The clouds on Neptune perform a surprise disappearing act, linked to the solar cycle

Posted: August 18, 2023 by oldbrew in Astronomy, Clouds, cosmic rays, Cycles, research, solar system dynamics
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Neptune


As the senior author of the study noted: “These remarkable data give us the strongest evidence yet that Neptune’s cloud cover correlates with the sun’s cycle”. The planet receives only 1/900th of the sunlight we get on Earth.
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For the first time in nearly three decades of observations, clouds seen on Neptune have all but vanished, says Phys.org.

Images from 1994 to 2022 of the big blue planet captured from Maunakea on Hawaiʻi Island through the lens of W. M. Keck Observatory, along with views from space via NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope show clouds are nearly gone with the exception of the south pole.

The observations, which are published in the journal Icarus, further reveal a connection between Neptune’s disappearing clouds and the solar cycle—a surprising find given that Neptune is the farthest major planet from the sun and receives only 1/900th of the sunlight we get on Earth.

A University of California (UC) Berkeley-led team of astronomers discovered the abundance of clouds normally seen at the icy giant’s mid-latitudes started to fade in 2019.

“I was surprised by how quickly clouds disappeared on Neptune,” said Imke de Pater, emeritus professor of astronomy at UC Berkeley and senior author of the study. “We essentially saw cloud activity drop within a few months.”

“Even four years later, the images we took this past June showed the clouds haven’t returned to their former levels,” said Erandi Chavez, a graduate student at Harvard University’s Center for Astrophysics who led the study when she was an undergraduate astronomy student at UC Berkeley. “This is extremely exciting and unexpected, especially since Neptune’s previous period of low cloud activity was not nearly as dramatic and prolonged.”

To monitor the evolution of Neptune’s appearance, Chavez and her team analyzed images taken from 1994 to 2022 using Keck Observatory’s second generation Near-Infrared Camera (NIRC2) paired with its adaptive optics system (since 2002), as well as observations from Lick Observatory (2018-2019) and the Hubble Space Telescope (since 1994).

In recent years the Keck Observatory observations have been complemented by images taken as part of Keck Observatory’s Twilight Observing Program and by Hubble Space Telescope images taken as part of the Outer Planet Atmospheres Legacy (OPAL) program.

The data revealed an intriguing pattern between changes in Neptune’s cloud cover and the solar cycle—the period when the sun’s magnetic field flips every 11 years, causing levels of solar radiation to fluctuate.

When the sun emits more intense ultraviolet (UV) light, specifically the strong hydrogen Lyman-alpha emission, more clouds appear on Neptune about two years later. The team further found a positive correlation between the number of clouds and the ice giant’s brightness from the sunlight reflecting off it.

“These remarkable data give us the strongest evidence yet that Neptune’s cloud cover correlates with the sun’s cycle,” said de Pater. “Our findings support the theory that the sun’s UV rays, when strong enough, may be triggering a photochemical reaction that produces Neptune’s clouds.”

Full article here.
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Study (pre-print version): Evolution of Neptune at Near-Infrared Wavelengths from 1994 through 2022

From section 5. CONCLUSIONS

We examined the time variation in the fractional cloud cover and the disk-averaged I/F of Neptune’s clouds as derived from near-infrared HST and Keck data between 1994 and 2022. We summarize our findings as follows:

• Periodic variation is apparent in Neptune’s cloud activity. While it is present in the fractional cloud coverage, it is most notable in the disk-averaged cloud brightness measurements. We documented two cycles of activity with maxima in ∼ 2002 and 2015, and minima in ∼ 1996, 2007, and 2020.
. . .
• The pattern in Neptune’s average cloud brightness (i.e., disk-averaged I/F after subtraction of a uniform background atmosphere) shows a correlation with Solar ultraviolet emissions. Our data provide the strongest evidence to date that the discrete cloud coverage appears correlated with the solar cycle, following the findings by Roman et al. (2022) and extending the observational record initially reported by Karkoschka (2011).

Comments
  1. oldbrew says:

    Last year…

    APRIL 11, 2022
    Astronomers capture surprising changes in Neptune’s temperatures

    Because Neptune’s temperature variations were so unexpected, the astronomers do not know yet what could have caused them. They could be due to changes in Neptune’s stratospheric chemistry, or random weather patterns, or even the solar cycle. [bold added]

    https://phys.org/news/2022-04-astronomers-capture-neptune-temperatures.html

  2. Philip Mulholland says:

    The solar cycle?
    Are you a climate change den*er?
    Nah, it’s that pesky CO2 it gets everywhere. /sarc

  3. JB says:

    Well duh. Neptune’s orbital period (164.8 years) constitutes 7½ complete solar cycles. What does one suppose the effect is going to be?

    Do these people THINK?

  4. oldbrew says:

    From the study:
    Interestingly, note that in neither Roman et al. (2022) nor our work, maxima in temperature or cloud coverage happened at Neptune’s summer solstice, in 2005; both the cloud coverage and temperature were already decreasing, i.e., following the solar activity (UV) cycle.

  5. oldbrew says:

    SUNSPOTS MAKE CLOUDS ON NEPTUNE: A new paper published Aug. 17th in the research journal Icarus offers dramatic proof that solar activity can affect planetary weather. The big surprise: That planet is Neptune, 2.5 billion miles from the sun.
    . . .
    Neptune’s cloudy weather seems to be driven by solar activity, and not the planet’s four seasons, which each last approximately 40 years.
    . . .
    Based on the data so far, it seems to take about two years for Neptune’s clouds to fully form once the solar cycle reaches its peak. Solar Cycle 25 is rising now with a peak expected in 2024. This means Neptune’s cloudy season is about to begin–a development amateur astronomers may be able to observe. Stay tuned.

    https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=19&month=08&year=2023

  6. Curious George says:

    Strangely, this has been published at the time of an unusually strong solar activity (177 sunspots in July 2023).

  7. oldbrew says:

    CG – see previous comment: ‘This means Neptune’s cloudy season is about to begin’.

  8. Curious George says:

    With no clouds, the cloudiness can only go up.

  9. oldbrew says:

    For the first time in nearly three decades of observations, clouds seen on Neptune have all but vanished

    That’s nearly three solar cycles, but less than one Neptune season (~41 years).
    . . .
    “Neptune’s previous period of low cloud activity was not nearly as dramatic and prolonged.”

    Something different this time round.

  10. oldbrew says:

    Research paper: Evolution of Neptune at near-infrared wavelengths from 1994 through 2022
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0019103523002440

    From Spaceweather.com:
    “Our findings support the theory that the sun’s ultraviolet rays, when strong enough, may be triggering a photochemical reaction that ultimately leads to high-altitude clouds on Neptune,” says Imke de Pater, emeritus professor of astronomy at UC Berkeley and a senior co-author of the study.

    Their paper describes how UV rays from the sun (which are strongest when the sunspot number is high) penetrate Neptune’s upper atmosphere and break apart molecules of methane gas. This sets off a chemical reaction yielding hydrocarbons (C𝑥H𝑦). If these hydrocarbons sink into the atmosphere, they could condense to form hazes and clouds.

    Why doesn’t this happen on every planet? “Neptune is unique,” says de Pater. Unlike other planets in our solar system, Neptune has a lot of methane in its stratosphere. (How it gets there is a mystery, but that’s another story.) Solar UV rays have little trouble reaching the gas and kick-starting cloud formation. [bold added]

    https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=24&month=08&year=2023

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