DoD study: climate change will destroy us… in 2020 

Posted: December 29, 2019 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, government
Tags:


This was a scenario rather than a prediction, but the two are easily confused in today’s alarm-oriented world. Interestingly they expected climate trouble ‘regardless of human activity’.

Read the DoD’s terrifying 2004 study and gain perspective about today’s warnings of Climate Emergency, says Larry Kummer @ Fabius Maximus.
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The DoD (US Department of Defense) says:

Are we prepared for history to repeat itself again?

There is a debate in newspapers around the globe today on the impact of human activity on climate change. Because economic prosperity is correlated with energy use and greenhouse gas emissions, it is often argued that economic progress leads to climate change. Competing evidence suggests that climate change can occur, regardless of human activity as seen in climate events that happened prior to modern society.

It’s important to understand human impacts on the environment – both what’s done to accelerate and decelerate (or perhaps even reverse) the tendency toward climate change. Alternative fuels, greenhouse gas emission controls, and conservation efforts are worthwhile endeavors. In addition, we should prepare for the inevitable effects of abrupt climate change – which will likely come regardless of human activity.

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Source: An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United
States National Security
[October 2003 – 23 pages]

Comments
  1. Gamecock says:

    ‘climate events’

    Nonsense. Weather has events. Climate cannot possibly. They don’t know what climate means.

    But they sound sciency.

  2. Curious George says:

    While authors Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall are listed at the top page, they discreetly omitted themselves on the Report Documentation Page 🙂

  3. oldbrew says:

    Written in 2003 (on page 21 of report):

    There is a debate in newspapers around the globe today on the impact of human activity on climate change. Because economic prosperity is correlated with energy use and greenhouse gas emissions, it is often argued that economic progress leads to climate change. Competing evidence suggests that climate change can occur, regardless of human activity as seen in climate events that happened prior to modern society. [bold added]

  4. JB says:

    The prognostications for 2010-2020 are hilarious. Astonishing how brash some people can get. One would think they might have taken a lesson from the True Believers in the 19th century and earlier who persistently failed to predict the future.

  5. oldbrew says:

    In addition, we should prepare for the inevitable effects of abrupt climate change – which will likely come regardless of human activity.

    Back to the old standby: assertion, aka ‘because we say so’.

  6. […] über DoD study: climate change will destroy us… in 2020  — Tallbloke’s Talkshop […]

  7. BoyfromTottenham says:

    Can anyone find comment from (any) western government on this study?

  8. oldmanK says:

    Not exactly the end-of-year good wishes; but a hint or two for those seeking new year resolutions.

    The report makes interesting reading seeing that it was originated in 2003. Some comments here:

    “as they did when the ocean conveyor collapsed 8,200 years ago,”. The 8k2 event is now known to have been much more than conveyor collapse. The graph further down would now also show the 7k2, 5k2, and other events.
    “Less fortunate nations especially those with ancient
    enmities with their neighbors, may initiate in struggles for access to food, clean
    water, or energy. Unlikely alliances could be formed as defense priorities shift and
    the goal is resources for survival rather than religion, ideology, or national honor.” — Makes you think.
    “conventional wisdom
    is that modern civilization will either adapt to whatever weather conditions we face
    and that the pace of climate change will not overwhelm the adaptive capacity of
    society” — “This view of climate change may be a dangerous act of self-deception”. Possibly self–deception to both alarmists and skeptics.
    “Weather-related events have an enormous impact on society,” Only weather related? 8k2,7k2,5k2, plus, were not just weather related.
    “During the 8,200 event severe winters in Europe and some
    other areas caused glaciers to advance, rivers to freeze, and agricultural lands to be
    less productive.” At the 8k2 event it is claimed that rising sea level flooded Doggerland. How come? Climate has changed but Doggerland remains deep under. So a tectonic event is evident.
    “Human civilization began with the stabilization and warming of the Earth’s climate.” Not quite. History shows that civilisations were repeatedly wiped out prior to the cooling around first millennium bce. The 5k2 event was a major wipe-out.
    “Disruption and conflict will be endemic features of life.” The things that make it into history books. The natural events are relegated to myth.

  9. oldbrew says:

    More historical climate change…

    As the river rises: Cahokia’s emergence and decline linked to Mississippi River flooding
    May 4, 2015

    At Cahokia, the largest prehistoric settlement in the Americas north of Mexico, new evidence suggests that major flood events in the Mississippi River valley are tied to the cultural center’s emergence and ultimately, to its decline.

    Publishing May 4 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, a research team led by UW–Madison geographers Samuel Munoz and Jack Williams provides this evidence, hidden beneath two lakes in the Mississippi floodplain. Sediment cores from these lakes, dating back nearly 2,000 years, provide evidence of at least eight major flood events in the central Mississippi River valley that could help explain the enigmatic rise and fall of Cahokia, near present-day St. Louis.

    While the region saw frequent flood events before A.D. 600 and after A.D. 1200, Cahokia rose to prominence during a relatively arid and flood-free period and flourished in the years before a major flood in 1200, the study reveals. That was also a time of political instability and population decline. Two hundred years later, Cahokia was completely abandoned.

    https://news.wisc.edu/as-the-river-rises-cahokias-emergence-and-decline-linked-to-mississippi-river-flooding/
    – – –
    Any similar event now would of course be seized upon by climate doomers as ‘evidence’ of the folly of wicked humanity’s burning of fossil fuels 🤣

    From another study:
    “Archaeologists have recognized that from 1300 onward, Mississippian villages started disappearing one after the other, almost like lightbulbs in a string, but the question has always been ‘why?’” Wilson said. “Dr. Bird and his students have shown from the lake-sediment evidence that during the period known as the Little Ice Age, from 1300 to 1800, there was a profound change in climate to colder and drier conditions, which would have negatively impacted the growing of maize in and around Mississippian villages.

    “It’s important for us to understand how past civilizations coped with climate change as we encounter things like changing precipitation patterns and temperatures that appear to be rising around the world today.” [bold added]

    https://medicine.iu.edu/news/2017/01/climate-change-new-world-population-decine/
    – – –
    ‘how past civilizations coped with climate change’ – before climate change existed, according to warmist propaganda.

  10. hunterson7 says:

    It wasn’t even an actual Pentagon study. It was a lobbying effort to get the Pentagon to endorse the bs study.