Please post ideas for new threads, tips on relevant and interesting threads elsewhere, and notes about pretty much anything you like here.

The scissors will be wielded to commercial spam, lewd suggestions, and anything else I don’t like.😎

  1. oldbrew says:

    Link back to Suggestions 22

    [for viewing only please]

  2. oldbrew says:

    Going back a year, Ian Wilson commented:

    ‘Paul Pukite has indicated that the two dominant frequencies that he finds in the QBO are 2.715 and 2.370 tropical years.’

    Paul Vaughan replied (see linked comment below for the maths) that the two periods were:

    2.715426247 tropical years (synodic)
    2.369718033 tropical years (draconic)

    Using those figures:
    P1 = 2.715426247 tropical years
    P2 = 2.369718033 tropical years
    P1 x P2 / (P1 – P2) = 18.61337 tropical years = lunar nodal cycle period (LNC)
    LNC / P1 = 6.854676 = 2.6181436² or ~Phi^4
    It follows that: LNC / P2 = ~Phi^4 + 1 = ~Phi² x 3

    As a close approximation: 21 LNC = 144 P1 = 165 P2 (21+144)
    21 and 144 are Fibonacci numbers, 165 = 55 x 3 (both Fibonacci numbers)
    144/21 is the Fibonacci equivalent of Phi^4
    144/55 and 55/21 are both the Fibonacci equivalent of Phi²
    The period would be about 391 tropical years (165 x P2 = 391.00347)

    Pukite (I assume) alludes to the LNC possibility here:

    ‘Perhaps no one wants to admit that seeing this number show up in all these measures is most likely a forced response from the nodal lunar cycle factor, as opposed to a natural resonance. The reality is that a forced response is not as “sexy” as finding a natural frequency eigenvalue.’

    This is more definite:

    ‘I found that the [QBO] period is controlled by the frequency of the nodal lunar tide.’

    Update: The ratio of the full moon cycle to the QBO is the same as that of the lunar apsidal cycle to the lunar nodal cycle, i.e. both the shorter cycles occur 3 x Phi² times per their respective longer cycle.

  3. oldbrew says:

    Paper: The golden mean as clock cycle of brain waves

    The principle of information coding by the brain seems to be based on the golden mean.

  4. Paul Vaughan says:

    OB, no one has to speculate about an “LNC possibility”. It’s old, conventional, uncontroversial knowledge that this is in LOD:

    (27.32158236)*(27.212221) / (27.32158236 – 27.212221) = 6798.387626 days
    6798.387626 / 365.242189 = 18.61336897 tropical years

    As for your observation that:
    18.61336897 / 2.715426247 ~= φ^4

    You’re the first I’ve seen pointing this out.
    It checks out to within 0.008384939% error.

    It’s an interesting observation.

  5. Paul Vaughan says:

    OB quoted Pukite: “‘I found that the [QBO] period is controlled by the frequency of the nodal lunar tide.’”

    Again: NASA JPL has known about this for years. They don’t say it publicly, but they (rather timidly) admit it privately as I learned in 2009.

    It’s funny that people doubt such clear things just because they aren’t made officially public and endorsed by a favored expert. There’s no controversy about QBO. We’ve known for years.

    Similarly there’s no controversy about decadal cyclic volatility of the semi-annual oscillation: It’s the sun. That’s the observed physical proof that the solar cycle length differintegral is necessarily a terrestrial spatiotemporal pattern governor.

  6. oldbrew says:

    Another way of looking at the lunar apsidal cycle (LAC):

    1 LAC = 8.847559~ Tropical years (TY)
    Full moon cycles (FMC) per LAC = LAC (TY) – 1 = 7.847559~
    7.847559~ – 1 = 6.847559~ = 2.616784² = ~Phi² (> 99.95% true).

    So the number of FMC per LAC is ~Phi^4 + 1 (see Note), which is almost exactly the same as the number of QBO per LNC, i.e. a common frequency. It follows that 1 LAC of 8.847559~ TY = (~Phi^4 + 2) TY

    Note: as stated earlier Phi^4 + 1 = Phi² x 3 — the expressions are interchangeable.

  7. Paul Vaughan says:

    From OB’s link note the connection with knot theory (as I’ve alluded before):

    Note that QBO is exactly 1 orbital away.

