Ten climate predictions for 2020 that went horribly wrong 

Posted: December 29, 2020 by oldbrew in alarmism, Critique, Incompetence, predictions
Tags: ,

Arctic sea ice [image credit: Geoscience Daily]

H/T The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

As ever, too much reliance on climate models is liable to lead to embarrassment and failure. But there’s always a supply of new or recycled scares to fall back on, preferably those with distant expiry dates to avoid loss of face.
– – –
It seems climate armageddon has taken a permanent sabbatical, says PJ Media.

Long before Beto O’Rourke claimed the world only had 10 years left for humans to act against climate change, alarmists had spent decades predicting one doomsday scenario after another, each of which stubbornly failed to materialize.

Many of those doomsday predictions specifically mentioned the annus horribilus of 2020.

Those predictions also failed, some rather spectacularly.

Steve Milloy, a former Trump/Pence EPA transition team member and founder of JunkScience.com, compiled ten climate predictions for 2020 that fell far off the mark.

1. Average global temperature up 3 degrees Celsius

Continued here.

  1. Graeme No.3 says:

    You could not fault them on recycling.

    1923 Montana Glacier could disappear in 25 years
    Says Professor. Medford Mail Tribune (Oregon) Dec. 29 FAIL

    1952 Montana’s Glacier Park may need new name
    The giant glaciers are melting away and could be gone in 50 years
    say naturalists The Post-Standard (Syracuse New York) Mar 05, 1952 FAIL

    2009 No more Glaciers in Montana by 2020?
    National Geographic News March 2 2009 FAIL

    2014 No more Glaciers in Montana by 2034?
    What will they call Glacier National Park (Montana) in 30 years when all the glaciers are gone? New York Times Nov. 22, 2014

  2. oldbrew says:

    Arctic summer sea ice has been ‘rapidly melting’ for decades, but never seems to disappear as predicted. What definition of *rapid* are they using?

  3. oldbrew says:

    Coldest December in Beijing casts shadow over epidemic control
    Published: Dec 30, 2020

    Apart from the resurgence of the coronavirus that has confined many Beijingers at home, local residents now have another reason to stay indoors – the bitter wind and extreme cold as the city saw its coldest recorded December day in 42 years at -26 C, with residents astonished at the sudden temperature drop.

    “The forecast for Beijing is even colder than the North Pole,” a netizen on China’s Twitter-like Sina Weibo said early on Wednesday, posting screenshots of weather-tracking apps which read -13 C in Beijing and -3 C at the North Pole.
    . . .
    The lowest temperature of -26 C on Tuesday was recorded at Beijing Foyeding meteorological observatory in the northwest district of Yanqing, the highest weather observatory in Beijing at 1,224.7 meters high. It was the coldest December temperature recorded in Beijing since 1978 when the observatory was established.

    – – –
    So it could well be > 42 years since it was last as cold as Tuesday.

  4. stpaulchuck says:

    we’ve all got a trove of these incompetent ‘predictions’. I have to wonder if any of the perpetrators of this nonsense actually believed their claptrap.

    It’s all based on “scientific” models of course, yet even the IPCC knew better years ago:
    “The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” – IPCC TAR WG1, Working Group I: The Scientific Basis

    And as for models, I hesitate to re-post this bit of garage logic but it is SO on the mark:
    “Computer models are no different from fashion models. They’re seductive, unreliable, easily corrupted, and they lead sensible people to make fools of themselves” John in OK

    Not to mention the people like Mann who keep their thumb on the scale the whole time with their data torturing.

  5. oldbrew says:

    No repeat of 2019 heat for most of Australia…

    La Nina points to a cooler and damper summer for Victoria
    January 1, 2021

    With all the cloud around, the odds favour temperatures during the days being average to even cooler than normal, except for areas close to the coast. That’s true for most of the rest of Australia.

    One risk, as in 2011, is for some of the extra tropical moisture around to make its way all the way south. Under the right conditions, Victoria could experience some flooding.

    The relative lack of clear skies, though, will also keep overnight temperatures from dropping as much as usual.

    = = =
    2020 was Sydney’s wettest year in two decades. And there is more to come

    Sydney’s days without sunshine could extend for another week after the city closed out its wettest year in more than two decades.

    The harbour city recorded 1551.2 millimetres of rain in 2020, about a quarter more than the long-run average and the most since 1998, the Bureau of Meteorology said.


  6. […] Ten climate predictions for 2020 that went horribly wrong  […]

  7. […] The analysis of the ten predictions was produced by Steve Milloy and can be read at his website.[Or via the Talkshop, here]. […]

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