By far the two largest bodies in our solar system are Jupiter and Saturn. In terms of angular momentum: ‘That of Jupiter contributes the bulk of the Solar System’s angular momentum, 60.3%. Then comes Saturn at 24.5%, Neptune at 7.9%, and Uranus at 5.3%’ (source), leaving only 2% for everything else. Jupiter and Saturn together […]
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Why Phi? – Jupiter, Saturn and the de Vries cycle
Posted: April 17, 2015 by oldbrew in Cycles, Fibonacci, solar system dynamicsTags: phi, solar - planetary theory, solar system
Ian Wilson: Connecting the 208 Year de Vries Cycle with the Earth-Moon System
Posted: August 22, 2013 by tallbloke in Astronomy, Astrophysics, cosmic rays, Cycles, data, Natural Variation, Solar physics, solar system dynamicsReposted for discussion from Ian Wilson’s blog Astro-Climate Connection UPDATED & CORRECTED 23/08/2013 Direct instrumental observations of the Sun since 1610 have shown that the level of sunspot activity on the Sun has a mean periodicity of 22.3 years, known as the Hale cycle. In addition, these observations of the Sun have shown that there […]
De Vries cycle links warming rate peaks to solar system frequencies
Posted: October 22, 2012 by tallbloke in solar system dynamicsBack in 2009, Anthony Watts and Basil Copeland did a study of the HADcruT3 temperature series and found some periodicities in the rate of warming of Earth’s surface. They created a model which achieved a reasonably good match: Shown in Figure 6, the sinusoidal fit results in periods of 20.68, 9.22, 15.07 and 54.56 years, […]
Rethinking the sun’s cycles: New physical model reinforces planetary hypothesis – HZDR research
Posted: June 5, 2024 by oldbrew in Cycles, Maths, research, Solar physics, solar system dynamicsTags: solar - planetary theory
Another advance for solar-planetary theory. Some of the previous research of the HZDR group was mentioned in this Talkshop post last year. Our JEV (Jupiter-Earth-Venus) chart shown here covers 90 mean solar cycles, using the tropical orbit periods of the planets (verified on Arnholm’s solar simulator software). One point where we disagree slightly with Stefani’s […]
A quasi-periodic ~2400-year climate cycle – or not?
Posted: July 29, 2020 by oldbrew in Analysis, climate, Cycles, dataWe’ll look here at examples of where a 2400 year period has been identified by researchers in radiocarbon data. – – – Part of the abstract below is highlighted for analysis. The original Talkshop post on the paper in question: S. S. Vasiliev and V. A. Dergachev: 2400-year cycle in atmospheric radiocarbon concentration Abstract. We […]
A wetter world as solar grand minimum deepens.
Posted: July 11, 2020 by tallbloke in censorship, climate, Cycles, data, Measurement, modelling, solar system dynamicsA few days ago I tweeted this comment above some remarkable video of the Three Gorges Dam bypass sluices. Among other people, this was picked up by Willis, the warmist at WUWT, who used it as an opportunity to attack the reality of the Sun-climate connection:
A deep ocean current shift gives 400-year notice of massive climate change
Posted: March 29, 2019 by oldbrew in climate, Cycles, History, Natural Variation, Ocean dynamics, research, TemperatureTags: climate change
Showing once again that significant warming and cooling are normal features of the global climate over thousands of years and longer. We could speculate whether this particular research might be linked to the de Vries cycle. The warm waters of the Gulf Stream flow up along the east coast of North America, moderating the climate […]
Why Phi? – a long-term Jupiter-Saturn-Uranus model
Posted: July 22, 2018 by oldbrew in Cycles, Fibonacci, Phi, solar system dynamicsTags: phi, planetary theory, solar system
Here we find a match between the orbit numbers of Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus and see what that might tell us about certain patterns in the solar system. 715 U = 60072.044 years 2040 S = 60072.895 years 5064 J = 60072.282 years Data source: Nasa/JPL – Planets and Pluto: Physical Characteristics The Jupiter-Saturn part […]
Considering the sun in climate change
Posted: December 12, 2017 by oldbrew in climate, Cycles, Natural Variation, opinion, solar system dynamicsTags: climate change, solar system
The fact is we live in a *solar* system. As the author concludes: ‘It is time … to focus on understanding the sun-climate connection. We need to see the sun in climate change.’ There is a lot of debate about the sun’s role in global warming and climate change says David Wojick, Ph.D.. Some scientists […]
Ian Wilson: Evidence that the Sun has always had an important influence upon climate change
Posted: March 1, 2016 by tallbloke in climate, Natural Variation, Solar physics, solar system dynamicsIan Wilson has just blogged this post, which should be a bit of a showstopper in the climate debate, but I expect it’ll be studiously ignored by mainstream climate scientists and lukewarm climate-sceptic blogs. By doing that, they’ll make themselves and their pet CO2 paradigm increasingly irrelevant to scientific progress. Key thing to note is that […]
Why Phi? – the Inex eclipse cycle, part 2
Posted: March 20, 2015 by oldbrew in Cycles, Fibonacci, modelling, moon, Phi, solar system dynamicsTags: phi