  8. oldbrew says:

    PV wrote:
    (27.32158236)*(27.212221) / (27.32158236 – 27.212221) = 6798.387626 days
    6798.387626 / 365.242189 = 18.61336897 tropical years

    I wrote:
    As a close approximation: 21 LNC = 144 P1 = 165 P2 (21+144)

    Put them together:
    21 x 6798.387626 = 142766.13 days
    142766 = 34 x 13 x 17 x 19 (13,21 and 34 are Fibonacci numbers)

    Also 6800 – 6798.387626 = 1.612374 (99.65% of Phi).

    The lunar apsidal cycle is about 1.6 days more than 3230 days.
    NASA: it takes 8.85 years (3231.6 days) for the line of apsides to make one complete revolution with respect to the stars. [360 / 0.11140° per day = 3231.5978]

    3230 = 17 x 19 x 10 or 34 x 19 x 5 or 1615 x 2
    The sum of the lunar and apsidal cycles is about 6800 + 3230 days = 10030 days = 34 x 295 days.

    364 (13 x 28) anomalistic months = 10029.856 days
    So the LNC and LAC sum to about 364 anomalistic months.
    42 x 364 (15288) anomalistic months = 14265 synodic months = 1023 full moon cycles (15288 – 14265)

  9. Paul Vaughan says:

    7.854676679 = 18.61336897 / 2.369718033
    ~= (φ^4) + 1
    = 7.854101966

    6.854676679 = 18.61336897 / 2.715426247
    ~= φ^4
    = 6.854101966

    harmonic of 365.242189 nearest 27.3215823630557 is 28.095553
    (28.095553)*(27.32158236) / (28.095553 – 27.32158236) = 991.7882264
    991.7882264 / 365.242189 = 2.715426247

    harmonic of 365.242189 nearest 27.212221 is 28.095553
    (28.095553)*(27.212221) / (28.095553 – 27.212221) = 865.5210016
    865.5210016 / 365.242189 = 2.369718033

    (2.715426247)*(2.369718033) / (2.715426247 – 2.369718033) = 18.61336897

    2.715426247 (φ^4) = 18.61180838 ~ = 18.61336897
    2.369718033 ((φ^4) + 1) = 18.61200706 ~ = 18.61336897

    What OB has pointed out is certainly provocative.

    “4.236, which plays […] a profound role in knot theory”

    φ^3 = 4.236067977
    2(φ^3) = 8.472135955

    (11.862615)*(29.447498) / (11.862615 + 29.447498) = 8.456145629 = 1/(J+S)

    (φ/Φ)/(J+S) = (φ^2)/(J+S) = 22.13847667
    1/JEV = 1/(3V-5E+2J) = 22.13929985

    φ^5 = 11.09016994
    2(φ^5) = 22.18033989

    Note that it’s off by exactly an amount consistent with the Hale Core Model …which it needs to balance the solar system. Perhaps a sharp mind with the capacity for profound generalized awareness will perceive an analogous balance for the Earth-Moon system.

  10. oldbrew says:

    PV: I’ll put up a post with some other Moon-related numbers in the next few days and perhaps we’ll see if there’s any link to the above. Possibly not, as the idea behind the (pending) post came before any of this recent stuff.

    Also remember we see a similar numerical arrangement with the full moon cycle and the lunar apsidal cycle.
    13 LAC = ~102 FMC
    102 = 34 x 3
    34 / 13 = a Fibonacci equivalent of Phi²

    21 LNC = ~165 QBO
    165 = 55 x 3
    55 / 21 = a Fibonacci equivalent of Phi²

    3,13,21,34 and 55 are all Fibonacci numbers.

  11. Paul Vaughan says:

    OB, even if this stuff is the holy grail I don’t think I can ever get into it (anything more than distractedly & peripherally) again. It cannot be a priority even if that means I nearly miss something profound. I’ll continue monitoring casually though. At this point I’m still not contemplating deleting all of my files and declaring that I’ve moved on, but that is certainly looking more and more like a possibility given that the prospects for integrity in climate discussion are very nearly absolute zero due to the widespread corruption. (I’m practical.) On the other hand, things could change and if that happens I may (no guarantees) cross that bridge when it appears. Regards.

