Someone leaked the next IPCC report

Posted: June 25, 2021 by oldbrew in alarmism, IPCC, predictions, propaganda

alarmist_clockIt’s the usual miserablist cacophony about tipping points and bleak futures by the sound of it. We’ve all heard this tune many times before, but still none of the dire predictions have occurred as climate models persistently over-estimate actual temperatures by often embarrassingly wide margins. This in turn leads to the usual lurid crystal ball gazing into some inevitably grim future the doomsters have dreamed up, in the style of plot ideas for a far-fetched Hollywood disaster movie. Yawn.
– – –
A draft report from the world’s peak body on climate change, leaked to a global news agency, has sparked concern according to Science Alert — but the dire warnings the report details shouldn’t come as a surprise, experts say.

The draft report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was obtained by Agence France-Presse (AFP), a global news agency headquartered in Paris.

The draft reportedly describes how climate change will “fundamentally reshape life on Earth in coming decades, even if humans can tame planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions” [Talkshop comment – most so-called greenhouse gas is water vapour], with projections on food supplies, water scarcity, extinction rates, migration, infectious diseases and extreme weather events.

Continued here.

  1. oldbrew says:

    Climate models “have long suggested a bleak future by 2080 and 2100”

    Suggested? We’ll be going past COP100 by then if they don’t get the modelling sorted out.

    Maybe that’s the idea 🤨

  2. JB says:

    “Men who have excessive faith in their theories are not only ill-prepared for making discoveries; they also make poor observations.”Claude Bernard Introduction to the Study of Medicine

    “If traditional religion is to be described as ‘the opium of the people,’ the new revolutionary faith might well be called the amphetamine of the intellectuals.” James Billington Fire in the Minds of Men

    “Extreme orthodoxy betrays by its very frenzy that the poison of skepticism has entered the soul of the church [of climate change]; for men insist most vehemently upon their certainties when their hold upon them has been shaken. Frantic orthodoxy is a method for obscuring doubt.” Reinhold Niebuhr Does Civilization Need religion?

  3. oldmanK says:

    JB’s quotes make for some deep consideration; they do tickle the mind.

    “If traditional religion is to be described as ‘the opium of the people,’ –“. In Genesis the Flood was promised never to be repeated. Maybe except for selected targets, like Sendai; and others, over time. The spate of coastal mass burials says something there.

    “– for men insist most vehemently upon their certainties when their hold upon them has been shaken. –“. Yes.

    Says Plato: “Now this has the form of a myth, but really signifies a declination of the bodies moving in the heavens around the earth, and a great conflagration of things upon the earth, which recurs after long intervals; at such times those who live upon the mountains and in dry and lofty places are more liable to destruction than those who dwell by rivers or on the seashore.

    And from this calamity the Nile, who is our never-failing saviour, delivers and preserves us.

    When, on the other hand, the gods purge the earth with a deluge of water, the survivors in your country are herdsmen and shepherds who dwell on the mountains, but those who, like you, live in cities are carried by the rivers into the sea.”

  4. Curious George says:

    The End Is Nigh! (some things never change)

  5. stpaulchuck says:

    “about the direction we are fast heading – towards tipping points in the climate system.”

    The only tipping they are worried about is what’s in the tip jar. These scamtastic grubbers need to be kicked to the curb and their degrees revoked IMAO. They could always get work as screen writers for scifi shows I suppose. NY and Hollywood are always up for more piranhas and sharknadoes.

    I’d like to list all the failed predictions and computer models versus reality but you all have seen them.

  6. hunterson7 says:

    Predictable hype that makes predictions that don’t actually work out. But, predictably, the reports are written with enough evasions, dogvwhistles, distractions and fluff, few notice how the predictably alarmist claptrap can be predicted, with unerring accuracy, to be wrong.

  7. Graeme No.3 says:

    I have 37 pages of them (with details). Here is a non-exclusive list.
    1971: New Ice Age Coming By 2020
    1978: CO2 levels to double from 1978 to 2020
    1987: NASA’s James Hansen predicts world 3C warmer by 2020.
    1988: The Maldives will be underwater in 2018
    1989: 10 Years to solve Climate Crisis
    2000: Children Won’t Know what Snow Is by 2007 (amended to 2010, 2013)
    2002: Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy
    2005: Manhattan Underwater by 2015
    2008: Snow on Kilimanjaro to vanish by 2020.
    2009: China will cut emissions by 40-45% by 2020
    2009: Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World
    2009: Glaciers gone from Glacier National Park by 2020 (first said for 1952, then 2002)
    2013: Arctic ice-free by 2020. (that’s after it failed to be ice-free in 2010, 2012 etc)
    2017: Only 4 years to save the Planet

  8. Phoenix44 says:

    It’s amazing how they have all this new science which means it’s all much worse that they thought in previous versions.

    How have they shown it’s correct I wonder?

  9. oldbrew says:

    How a few molecules of the harmless trace gas carbon dioxide could cause all these things, is never demonstrated. Then none of them happen, and climate models fail to match reality.

    Somehow all this obvious failure adds up to ‘settled science’ requiring urgent action, although there are no credible actions to manipulate climate systems on a global scale. Never mind, just *believe*, ya mugs 🤔

  10. Chaswarnertoo says:

    Have we reached peak insanity yet? What if the grand solar minimum is true? We are totally unprepared for glaciation.

  11. oldmanK says:

    Chaswarnertoo says: June 26, 2021 at 9:45 am “We are totally unprepared for glaciation.”

    We know where we’re going; or we should be, given the previous 400kyrs and four ‘glacial rides’ – see
    We are on the fifth fateful (or faithful) ride down the slope, likely for the next 80kyrs (if we don’t muck it up on the way). Its the bumps on the ride we should be looking into. We have accumulated loads of baggage in the past century, which our ancestors were free of.

  12. cognog2 says:

    Without all these risks the IPCC would be disbanded. Big Brother would not approve of that.

  13. oldbrew says:

    Joe Bastardi examines the ‘phony war’ over climate, saying climate-based arguments are like the Maginot Line in WWII. Alarmists don’t care and just go round them to pursue their agendas.

  14. JohnM says:

    A draft report…. Sorry, I read that as a daft report.

  15. Tenuc Hardon says:

    The problem our climate cargo-cult scientist have, is a basic lack understanding of how of our system works. Real climate is a geographic zonal system which is subject to change in both location and time depending on the energy in, amount of work done, and energy out. This change being driven by the spatio-temporal chaos inherent in the system, which strives to achieve maximum entropy production. The sun, of course, is the main provider of the energy coming in.

  16. tallbloke says:

    Interview with Michelle Stirling of Friends of Science re leaked IPCC report

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