The study abstract claims ‘Their results illustrate one more way in which the adverse effects of climate warming make it more difficult to achieve carbon neutrality.’ Even good news can turn into bad news in glass-half-empty climate modelling land.
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Increases in CO2 in the atmosphere brought about by anthropogenic activity was expected to increase the rate of photosynthesis in plants and perhaps increase plant yield and growth, says Cosmos magazine.
New science has showed the rate of photosynthesis around the globe has been increasing, but now there is evidence the rate has slowed and might soon plateau.
During photosynthesis plants take water and CO2 and convert it into oxygen and carbohydrates – storing carbon inside the plant and soil. A higher availability of CO2 increases the rate of this process, acting as a sort of brake on global warming by sequestering more CO2.
However, a new modelling study, published in the journal Science, has found that the increase in photosynthesis has slowed since 2001 due to an adverse effect of climate change.
The study looked at satellite images of various environments covered by foliage – such as savannas, croplands, and forests – and used machine-learning to find changes, such as leaf colour, to reveal rates of photosynthesis. They also studied data on CO2 and water vapour levels in the air between 1982-2016.
Combining these datasets, they modelled changes in global photosynthesis rates from 1982 to 2016 and found that, as CO2 levels rose from 1982 to 2000, global rates of photosynthesis also increased significantly. But from the year 2000 onwards, this increase in the rate of photosynthesis began to slow.
The researchers think this is probably due to an increased vapour pressure deficit, or VPD. VPD is the difference between the amount of moisture in the air and how much moisture the air can hold when it is saturated – basically it’s a measure of how dry air is.
Increased VPD (drier air) imposes water stress on photosynthesis because it causes more water to evaporate from plants’ tissues through transpiration.
Transpiration predominantly occurs through a small opening in the leaves of plants, called stomata. But, if too much water is lost too quickly, plants close the stomata to slow transpiration. This affects photosynthesis because CO2 also enters the plant through these pores when they’re open.
“As a result of temperature rise-induced increases in VPD, global ecosystem photosynthesis has become suppressed and, thus, so has the ability of global ecosystems to assimilate carbon,” the authors write in their study.
Full article here.







It is models all the way down ..
Relative humidity has been promoted to a “vapour pressure deficit”.
“the rate of photosynthesis around the globe has been increasing, but now there is evidence the rate has slowed”
How long until we find out that the Mauna Loa record is fake?
Has no-one informed these Playstation jockeys that Hunga Tonga has just shot sufficient water into the stratosphere to increase the water content of the atmosphere by 12% – 16%?
Wikipedia backs the miserablists…
VPD can be a limiting factor in plant growth. Climate change is predicted to increase the importance of VPD in plant growth, and will further limit growth rates across ecosystems.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vapour-pressure_deficit
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This may be clearer…
The saturation vapor pressure (SVP) is the maximum amount of water vapor that can exist in air at some (any specified) temperature. The difference between the pressure of water vapor actually in the air, we’ll call this the actual vapor pressure (AVP), and the SVP of that same temperature air is called the vapor pressure deficit (VPD).
https://www.questclimate.com/vapor-pressure-deficit-indoor-growing-part-1-vpd/
Those idiots are not very good at computer games and because of that we can’t take anything they say as truth – temperature records are ‘adjusted’ to give the hottest summer evah. Rainfall records don’t fit with facts neither do ice sheets, in other words the earth isn’t following the computer games which upsets the IPCC.
I’m unclear how slowing of a positive trend is bad unless the positive trend was good in the first place?
So we are having drier air despite having air with more moisture content amd that’s why we have more rain? And we are having this warmer air when, given that the “warming” is purely a consequence of averages and is caused largely by higher minimums, when plants aren’t photosynthesising?
This is complete garbage. The vast majority of the time they photosynthesise, plants are not experiencing “warming”, but they are experiencing higher CO2 levels.
As an example, Palermo today is supposed to be 29 degrees. So not warmer in any way, despite it boiling a few weeks ago. No doubt the average for the summer will be very high but most of the time plants will experience absolute normal weather.
‘Ask NASA Climate’ says:
Since the late 1800s, global average surface temperatures have increased by about 2 degrees Fahrenheit (1.1 degrees Celsius). Data from satellites, weather balloons, and ground measurements confirm the amount of atmospheric water vapor is increasing as the climate warms. (The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report states total atmospheric water vapor is increasing 1 to 2% per decade.) For every degree Celsius that Earth’s atmospheric temperature rises, the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere can increase by about 7%, according to the laws of thermodynamics. [bold added]
https://climate.nasa.gov/explore/ask-nasa-climate/3143/steamy-relationships-how-atmospheric-water-vapor-amplifies-earths-greenhouse-effect/
No ‘drier air’ there — *according to the laws of thermodynamics* 🤔
But from the year 2000 onwards, this increase in the rate of photosynthesis began to slow.
By coincidence, or not, that’s about when solar cycle magnetic activity slowdown started e.g. > double the number of sunspot-free days per cycle and big reductions in average spots per day, compared to at least the previous six cycles.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_solar_cycles
What’s this going to do to the VPD?
Global perturbation of stratospheric water and aerosol burden by Hunga eruption (Dec. 2022)
While the longer-term aftermath of the Hunga effects is yet to be known, the available data provide enough evidence to rank this eruption among the most remarkable climatic events in the modern observational era and strongest in the last three decades.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-022-00652-x#Sec11