  12. oldbrew says:

    Giant snowballs appear on Russian beach in Siberia
    5 November 2016

  13. oldbrew says:

    The Reg: Dark matter? More like diet matter: Super-light axions may solve universe’s mass riddle

    ‘Particles up to ten billion times lighter than electrons’

  14. Chaeremon says:

    Thrust in the absence of propellant, investigated by NASA,

    “Leaked NASA paper shows the ‘impossible’ EM Drive really does work
    Did we just achieve fuel-less propulsion? … 7 NOV 2016”

    Speculations are a trip to Mars in just 70 days🙂

  15. oldbrew says:

    Facebook won’t force its belief in renewable energy on users

    Well, that’s a relief 😐

    But the thought police aren’t far way it seems…

    During a later Q&A session, Weihl did acknowledge a possibility that Facebook might change its modus operandi in a way that could benefit proponents of sustainability.

    Facebook allows its users to report on inappropriate postings and Weihl appeared to open the door slightly that content such as climate change denial might be deemed inappropriate at some point. [bold added]

    “Climate is extremely important; it’s the issue of the day. Being able to flag factually incorrect content could be useful and a feature that people could find valuable. It could change people’s behaviour and it’s something worth thinking about and seeing some experiments on.”

    BSR Member Spotlight: Bill Weihl, Sustainability Director, Facebook

  16. oldbrew says:

    50-Million-Year-Old Redwood Chunk Found in Diamond Mine
    By Megan Gannon, Live Science Contributor | September 21, 2012 02:20pm

    Since the fossil is in such good condition, it gives scientists a better picture of the region’s climate in the early Eocene. By measuring the ratio of oxygen and hydrogen isotopes (atoms of the same element with different numbers of neutrons) in the wood’s well-preserved cellulose, the researchers found that western Canadian subarctic temperatures were 21 to 30 degrees F (12 to 17 degrees C) warmer and four times wetter than they are today. [bold added]

    H/T SIS:

  17. pg sharrow says:

    perhaps that diamond mine was 1,000 miles further south 50 million years ago…pg

  18. pg sharrow says:

    @Tallbloke; Nigel must be pleased, Brexit II, Trump wins big! and republican congress as well. The Elites are in fear, the worlds equity markets are in freefall at the moment.
    The next 2 months will be in great turmoil.

    This is not the end of the world! This is the beginning of the new age…pg

  19. oldbrew says:

    Silent but deadly: the Trump effect on COP22

    The climate change crowd know they’re in big trouble now.

  20. oldbrew says:

    Supermoon: largest full moon since 1948 due on Nov. 14th.
    [short video]

  21. oldbrew says:

    Prof. Erik Verlinde, renowned expert in string theory at the University of Amsterdam and the Delta Institute for Theoretical Physics, published a new research paper today in which he expands his groundbreaking views on the nature of gravity.

    No need for dark matter

    According to Erik Verlinde, there is no need to add a mysterious dark matter particle to the theory [of gravity]. In a new paper, which appeared today on the ArXiv preprint server, Verlinde shows how his theory of gravity accurately predicts the velocities by which the stars rotate around the center of the Milky Way, as well as the motion of stars inside other galaxies.

    “We have evidence that this new view of gravity actually agrees with the observations, ” says Verlinde. “At large scales, it seems, gravity just doesn’t behave the way Einstein’s theory predicts.”

    Read more at:

  22. oldbrew says:

    Andrew Bolt laughs at anti-Trump crowd ‘spitting the dummy’

    How to save 23 Billion USD each year

    The steady drip, drip, drip of information leaking out about the fraud involved with “Climate Change/Global Warming” is building into a reservoir of facts that totally debunk President Obama’s pet cause.

    SFC: Is Trump’s victory game over for climate?

    “A third of the people here are walking around like zombies, like the walking dead, not sure what to do,” said UC Berkeley Professor Daniel Kammen, speaking from Morocco. [ = COP 22 climate conf.] 😂
    H/T Climate Depot

  23. oldbrew says:

    Believe it when you see it…

    Al Gore Says He Hopes to Work With Donald Trump to Fight Climate Change

    H/T Lubos Motl

  24. oldbrew says:

    NOAA sort of calls a winter La Niña, which was considered an outsider earlier in the year.

    ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory

    Synopsis: La Niña conditions are present and slightly favored to persist (~55% chance) through winter 2016-17.

  25. Paul Vaughan says:

    OB, I also noticed an MSM La Nina announcement. It’s comical that they waited until after the election. The entanglement of weather with politics is official.

