No change in weather extremes, just a moving of the goalposts 

Posted: August 3, 2022 by oldbrew in alarmism, Analysis, IPCC, media, methodology, weather

A reading of the executive summary of the new GWPF paper is probably enough to confirm many suspicions about alarmist claims.
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A PAPER from the Global Warming Policy Foundation says that a recent shift in methodology by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has led to misleading claims about increases in weather extremes.

The review by physicist Dr Ralph Alexander finds that IPCC claims are largely unsupported by observational evidence, says Paul Homewood @ The Conservative Woman.

Dr Alexander says: ‘On almost every kind of extreme weather, with the possible exception of heatwaves, the evidence for significant changes is scant. But the latest IPCC report has introduced novel “attribution” statistics and now insists that things are getting worse. It’s yet another case of scientists trying to scare the public into compliance. . . The mistaken belief that weather extremes are worsening because of climate change is more a perception, fostered by media coverage, than reality. The IPCC’s new statistical method is playing an unworthy part in bringing this sorry state of affairs to pass.’

This is the paper’s summary:

Continued here.

  1. Phoenix44 says:

    The simple fact is that weather extremes have not increased. If they had, they could show that. So instead they blame climate change for weather extremes that somewhere between possibly and probably would have happened anyway. This is a new level of junk science, using models that have demonstrably failed to prove that normal weather is not normal.

  2. Chaswarnertoo says:

    The leftard way. Lose the argument. Change the definitions.

  3. oldbrew says:

    This just appeared…

    Telegraph & Argus (Bradford): Climate change? Tell that to the folk who can remember 1976!

    Here Otley historian Harry Hopkins takes a look at the hot topic of climate change and asks: Is it climate change, or utter nonsense?

    I remember vividly the winter of 1963. It was one of the coldest on record. Rivers, lakes and even the sea froze over. Only the winters of 1683-1684 and 1739-1740 were colder than 1962-1963.

    I was a young schoolboy then and I was fortunate enough to go to a school where we had teachers who were genuinely interested in their pupils. I mention this because it was in early 1963 that a party of us, accompanied by dedicated teachers, went to Borrowdale in the North Lakes for a long weekend and the ice was so thick on Derwentwater we walked across it.

    That is my abiding memory of the winter of 1962-1963, but what a winter it was all across the United Kingdom.

    “The months of December, January and February were known as the ‘big freeze’. Temperatures dropped to lows of -22 degrees centigrade. The sea froze over, roads and railway lines were blocked, and some rural communities were cut off for days on end. Strangely, I don’t remember my school being closed for a single day. There was no mention of ‘climate change’. People just got on with it.

    Fast forward to the summer of 1976. And what a scorcher this was. It was considered the hottest summer in Europe during the 20th century. High pressure moved in during late May and stayed there until the first traces of rain on the 22nd August. Three months of scorching weather. During this spell, the UK experienced temperatures exceeding 32 degrees centigrade at several weather stations every day for three months and the town of Cheltenham had 11 successive days where the temperature registered 35 degrees. The UK averaged 14 hours of sunshine for the entire duration. Roads melted, rivers and reservoirs dried up and stand pipes were introduced.

    Yorkshire alone had 11,500 of these pipes as people queued for water which took on a value not seen since. The slogan ‘Save water, bath with a friend’ appeared everywhere and caused much mirth. This 16-week dry spell was the longest recorded over England and Wales since 1727.

    Wild fires became a national preoccupation and the news was dominated by the spectacular accounts of ‘pyrotechnics’ when Surrey heaths and North Yorkshire Moors went up in smoke.

    The London Underground became hell on earth; office work became an ordeal without air conditioning and to cap it all 400 Wimbledon spectators were treated for heat exhaustion in a single day. Stewards at Wimbledon and Henley Regatta were allowed to remove their jackets.

    The 2022 summer heatwave; what a joke. Just a few weeks ago a health boss warned that the forecast for high temperatures could result in people dying. Tracy Nichols, chief executive of the College of Paramedics, said the ‘ferocious heat’ the UK was predicted to experience over the coming days could have a detrimental effect on Britons.

    It beggars belief I know, but the NHS, has produced ‘a heatwave plan for 2022’; I think it might be a good idea if they gave up on heatwave plans and concentrated on getting the National Health Service back to a state whereby you can actually see a doctor face to face, but that seems like a pipe dream.

    The winter of 1963; the summer of 1976, exceptional years no doubt, but 2022? Bog-standard by any measure, yet used as another weapon in the war to scare the population witless. ‘Climate change’ is a nonsense and for those of us who were around in the Sixties and Seventies, it is blatantly obvious that the whole climate agenda is being used for nefarious purposes. The government would have us go from one disaster to another, when all we are faced with is life as it unfolds, just as it has done for millennia.

    But people are not stupid. The days of the climate change fanatics are numbered, because anyone who thinks seriously about this knows it is a scam of the highest magnitude.
    – – –
    ‘Bog-standard by any measure, yet used as another weapon in the war to scare the population witless.’
    Not what the Met Office alarm club would say 😆

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