A cool July ends with notable heat

Posted: August 4, 2020 by oldbrew in MET office, Natural Variation, weather

We learn that ‘The UK as a whole was -0.8°C below the long-term (1981-2010) average for the month.’ This is described as ‘a fairly unremarkable month’ until a warm last day. Would it also have been unremarkable if it was 0.8C *above* the long-term average?

Official blog of the Met Office news team

July 2020 was looking to be a fairly unremarkable month in terms of climate statistics for the UK, until hot conditions closed the month on the 31st.

Overall it was a cool month, with most days having temperatures below average. Successive low pressure systems brought cloud, rain and predominantly westerly winds across parts of the UK, keeping temperatures down. The UK as a whole was -0.8°C below the long-term (1981-2010) average for the month. As the anomaly map indicates, the south-east of the UK was the only region to get close to average temperatures for July.

One outlier of the July statistics is the maximum temperatures recorded on Friday 31st July. Tim Legg from the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre, said: “An area of low pressure in the Atlantic acted to draw warm air up from the continent, bringing a day of heat to much of…

View original post 421 more words

  1. EternalOptimist says:

    unremarkable my a***e.
    whoever said the uk was no longer a wet and windy place should be yolked, tarred, feathered then forced to run my barbeques. of which I have had TWO, this year. both at 19c and one of which i got rained on, much to the amusement of my locked down neighbours.


  2. Phoenix44 says:

    Most days below average is unremarkable when we have been promised hotter than average? Nearly a full degree below average overall? If that is natural variation then every day above average and an overall 0.8 degrees above average is natural variation.

  3. oldbrew says:

    In the blinkered world of climateers rising temps are a symptom of a climate emergency but falling temps are ‘fairly unremarkable’.

  4. Stephen Richards says:

    It’s my biggest complaint about the UKMO and Météo France as well. They are never open and honest. They never provide uncertainty caveats with their forecast although the Météo france TV forecasts use the most useless graphics in the world . Whereas, the UKMO have among the best.

  5. cognog2 says:

    What is the 1982-2019 average temperature? In degrees centigrade please. Why on earth do we never seem to provide this sort of information on all these anomaly graphs?
    To me the absence destroys the perspective on what is likely to actually happen as indicated by the anomaly figures.
    Controlling the earth’s temperature to an increase of say 1.5 or 2.0 Deg.C means nothing unless you know the actual figures involved. An increase on what? is the basic question to be asked.

    I suspect there is a sinister motive behind this suppression of information; as the actual figures would be very much less alarming than the anomalies.

  6. oldbrew says:

    They only adjust by -0.2C for ‘urban warming’, since 1974. Note: these are the anomalies.

    My comment on the Met Office blog last night is still ‘awaiting moderation’.
    Update 7th Aug @ 1320 : still waiting.

  7. oldbrew says:

    UK summer in the ‘climate emergency’ with rampant global warming – really?
    Met. O.: Sunshine has been below average at 83% (142.4 hours) overall for the UK.

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