks straight of temps hovering around 105º/40º, causing us to install another R15 of blown insulation in the attic. Living in the Rockies as a kid it got up that high, but the humidity was low, and my parents would sometimes remark at the extraordinary temps they endured in SoCal during the 30s when few people could afford A/C.

    My son’s generation will be lamenting these warm periods in another 20 years. Some people have nothing better to do than argue with the weather, grandiosely thinking they have a significant impact on climate.

    We ought to appreciate more that good we have when it is present. The only comparable thing that changes more frequently is the temperament of a woman.

  5. oldbrew says:

    The 2015-16 Super El Niño, with its input of massive amounts of water vapor, changed all that.

    El Niños (or lack of) must have a big effect on cloud cover too.
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A:1005672825112

  6. oldbrew says:

    WRITTEN BY CHRIS MARTZ, GUEST POST ON JULY 21, 2019.

    Heatwave Hysteria? It’s Called Summer

    While everyone is fixated on the heatwave, they ignore the unusual cold that’s nearby (Figure 3). As all-weather forecasters should know, “for every action, there’s an equal and opposite reaction.”

    In other words, for every place that there are warm anomalies, there are places with cool anomalies; it’s nature’s balancing act.
    . . .
    According to the Fourth U.S. National Climate Assessment, the average duration of warm spells (heatwaves) has declined from around eleven days during the 1930s to 6.5 days during the 2000s (Figure 5).³

    In other words, the average duration of heatwaves has declined by nearly 41% since the 1930s.

    https://climatechangedispatch.com/heatwave-hysteria-called-summer/


    – – –
    Of course all this relates to the USA but the climate distortions of the media etc. are universal.

  7. tom0mason says:

    Humm …, didn’t some guy named Steinbeck write a book about angry grapes (or some such ), that although a fiction was based on the devastating hot and dry weather of the 1930s, and the migrations caused by the dust bowl effects of that time? Real climate migrations!
    Wasn’t June-July of 1936 the hottest months ever in the USA (Looking at the raw temperature records not the newly adjusted temperature records)?
    Like Tony Heller does here —

    Is his analysis wrong, if so where?

  8. oldbrew says:

    Of course when the US was unusually hot in the Thirties, somewhere else might have been unusually cold. The world’s a big place 😎

  9. stpaulchuck says:

    Here in the Twin Cities near the end of July at 10:30 in the morning it has yet to break 70 degrees (outside of the urban areas). Yesterday it barely broke into the 70’s. This global warming is really tough to deal with here. [/sarc for those who couldn’t tell]

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