Is climate change causing this week’s hot UK weather? – asks Yahoo News

Posted: June 16, 2022 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, MET office, Natural Variation, Temperature, weather
Tags:

Warm day in London


In a word – no. One or two days of warm air blowing in from the continent to the southern half of the UK can’t prove anything. The forecast for Edinburgh, Scotland for example shows nothing over 20C in the next few days, so wailing about carbon dioxide and climate change is absurd. It shouldn’t need saying that weather isn’t going to be near seasonal norms all the time.
– – –
By the end of this week, parts of Britain will bake in temperatures of up to 34C, far hotter than normal June weather – but is climate change behind the soaring temperatures? – asks Yahoo News.

Met Office deputy chief meteorologist Dan Rudman, said: “Temperatures will continue to rise as we go through the week, becoming well above-average by Friday when many parts of the southern half of the UK are likely to exceed 30C and may even reach 34C in some places.”

“This is the first spell of hot weather this year and it is unusual for temperature to exceed these values in June.”

The Met Office says that the unseasonal warmth is due to ‘home-grown warming during the day’ due to high pressure, plus a southerly airflow which is bringing warm air from the continent to Britain.

This week’s temperature doesn’t – quite – qualify as a heatwave, the Met Office says, due to the short-lived nature of the hot temperatures.

But is climate change behind this week’s blistering temperatures?

Continued here.

Comments
  1. ilma630 says:

    “Is climate change behind the hot weather?” is a totally weird and confused question. When you understand that climate is the average of weather, so a purely derived entity, and 1 climate trend data point is generally accepted as 30 years, you realise the question is meaningless, and as Spock would say, “illogical captain”.

  2. MrGrimNasty says:

    As we all know, the intention behind asking the question is not to seek an honest or accurate answer to the question.

  3. […] Is climate change causing this week’s hot UK weather? – asks Yahoo News […]

  4. Phoenix44 says:

    “Far hotter than normal weather”.

    Simply false.

    A day or two this hot is utterly “normal”. Once again confusing “normal” with “average” thanks to the absurd meteorological convention and the utter scientific illiteracy of journalists.

  5. Phoenix44 says:

    And I note the the UK’s previous hottest June day was 1957 and 1976. So it happens if infrequently. And we may not even break that record.

  6. oldbrew says:

    Carbon dioxide increase makes southern England hotter than the norm for two days, while Scotland is unaffected? How is that supposed to work?

  7. Matty says:

    You stopped it just at the right place Roger.

    After Continued here it just descends into the usual celebration of motivated speculation. 🤮

  8. Margaret H Smith says:

    ilma630 on June 16, 2022 at 11:58 am says:

    “1 climate trend data point is generally accepted as 30 years”

    More like 300 years I would think. I would see 30 years as an oscillation extended weather pattern (30 + 10 years). 30 years of cooler weather is the same thing and not a sign of a movement towards a glaciation or another LIA). I grew up in the 1945 to 1975 cooling oscillation which my Mum hated as she grew up in the 1905 to 1935 warming oscillation.

  9. erichux says:

    34.4 oC on 4th June 1947 recorded in Waddington (Lincs), Kensington Palace (London), 5th consecutive day with temperatures above 31oC.

  10. oldbrew says:

    “What were once-in-50-year heat extremes are now occurring every 10 years”

    Are they? When’s our 1976-style UK mega-heatwave plus drought due then? Maybe next week 🤩…

    Recalling the 1976 drought

    The exceptionally dry period began in May 1975 and lasted 16 months. From 22nd June to 16th July 1976, somewhere in the UK exceeded 25°C every day. Even more remarkable, for 15 consecutive days from 23rd June to 7th July 1976 temperatures in Britain reached at least 32.2°C every day. No previous or subsequent heatwaves have produced more than five days in a row where temperatures have climbed above 32°C. [bold added]

    https://www.rmets.org/metmatters/recalling-1976-drought-40-years

    Footnote: The prime minister finally named a Minister for Drought at the end of August, however within three days of his appointment, wetter conditions eventually returned with the drought ending in September 1976.

  11. ilma630 says:

    Perhaps I should have said “at least 30 years”. You can always smooth a trend graph to convert 30 to 300 years.

  12. catweazle666 says:

    When I were a lad we used to call it ‘summer”…

  13. Roger, Josh

    We just came out of the Little Ice Age, this warm time is the coldest warm time in the last ten thousand years. Yes we have had global warming, all caused by the same causes of every past global warming in the last ten thousand years.

    Climate has always changed with alternating warmer and colder time periods. In the most recent ten thousand years the cycles have repeated about every thousand years with several hundred warmer years when the Arctic Ocean is thawed by the Gulf Stream and that promotes more evaporation and snowfall on the heads of glaciers and the center of ice sheets with more ice accumulation. Greenland ice core records do document this. That ice builds until it spreads and pushes onto more land and into the turbulent salt water currents. Ice pushed into turbulent salt water chills the ocean currents cold enough to form sea ice and turn off the evaporation and snowfall during hundreds of years of colder climate while more ice causes colder by thawing and more albedo because ice is spread where the sun does shine in summer. During the long cold, the ice depletes because the sea ice prevents evaporation and snowfall and maintenance of the glaciers and ice sheets. This cycle of more and less ice as a cause of climate change, rather than as a result, has never been properly studied by western climate people. I do not call them scientists because they blindly follow the Peer Reviewed Consensus and real scientists always question and try to find the correct answers, based on support by actual data.

    We have ice machines that produce ice. They require energy to power the process and they require removal of the energy from water to form ice.

    That ice can then keep an ice chest cold until the ice is depleted.

    These are simple facts that most people already understand.

    Ice is not considered for cooling by thawing in climate models or consensus theory.

    This simple idea is well understood in China, Russia and India, as they build more and more coal power plants to supply the materials the western countries use for green energy. The increasing emissions of CO2 from China, Russia and India, grow, order of magnitude more than each reduction in western countries.

    It will stay warm for a few hundred years while the western countries are overrun by China and Russia.

    Western Countries have power grids that are already failing and they could not possibly be protected in any war, even with a minor enemy or one or more of many terrorist groups.

    Alex Pope

  14. oldbrew says:

    Eight million Australians urged to turn off lights
    Published 10 hours ago

    Around a quarter of Australia’s coal-fired electricity generating capacity is currently out of service due to unexpected outages and scheduled maintenance.
    . . .
    Lynne Chester, an energy expert from the University of Sydney, told the BBC that policymakers have been aware of the risks of ageing generators for decades.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-61821423

    Old power stations and some other jiggery-pokery. But there seems to be a bit of a cold snap too – is it the dreaded climate change? 🙄
    – – –
    Jo Nova’s global energy graphic…

    Global-Woe: The transition has stalled — the world is using more fossil fuels than ever (Still 80%!)
    https://joannenova.com.au/2022/06/global-woe-the-transition-has-stalled-the-world-is-using-more-fossil-fuels-than-ever/

  15. LeedsChris says:

    Somewhat older people will recall the great June 1976 heatwave that ran into July. The UK had 16 consecutive days of 32c or more and a peak temperature of 35.6c. This length of heatwave has still never been beaten in 44 years.

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