  26. oldbrew says:

    PV: the effect of Trump’s election on the politicised climate scene is going to be interesting.

    Daily Mail talks up La Niña…
    La Niña is back! Forecasters find first evidence of phenomenon that could cause chaos with winter weather

    Read more:

  27. oldbrew says:

    More evidence that dark matter theory has lost its way?

    Dark matter may be hiding in a hidden sector

  28. oldbrew says:

    Ge, Quansheng, Zheng, Jingyun, Hao, Zhixin, H., Liu, Yang and Li, Mingqi. 2016. Recent advances on reconstruction of climate and extreme events in China for the past 2000 years. Journal of Geographic Sciences 26: 827-854.

    The five Chinese scientists determined that there were four significant warm periods and four significant cold periods over the past two millennia. And of most interest to us today, they report that “the intensity of regional heat waves, in the context of recent global warming, may not in fact exceed natural climate variability seen over the last 2000 years.”

  29. oldbrew says:

    Saturn also has a semi-annual oscillation.

    There is another significant meteorological phenomenon above the planet’s equator and which could affect the winds: the Semi-annual Oscillation (SAO), which occurs about 50 km above the cloud deck and which causes the temperatures to oscillate and the winds to change direction and strength from East to West. And if the complexity of Saturn’s equatorial meteorology were not enough, it is at these latitudes where the so-called Great White Spot developed three times, in 1876, 1933 and 1990; this is a gigantic storm that manages to go all the way round the planet and which has only been seen on six occasions during the last one hundred and fifty years. The study by the Planetary Sciences Group reports that this gigantic storm is another of the agents of change in the equatorial jet stream.

    All these phenomena occur on a different scale to a certain extent on our own planet. So by studying them in this way in other worlds in totally different conditions we can make progress in understanding and modelling them,” he concluded. [bold added]

  30. Paul Vaughan says:

    OB wrote: “PV: the effect of Trump’s election on the politicised climate scene is going to be interesting.”

    On the contrary, it’s a nuisance and distraction.

    Let’s not be naive: A single election result isn’t going to cure the almost incomprehensible degree of corruption in American politics. I suspect there’s exactly a 0% chance that Trump will do the 2 things that would really matter for the climate discussion. He may well do a bunch of remotely peripheral things that people cheer, but I’m confident that he’s insufficiently well-oriented in the climate discussion to distinguish the real devils from the decoys. He’ll screw it up because he doesn’t know the file well enough. He’s going to be getting a lot of bad advice from corrupt people. That is my prediction and you can quote me on it. You can’t find honesty and integrity anywhere in the American climate discussion. It’s a wasteland of corruption. It’s reprehensibly naive to think anything good and positive is going to come out of that darkness. I suggest commitment to sobriety.

  31. oldbrew says:

    The ‘supermoon‘ over Cheshire from a pocket camera.

    ‘The Moon will not be this close to Earth again until 25 November 2034.’

    In other words, one Saros period ahead.

  32. oldbrew says:

    More PC nonsense brings Stockholm to its knees…

    ‘Gender-Equal Snow Ploughing’ Plunges Stockholm into Chaos

  33. oldbrew says:

    The Climate Expert Ink Blot Test

    You know you are a climate expert if you see the red patch on this map, but not purple patch.

  34. oldbrew says:

    The Fact and Fiction of the NASA EmDrive Paper Leak
    Written by DANIEL OBERHAUS
    November 14, 2016

    “Absent a convincing physical explanation that doesn’t fly in the face of well-known principles of physics, you should hold in abeyance any judgment as to whether or not [the NASA results are] real,” said Woodward. “This stuff is much harder to do and get right than almost anybody who has not actually been in the trenches doing it really appreciates. The odds against anything being real in this business are very high.”

  35. oldbrew says:

    It’s Time to Stop Spending Taxpayer Dollars on Elon Musk and Cronyism

    The American people are being taken on a ride by SolarCity, Tesla, and Musk. The ride is fueled by a cult of personality in Musk. And it costs billions of taxpayer dollars as he promises us not only the moon, but to harness the power of the sun and send us all to Mars.

    ALL to Mars? Count me out.

