The 1.5C relates back to sometime in the 19th century, when global temperature data was minimal compared to today, one exception being the Central England data which shows nothing dramatic. After three years of La Niña, climate alarmists are relishing the prospect of an El Niño to revive their sagging crisis narrative a bit.
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Our overheating world [Talkshop comment – BBC climate hype] is likely to break a key temperature limit for the first time over the next few years, scientists predict.
Researchers say there’s now a 66% chance we will pass the 1.5C global warming threshold between now and 2027.
The chances are rising due to emissions from human activities and a change in weather patterns expected this summer, says BBC News.
If the world passes the limit, scientists stress the breach, while worrying, will likely be temporary.
Hitting the threshold would mean the world is 1.5C warmer than it was during the second half of the 19th Century, before fossil fuel emissions from industrialisation really began to ramp up. [Talkshop comment – the old correlation/causation confusion again].
And breaking the limit even for just one year is a worrying sign that warming is accelerating and not slowing down.
The 1.5C figure has become a symbol of global climate change negotiations. Countries agreed to “pursue efforts” to limit global temperature rises to 1.5C under the 2015 Paris agreement.
Going over 1.5C every year for a decade or two would see far greater impacts of warming, such as longer heatwaves, more intense storms and wildfires.
But passing the level in one of the next few years would not mean that the Paris limit had been broken. Scientists say there is still time to restrict global warming by cutting emissions sharply.
Full article here.







“whatever would businessgreen dot com do?? ” Well shiver me timbers, come to the high lands of scotlandshire this now: Brass Monkey weather for the time of year. Just been looking at the fruit trees again: SOME have some fruit set, others Flowers and fresh branch growth destroyed by the windchill, other fruit frizzling off ( frost burn) Soil is cold, can be wet and some is so dry after any rain we’ve had. Blame SMART modern IT rubbish for failing again – those SSDs – I’ve lost my OS and dithering between XP and Win 11 – jussjunk so I am no a happy bunny. Hearing that headline at lunchtime …. better to be out in the cold than in, getting the blood heated by that rubbish being regurgitated. Where’s all this COLD air coming from? there’s definitely no snow in the artic, is there! (sarc)
Yawn.
more data torturing to make it look like they are correct, I’m sure
And then there’s the fact that 1.5C and 3C are just random numbers with zero science.
Need a lot more than 1½Cº to get my tomato plants going. My peas are where they normally would be 6 weeks ago.
More stupidity from people working in air conditioned offices or under studio lights – they need to get out into the world.
I had to switch on the electric blanket last night temp down to 3C and this is in the south of France but up in the mountains and our local mountain got extra snow cover from the rains earlier in the week. Their computer games don’t show that.
Scientists take flight to map California’s vast snowpack and measure flooding threats
MAY 15, 2023
“It looks like an Arctic landscape,” said Thomas Painter, a snow scientist and chief executive officer of Airborne Snow Observatories. “Each time we fly right now, we’re measuring history.”
. . .
As of this week, the snowpack stands at more than 300% of average for this time of year, and the southern Sierra is buried in snow that measures more than four times the average for mid-May.
“This is going to be the benchmark against which subsequent years are measured,” Painter said.
https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2023-05-15/planes-track-california-historic-snowpack
(inc. video clip from the plane cockpit)
Unlike most I have read much of the IPCC’s SR1.5 produced in time for the failed Katowice COP. And the critiques of this partisan unscientific waffle with its transnational coercive pathways which will never happen. What was global temperature in 1850? Eh? Eh?
Reblogged this on Climate Collections.
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