Deep ‘decarbonization’ by 2050 currently not plausible, study finds

Posted: June 13, 2021 by oldbrew in climate, net zero, propaganda, research, Temperature
Tags: , ,

ocean wavesSome climate theories aren’t plausible either, including the one that thinks that atmospheric goings-on are more important than ocean dynamics like El Niño and La Niña. But the fear show must go on.
– – –

Today the Hamburg-based Cluster of Excellence “Climate, Climatic Change, and Society” (CLICCS) publishes a new, essential study on climate futures, reports Phys.org.

The study represents the first systematic attempt to investigate whether a climate future with net-zero carbon emissions is not only possible but also plausible.

The authors examine plausibility from a technical-economic perspective, but also with regard to the societal changes necessary for such a future.

They conclude that deep decarbonization by 2050 is currently not plausible—the current efforts to bring about societal transformation need to be far more ambitious.

The European Union is now increasing the ambition of its climate goals, and the German Federal Constitutional Court has recently committed Germany to implementing more ambitious climate action.

So, are we already on the path to a climate-neutral future? “Which climate futures are plausible is not only a physical question, it is at present especially a social one,” says CLICCS Speaker Prof. Detlef Stammer from Universität Hamburg.

“In the Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook we investigate the transformative power of social processes and have developed a completely new method for doing so. We’ll then combine the outcomes with findings from the natu-ral sciences, allowing us to narrow down, step by step, what’s plausible.”

The key factors being explored, also referred to as social drivers, include: United Nations’ climate policy, national climate legislation, protests and social movements, divesting from fossil fuel industries, and media coverage.

Crucially, none of the ten social drivers assessed in the Outlook appear to have enough momentum to reach deep decarbonization by 2050.

Yet reaching deep decarbonization by mid-century is vital if the climate targets laid out in the Paris Agreement are to be achieved.

Full report here.

Comments
  1. Gamecock says:

    ‘They conclude that deep decarbonization by 2050 is currently not plausible—the current efforts to bring about societal transformation need to be far more ambitious.’

    It’s impossible, so we need to try harder.

    ‘divesting from fossil fuel industries’

    “We’re ignorant of how business works.”

    “But you can trust us.”

  2. oldbrew says:

    ‘Deep decarbonization’ won’t change Earth’s atmospheric mass or pressure, its distance from the sun, or the behaviour of the sun and everything else in our galactic neighbourhood.

    So don’t expect much from those extorted billions/trillions of supposedly climate-related taxes and charges.
    – – –
    Joe Bastardi writes…

    Ocean, Global Temp Link plainly seen ( Give me 2 La Nina Coladas and Watch What Happens)
    June 12th, 2021
    NASA announced that the rate of co2 increase over the last year was 5th highest on record.

    From this blog.

    “The global rate of increase [2020 CO2] was the fifth-highest in NOAA’s 63-year record, following 1987, 1998, 2015 and 2016.”

    These are all around times of major el ninos, 2 of them super Ninos, the other, 86-87 a major event. There was an el Nino preceding 2020 (18-19) Right off the bat co2 release has to be linked in some way to that.

    https://www.cfact.org/2021/06/12/ocean-global-temp-link-plainly-seen-give-me-2-la-nina-coladas-and-watch-what-happens/

  3. Coeur de Lion says:

    Anyone take a bet that 2016 WAS the hottest year evah? (a hotter year, I pay up. UAH the yardstick )No, I thought not.

  4. pochas94 says:

    All based on fantasy.

  5. E.M.Smith says:

    The Chinese are building 50 year life span coal power plants at about 1 / week. Talk to them.

    The only “purpose” to “decarbonizing” the West is to assure greater profits from investments made in Chinese cheap labor companies.

    Cripple the west. End the competition. Leave only China with cheap energy and cheap labor. Guess what happens after that…

  6. oldbrew says:

    EMS – re ‘Leave only China with cheap energy and cheap labor. Guess what happens after that…’
    – – –
    They push up their prices and get undercut by India and the rest of Asia’s ‘poor’ countries?

  7. gds44 says:

    Reblogged this on Gds44's Blog.

  8. oldbrew says:

    Fail for climate fearmongers…

    Climate referendum: Swiss reject higher carbon taxes
    Date: 13/06/21 Swiss Info

    Swiss voters have rejected legislation at the heart of the country’s strategy to abide by the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. The CO2 law was turned down on Sunday by 51.6% of voters.

    https://www.thegwpf.com/climate-referendum-swiss-reject-higher-carbon-taxes/

  9. boudicaus says:

    Reblogged this on Boudica BPI Weblog and commented:
    H/T gds44

  10. Gamecock says:

    EMS, oldbrew . . . I believe China-India is the world’s greatest conflict. Decadence has made the West irrelevant, well on its way to collapse.

    Whoever wins the China-India conflict gets Australia.

  11. tom0mason says:

    The “deep decarbonization” is nothing but propaganda and hokum. High atmospheric CO2 levels are wonderful for ALL life on the planet!

    Welcome to the real 1984 “And if all others accepted the lie which the Party imposed-if all records told the same tale-then the lie passed into history and became truth. ‘Who controls the past’ ran the Party slogan, ‘controls the future: who controls the present controls the past.'”

  12. stpaulchuck says:

    “currently not possible” and going forwards just not at all, duh

    the only scenario I see possible is total nuclear with both uranium and thorium units all over the planet with the safer pebble bed designs (and any newer designs) taking over from the old (slightly) controlled nuclear bombs we have used up to now.

    I think the hydrogen fusion nukes are a pipe dream until we discover some surprising science along the way.

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