The Thermosphere is Warming Up

Posted: March 23, 2022 by oldbrew in atmosphere, Cycles, solar system dynamics
Tags: ,

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Solar cycle 25 is about to reach the interesting stage, when we find out what it’s really made of.

Spaceweather.com

March 23, 2022: Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying–and Earth’s upper atmosphere is responding.

“The Thermosphere Climate Index (TCI) is going up rapidly right now,” reports Linda Hunt of Science Systems and Applications, Inc. “It has nearly tripled in the past year.”

TCI is a number published daily by NASA, which tells us how hot Earth’s upper atmosphere is. The thermosphere, the very highest layer of gas, literally touches space and is a sort of “first responder” to solar activity. Hunt created this plot showing how TCI has unfolded during the last 7 solar cycles.  Solar Cycle 25 (shown in blue) is just getting started:

“So far Solar Cycle 25 is well ahead of the pace of Solar Cycle 24,” notes Hunt. If this trend continues, the thermosphere could soon hit a 20-year high in temperature.

Before we go any farther, a word of caution: This does not mean Earth is…

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Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Oulu neutron count is still high.

  2. JB says:

    ” literally touches space ”
    –Dr.Tony Phillips

  3. Kip Hansen says:

    This year looks perfectly normal — it is SC24 that is the exception.

    Dr. Phillips comment is correct — there is no such thing as “touching space”…

  4. oldbrew says:

    ‘Solar Cycle 25 (shown in blue) is just getting started’

    Just like it was a year ago according to reports at the time… 🤔

    March 2021…
    Solar activity is picking up.
    . . .
    The increasing pace of CME activity is another sign that young Solar Cycle 25 is coming to life.

    https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=23&month=03&year=2021
    – – –
    Today’s sunspot count: 23.

  5. oldbrew says:

    “The Thermosphere Climate Index (TCI) is going up rapidly right now,” reports Linda Hunt of Science Systems and Applications, Inc. “It has nearly tripled in the past year.”
    – – –
    Thermosphere Climate Index
    today: 12.00×1010 W Neutral
    Max: 49.4×1010 W Hot (10/1957)
    Min: 2.05×1010 W Cold (02/2009)
    explanation | more data: gfx, txt
    Updated 23 Mar 2022

  6. Miles Mathis (http://milesmathis.com/updates.html) would say I told you. Go to his paper added 12/1/20, Solar Cycles: Miles v. the Mainstream.Maybe he has better understanding than the experts.

  7. Miles said cycle 24 minimum June 2018, Start cycle 25 2018, Cycle 25 max 160% of cycle 24, with two peaks 190 Jan 2023 and 240 Jan 2027 End of cycle 2032.

  8. oldbrew says:

    Miles and everyone else will have to be patient. Another 2-4 years should give us a better idea of how SC 25 is going to pan out.

  9. pochas94 says:

    I hope they consider this when launching Starlink satellites.

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