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We await to see what effect, if any, the current low-sunspot solar cycles may have on the intensity and frequency of the next few El Niños.
The post below updates the UAH record of air temperatures over land and ocean. But as an overview consider how recent rapid cooling has now completely overcome the warming from the last 3 El Ninos (1998, 2010 and 2016). The UAH record shows that the effects of the last one are now gone as of April 2021. (UAH baseline is now 1991-2020).
For reference I added an overlay of CO2 annual concentrations as measured at Moana Loa. While temperatures fluctuated up and down ending flat, CO2 went up steadily by ~55 ppm, a 15% increase.
Furthermore, going back to previous warmings prior to the satellite record shows that the entire rise of 0.8C since 1947 is due to oceanic, not human activity.
The animation is an update of a previous analysis from Dr. Murry Salby. These graphs use Hadcrut4 and include the 2016 El Nino warming event. The exhibit…
View original post 1,108 more words
Tallbloke's Talkshop 
OCTOBER 13, 2017
Huge spike in global carbon emissions linked to El Niño
…new satellite data shows that the weather phenomenon El Niño is to blame, because it led to dry spells that put stress on plants and trees across the tropics, and made it harder for them to perform their important role of absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
https://phys.org/news/2017-10-huge-spike-global-carbon-emissions.html
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First the temperature rise, then the CO2 increase. Not the other way round.
I’m convinced government grants actually retard science. The grantees first estimate what the grantors want to hear, then they deliver a product that is not science but which defeats the efforts of those who are actually trying to add meaningfully to the body of knowledge.
Rather or beside El Nino, we should also consider, that last-year’s limiting of Air Traffic with it’s production of Cirrus clouds may be behind the Temperature fall and awful cold weather this spring…
Because Solar activity was weaker in 2018-2019, starting to recover slowly in 2020 and now in 2021…
Then, the cold winter and spring in Europe and USA was caused mostly by Polar air pumping southward (could it be related to NATO exercises in Norway?? or was that pressure low just coincident?), while the last three days, when spring came to Europe, it was due to Saharan air pumping northward by pressure low over Britain and Spain…
On Rog’s re-tweeted chart in Twitter feed beside
it looks rather catastrophic, but in reality it is very pleasant the Spring finally came and the flowers started to blossom, albeit two weeks later than usually…
πα½
Yes, temp. anomaly charts can be misleading.
Oulu neutron count is still high, 14+ months after official solar minimum…
Yes. But the supporting quote – however saintly – is by the grandfather of MMT: Mr John Money-printer-Maynard Keynes, who would have spent everyone elses money and taxed every molecule of carbon, had he even heard of cap and trade. I suppose there is some irony.
Justin that is unfair to Keynes. He advocated reducing government spending in upturns, something those who claim to be following Keynes in downturns always forget. The Left are Keynsians only half the time.
Justin. MMT is Balls ( Ed) not Keynes.
Keynes’ tome on General Theory, German Edition 1936 with a forward :
The theory of aggregate production, which is the point of the following book, nevertheless can be much easier adapted to the conditions of a totalitarian state than the theory of production and distribution of a given production put forth under conditions of free competition and a large degree of laissez-faire. This is one of the reasons that justifies the fact that I call my theory a general theory.
I’m afraid someone just did no homework, rather like Greta, I’ll say!
As for Keynes’ Biography of Newton after acquiring some of his documents after an auction at Sotheby’s, he concluded :
Alchemy… was, in many ways, Newton’s life work—more vital to him than physics or mathematics ever was. This Newton “was not the first of the age of reason,” Keynes concluded. “He was the last of the magicians.”
I believe this is what Newton admirer Keynes refers to when he changed his mind.
Well, It’s heartening to see some lefty climate sceptics even if they are leaping to the defence of the godfather of fiat debasement.