In the wake of today’s solar eclipse and following an earlier post on the same topic, we have another perspective on the 521 year period that corresponds exactly to 18 Inex eclipse cycles. An Inex corresponds to: 358 lunations (synodic months) = 28.94444 years 388.50011 draconic months 30.50011 eclipse years Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inex This means two […]
McCracken Beer & Steinhilber: Evidence for Planetary Forcing of the Cosmic Ray Intensity and Solar Activity Throughout the Past 9400 Years
Posted: March 25, 2014 by tallbloke in Astronomy, Astrophysics, Celestial Mechanics, Clouds, cosmic rays, Cycles, Gravity, Natural Variation, Solar physics, solar system dynamics, TidesThis is a major new paper published in the March issue of prestigious journal ‘Solar Physics’ by solar-planetary theorists Ken McCracken, Jurg Beer and Friedhelm Steinhilber, which makes a newer and more extensive analysis of planetary motion in relation to the Carbon 14 and Beryllium 10 Glactic cosmic ray proxies than the 2400 yr Hallstat […]
S. S. Vasiliev and V. A. Dergachev: 2400-year cycle in atmospheric radiocarbon concentration
Posted: March 24, 2014 by tallbloke in Analysis, Astrophysics, atmosphere, Carbon cycle, Celestial Mechanics, climate, Cycles, Electro-magnetism, Geomagnetism, Idiots, Natural Variation, Ocean dynamics, solar system dynamics, Tides, windHere we have two fine scientists who have written an excellent and easily readable paper, well supported by the evidence they cite. 2400-year cycle in atmospheric radiocarbon concentration: bispectrum of 14C data over the last 8000 years S. S. Vasiliev and V. A. Dergachev Received: 5 September 2000 – Revised: 6 August 2001 – Accepted: 21 […]
Ian Wilson: Venus-Earth-Jupiter Spin-Orbit Coupling Model
Posted: September 11, 2013 by tallbloke in Analysis, Astrophysics, Celestial Mechanics, Cycles, Natural Variation, solar system dynamics, TidesWhile the WUWTians get in a lather about a DSP modeled forecast of a 1C cooling by 2050, based on a 170yr fundamental period, we should take a cool look at Ian Wilson’s latest work which combines tidal and inertial mass theories of planetary-solar linkage. This model is particularly remarkable for it’s consonance with the […]
Ian Wilson: The VEJ Tidal Torquing Model can explain changes in the level of solar activity – Part 2 Halstatt Cycle
Posted: August 12, 2013 by tallbloke in Analysis, Astrophysics, Dataset, Solar physics, solar system dynamics, TidesReposted from Ian WIlson’s website Astro Climate Connection, this article looks at the congruence of the motions of Venus and Earth and Jupiter to produce a periodicity which matches a cycle seen in paleoproxy data believed to relate to changes in solar activity levels. . The VEJ Tidal Torquing Model can explain many of the […]
Ian Wilson: How planets could be modulating solar activity – The VEJ Torquing Model
Posted: April 29, 2013 by tallbloke in Astronomy, Astrophysics, Cycles, solar system dynamics, TidesIn advance of a more technical post about Ian Wilson’s new paper, this article from his blog lays out in the clearest possible terms the basics of the model he has developed in accordance with observations. Mainstream solar scientists don’t have any explanation for the longer term behaviours of the Sun. This model has both […]
How can Jupiter and Saturn affect the timing of solar cycles?: Brief review
Posted: March 22, 2012 by tallbloke in Astrophysics, Electro-magnetism, Energy, Gravity, methodology, Solar physics, solar system dynamics, TidesAccording to what we know so far, if the motion of planets is affecting solar variability as the myriad correlations which have been discovered suggest they are, then it must be via one or a combination of the known forces: Gravitation, Tides, Electromagnetism. Because our knowledge is so incomplete, the safe way to proceed is […]
Ian Wilson: A Planetary Spin-Orbit Coupling Model for Solar Activity
Posted: March 18, 2012 by tallbloke in Astrophysics, Energy, Solar physics, solar system dynamics, TidesA Planetary Spin-Orbit Coupling Model for Solar Activity Guest post by Ian Wilson Reposted from http://astroclimateconnection.blogspot.com.au A free download of the published paper this article extends is available in the General Science Journal where it was published in 2010 http://www.wbabin.net/Science-Journals/Essays/View/3812 The General Science Journal paper (above) was written in order to further investigate the main conclusion […]
Further terrestrial evidence of planetary cycles affecting climate
Posted: June 30, 2011 by tallbloke in climate, Ocean dynamics, solar system dynamicsTim C alerted me to page 252 of the Encyclopedia of world climatology By John E. Oliver
Tallbloke and Tim Channon: A cycles analysis approach to predicting solar activity
Posted: February 21, 2011 by tallbloke in Astrophysics, Solar physics, solar system dynamicsIn desperation I asked Fermi whether he was not impressed by the agreement between our calculated numbers and his measured numbers. He replied, “How many arbitrary parameters did you use for your calculations?” I thought for a moment about our cut-off procedures and said, “Four.” He said, “I remember my friend Johnny von Neumann used […]





