US Watchdog Has Grim Winter Warning: There May Be Blackouts 

Posted: November 13, 2023 by oldbrew in Energy, net zero, Subsidies, Temperature, Uncertainty, weather
Tags: , , ,


If it’s climate obsession versus reality in US power supplies, there can only be one winner. Strong opposition to new gas pipelines plus increasing reliance on intermittent renewables can only end badly for consumers of power.
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As much as two-thirds of the United States could experience blackouts in peak winter weather this and next year, the North American Reliability Corp has warned.

These warnings have become something of a routine for the regulatory agency lately, says OilPrice.com.

Earlier this year, NERC issued a blackout warning for some parts of the U.S. over the summer, citing extreme temperatures.

This latest warning also has to do with extreme temperatures. Yet it’s not just the temperatures themselves that are the problem. It’s the power generation mix that is making the grid more vulnerable.

In its latest assessment, NERC cited recent data showing that up to a fifth of generating capacity could be forced offline in case of a cold snap over areas that do not normally get this kind of weather.

The regulator points to the lack of gas transport infrastructure as one of the main challenges for the U.S. grid this winter as it compromises the security of generating fuel supply. The report also notes historical evidence that extreme winter weather can also affect the production of natural gas and, as a result, reinforce the effect of weather on power supply security.

It is not just natural gas that is problematic, however. The massive buildout of wind and solar capacity has also had an impact on electricity supply reliability and could turn into a problem during the winter.
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It appears that NERC is warning that the weather is becoming more unpredictable, and this is problematic for grid security. Although nowhere in the report is the phrase “climate change” mentioned, it is implied that the changing climate is creating uncertainty in weather forecasts and, as a result, a reduced capability for generators to respond to sudden changes in demand, for instance, or severe weather.

The other thing that is stated indirectly rather than directly is the effect of more wind and solar on grid reliability. Although NERC admits intermittent wind and solar electricity output is problematic by definition, it stops short of spelling out something that another regulatory agency, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, said bluntly earlier this year.

“One nameplate megawatt of wind or solar is simply not equal to one nameplate megawatt of gas, coal or nuclear,” FERC commissioner Mark C. Christie told Congress in June, during a hearing in front of the Subcommittee on Energy, Climate and Grid Security.

Christie explained that it is not wind and solar themselves that are problematic but rather the rate at which baseload-providing, dispatchable electricity generation capacity was being retired to be replaced with non-dispatchable wind and solar farms.

Dispatchable capacity is the kind that provides electricity 24/7 or on demand, such as coal, gas, and nuclear. Wind and solar, on the other hand, only generate electricity when the weather allows it.

At that June hearing, Christie and another FERC commissioner, James P. Danly, said the challenging state of affairs was the result of subsidies for wind and solar, which had distorted the market and compromised grid reliability.

Full article here.

Comments
  1. saighdear says:

    2/3rds eh? dont you mean Point sixhundredandsixtysix ( Not the correct way of Zero POINT six six seven) … uhuh, so is that of the land Mass Area – how big is Alaska? or does it mean just 2 in 3 people ( or homes) or Factories will have black outs. Tsa bit racist innit not ? I could go … Just how I feel, Cold & Dreich but dry so far. Will I get into the field for the final cut grass for zero Grazing today? #Lectric tractor is waiting for the Winf to pick up = I see Demand is higher, but wind not producing/ King COAL is busy in the background again. BLACK OUT Wind in(side) – sleeping, eh 😉 so that’s what the report alluded to then?

  2. oldbrew says:

    The U.S. Needs More Natural Gas Pipelines To Avoid Power Outages
    Nov 14, 2023

    U.S. natural gas supply is being jeopardized by a shortage of pipelines, an industry trade group has warned.

    The warning follows a similar one issued by the CEO of EQT, the largest gas producer in the country.

    It also follows a report authored by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) and the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) that warned steps needed to be taken by legislators to ensure the reliable supply of natural gas to power generators.
    . . .
    Earlier this month, in its outlook for this winter, NERC warned that two-thirds of the United States faced the risk of blackouts this winter because of the absence of adequate gas supply infrastructure.

    The agency also said it would be a challenge to forecast the amount of electricity that will be produced during the coldest months because of the substantial growth in intermittent wind and solar generation capacity.

    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/The-US-Needs-More-Natural-Gas-Pipelines-To-Avoid-Power-Outages.html
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    Do climate obsessives prefer to shiver in the dark?

  3. ivan says:

    Maybe they need a few blackouts to prove the green agenda is just a stupid idea – the earth is NOT heating up because of CO2 and the CO2 that is there is what causes crops to grow.

    Education in the US appears to be more geared towards social science rather than real science and engineering which will cause real problems when all the old engineers retire and new crop hasn’t a clue about what to do.

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