Arctic Adds 3 Wadhams of Ice in November (so far)

Posted: November 25, 2020 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, sea ice

Recent Arctic sea ice alarm turns out to be yet another nothingburger.

Science Matters

After concerns over lackluster ice recovery in October, November is seeing ice roaring back.  The image above shows the last 3 weeks adding 3 M km2 of sea ice.  (The metric 1 Wadham = 1 M km2 comes from the professor’s predictions of an ice-free Arctic, meaning less than 1 M km2 extent) The Russian shelf seas on the left filled with ice early on.  On the CanAm side, Beaufort at the bottom center is iced over, Canadian Archipelago (center right) is frozen, and Baffin Bay is filling from the north down.  Hudson Bay (far right) first grew fast ice around the edges, and is now half iced over.  A background post is reprinted below, showing that in just 23 days, 2020 has added 3.1 M km2, 50% more than an average 30-day November.

The graph above shows November Arctic ice extents for the 13-year average and some other notable…

View original post 902 more words

  1. gbaikie says:

    I think mentioned, that we are living in an Ice Age.

  2. Phoenix44 says:

    That chart exemplifies ones of the issues with this farrago – why do we bother measuring sea-ice daily? It encourages all sorts of extrapolation and excitements that are not at all justified nor meaningful. Sea ice will do different things each day of each year forever and I’m sure always has done. Some years ago I read Taleb’s Fooled by Randomness and he made the same point about investing – people who look at their portfolio every day do worse over time than those who look once or twice a year. They trade more often and so have higher costs and wrongly see trends that aren’t there. Sea ice us the same – check on it four times a year, if that.

  3. johna says:

    Seeing that CO2 never drove Earths past climate changes – as shown in all ice core records. And that they also show significant warming and cooling periods in the interglacial’s with no corresponding CO2 driving relationship. And also considering that as we Engineers and Scientists have developed a World which functions brilliantly on our understand of the laws of physics and thermodynamics. Its little wonder that as thermal (photon) energy from the Sun to the Earths surface (through the atmosphere) fluctuates and heat dissipates to the cooler surface, surface temperature hence polar ice will also fluctuate – albeit with the heat flux of the Earth, i.e. it’s not instant. This is clear from the thermal energy flow equation q = ε σ (Th4 – Tc4) Ah

    Therefore the most reasonable climate stance, in my opinion, has always to be the ongoing development of cleaner and more efficient methods for burning our vast fossil fuel reserves and an economically balanced shift to non fossil energy, in sync with the rest of the World. Remembering that a vast proportion of the Worlds populations still do not have electricity clean flowing water and sewerage drainage.

    And this is is the issue, as no sooner had we a champion of this balanced approach, where we all could have a burgeoning economies again, we now have a fanatic who’s work has been thoroughly discredited along with the cohorts he colluded with, who are also the fanatics Thatcher summoned in getting the Hadley Centre to start the great CO2 lie. Sadly, the new leader of the so called free world has no clue of physics and thermodynamics either and also does not give a hoot for his fellow citizens. As if he did he would put the corrupt Paris accord to one side and listen to the voice of reason and re run the the debate in an open and transparent manner.

  4. oldbrew says:

    Pro-alarmist media only report the seasonal melts, never the equally seasonal recoveries.

  5. Great news, now at least one prediction I made this year, a month ago, was good: Expect a dramatic increase in Arctic sea ice this winter.

  6. oldbrew says:

    ENSO Outlook
    An alert system for the El Niño–Southern Oscillation
    24 November 2020

    LA NIÑA likely to continue until at least the end of summer 2020–21

    The cooling forecast by the models suggest this La Niña event will peak at moderate to strong levels, though conditions are currently weaker than those observed in the 2010 event.
    – – –
    Give it time…

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