Experts (?) warn ‘green growth’ in high income countries is not happening, call for ‘post-growth’ climate policies

Posted: September 5, 2023 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, Emissions, propaganda
Tags: ,

CO2 is not pollution


More climate gobbledygook from miserablists who want to impose their obsessive and negative ideas on everyone else, by insisting that tiny amounts of the essential trace gas CO2 are an enormous problem leading the world to their imaginary catastrophe.
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The emission reductions in the 11 high-income countries that have “decoupled” CO2 emissions from Gross Domestic Product (GDP) fall far short of the reductions that are necessary to limit global warming to 1.5°C or even just to “well below 2°C” and comply with international fairness principles, as required by the Paris Agreement, according to a paper published in The Lancet Planetary Health journal.

Politicians and media have been celebrating recent decoupling achievements of high-income countries as “green growth” — claiming this could reconcile economic growth with climate targets, says Phys.org.

To investigate this claim, the new study compared carbon emission reductions in these countries with the reductions required under the Paris Agreement.

“There is nothing green about economic growth in high-income countries,” says lead author of the study, Jefim Vogel, from the Sustainability Research Institute at the University of Leeds, UK.

“It is a recipe for climate breakdown and further climate injustice. Calling such highly insufficient emission reductions ‘green growth’ is misleading, it is essentially greenwashing. For growth to be legitimately considered ‘green,’ it must be consistent with the climate targets and fairness principles of the Paris Agreement—but high-income countries have not achieved anything close to this, and are highly unlikely to achieve it in the future.”

“Continued economic growth in high-income countries is at odds with the twin goal of averting catastrophic climate breakdown and upholding fairness principles that protect development prospects in lower-income countries. In other words, further economic growth in high-income countries is harmful, dangerous, and unjust.”

The study identified 11 high-income countries that achieved “absolute decoupling” (defined as decreasing CO2 emissions alongside increasing GDP) between 2013 and 2019, which were Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Sweden, and the United Kingdom.

For each country, it compares “business-as-usual” future emission reduction rates to the “Paris-compliant” rates needed to comply with the country’s “fair-share” (or population-proportionate share) of the respective global carbon budget that must not be exceeded if we are to limit global warming to 1.5°C (the aspirational Paris target) or even just to 1.7°C (reflecting the lower-ambition Paris target of “well below 2°C”).

None of the high-income countries who have “decoupled” emissions from growth have achieved emission reductions anywhere near fast enough to be Paris-compliant.

At current rates, these countries would on average take over 200 years to get their emissions close to zero, and would emit more than 27 times their fair share of the global carbon budget for 1.5°C.

Full article here.

Comments
  1. ivan says:

    Oh dear, the so called ‘climate scientists’ have been playing computer games again, it would help IF they could actually prove that a minuscule trace gas in the atmosphere causes heating, especially when we all breathe it out – maybe if they all stopped breathing the problem would be solved /sarc.

  2. Sam J Harris says:

    By not educating properly they can get away with lies. It’s a new faith really, either believe it or you’re going to destroy the world.

  3. saighdear says:

    High income countries, uhuh! – not hi income people…. thinking abut the Greening of African States. Like the rainbow, words are hijacked to mean allsorts to allsorts people. Gobledygouk then? that’s the trouble with the world: Yes often means NO and is a good excuse for the politicos to meet n tweet to get a memo of understanding. …. Raac raac raac.. Their “brains” are wracked with wreckage of their own policies.
    Where’s the wind today, AGAIN ? Mr Heron has long since now given up onshore at the sewage pool.

  4. oldbrew says:

    ‘At current rates, these countries would on average take over 200 years to get their emissions close to zero’

    Not looking good for the UK’s 2050 legal requirement then 🤔

  5. […] Posted on September 5, 2023 by HiFast Experts (?) warn ‘green growth’ in high income countries is not happening, call for &#82… […]

  6. oldbrew says:

    Countries varied in how far they fell short from the reductions required to stay within their 1.5°C fair-shares. However, even the best-performing country, the United Kingdom, would need to reduce its emissions five times faster by 2025 (from its 2013–2019 average of 3.1% per year to 16% per year by 2025).
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    Well, let’s move on from tedious excursions to climate cloud cuckoo land. Plenty of real problems out there.

  7. Phoenix44 says:

    The idea our economic growth harms the economic growth of developing nations is just absurd gobbledegook. Once again we have supposed scientists venturing ignorant and silly opinions about Economics.

  8. liardetg says:

    Since the ‘Paris Agreement’ CO2 has risen 43 billion tons and there’s no chance that the Keeling Curve will be checked, whether natural or man made. So relax everybody and enjoy the summer

  9. liardetg says:

    I’ve just read the UK Parliamentary Defence Committee’s report on decarbonising the military. Ill-focused, unrealistic, ignorant, innumerate, poorly structured, BUT as the armed forces’
    CO2 emerges most from funnels, tail pipes and vehicle exhausts, there’s a real threat that these silly idiots may affect our fighting capability. Let them ‘insulate the married quarters’ – sure – should have been done years ago when I was in one – but hands off the real issues. Oh and by the way what does Net Zero look like?

  10. oldbrew says:

    At current rates, these countries would on average take over 200 years to get their emissions close to zero, and would emit more than 27 times their fair share of the global carbon budget for 1.5°C.

    What *carbon budget*? More absurd mythology.

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