  36. oldbrew says:

    High-power satellite could “revolutionize” weather forecasting
    • November 18, 2016

    The first in a new generation of high-power GOES weather satellites, the centerpieces of an $11 billion upgrade to the nation’s forecasting and weather observation infrastructure, is poised for launch Saturday from the Cape Canaveral Air Force Station. Equipped with six state-of-the-art instruments, including a powerful camera that will provide near real-time high-resolution imagery, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expects the new satellites to revolutionize forecasting over the next 20 years, saving lives and and helping to protect property. “NOAA’s GOES-R satellite, with its advanced technologies, will be a game changer for weather forecasting and climate science for many years to come,” said Stephen Volz, NOAA associate administrator for satellite and information services.

    “NOAA’s GOES-R will scan the sky five times faster than the current GOES system with four times the spatial resolution and with three times the spectral bands,” said Joe Pica, Joe Pica, director of the National Weather Service Office of Observations. “This means we’ll have better quality data at high resolution far more often than we do today.”

  37. oldbrew says:

    Green Elites, Trumped: The planet will benefit if the climate movement is purged of its rottenness, by Holman Jenkins. [Wall Street Journal]

    Hysterical, in both senses of the word, is the reaction of greens like Paul Krugman and the Sierra Club to last week’s election. “The planet is in danger,” fretted Tom Steyer, the California hedge funder who spends his billions trying to be popular with green voters. Uh huh. …

    What a Trump election will do is mostly dismantle a green gravy train powered by moral vanity that contributes nothing to the public welfare.

  38. oldbrew says:

    ‘Scary Headlines About Thames Estuary Sea Levels Don’t Stand Up To Scrutiny’

    This could be a new series: ‘Scary Headlines About [anything to do with climate] Don’t Stand Up To Scrutiny’ – because they never do.

  39. oldbrew says:

    Much ado about nothing – at great public expense (plus an extra day)…

    UN Delays Global Warming Treaty 2 Years As Trump Takes Over

    UN delegates came away with little more than a pledge to reconvene by December 2018 to write rules for the global warming agreement despite extending their two-week summit in Marrakech, Morocco an extra day.

    Does anyone believe Trump will accept the ‘rules’ they plan to write?

  40. oldbrew says:

    Hiding the decline – hurricanes edition…

    “This is all part of a financial scheme,” says [Marc] Morano. “If every bad weather event can have new metrics that make them unprecedented and a record, then they will declare it fossil-fuel-‘poisoned weather.'”

    That should please the climate snowflakes who see Hollywood-style disaster every time the weather turns a bit nasty.

  41. oldbrew says:

    Japan earthquake: 7.3 magnitude quake strikes off Fukushima – tsunami warning issued

    Update: The U.S. Geological Survey initially put Tuesday’s quake at a magnitude of 7.3 but downgraded it to 6.9.

    9:28pm Tsunami warning for waves of three metres (10 feet)

    Yes, that Fukushima.

    9:56pm Quake caused buildings to shake in Tokyo

    Via Twitter…

  42. oldbrew says:

    Is the Supermoon responsible for record low Polar ice formation?
    Posted on November 21, 2016 by Clive Best

  43. oldbrew says:

    Why was Stonehenge built? Newly-discovered Neolithic complex close to the stone circle could hold the answer

    The complex was built about 5,650 years ago, around 3650 BC, more than 1,000 years before the stones of Stonehenge were erected.

    The 656 foot (200 metre) diameter complex consists of around 3,000 feet (950 metres) of ditches and is the first major early Neolithic monument discovered in the Stonehenge area for more than a century.

    It was discovered in a village called Larkhill in Wiltshire, just 1.5 miles (2.4 km) north east of the famous site.

    Read more:

  44. oldbrew says:

    Scientists find huge reduction in African dust plume led to more Saharan monsoons 11,000 years ago
    November 23, 2016

    Read more at:

    This might be relevant to the dust theory of ice ages proposed by Ralph Ellis here:

  45. A C Osborn says:

    Tallbloke, have you any idea why this article about Ingrid Detter de Frankopan has not been picked up by more of the MSM or more Brexiteers?

    She says the UK does not need to invoke Article 50 to leave the EU.

  46. oldbrew says:

    The Paris agreement was never the solution to climate change

    By Bjorn Lomborg

    To keep temperature rises below 2C, we have to reduce CO₂ emissions by about 6,000 Gt across the century. [according to some people and some poorly performing models]

    The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) estimates that even if every country were to make every single carbon cut suggested in the Paris Treaty, to the fullest extent possible, CO2 emissions would only be cut – provided there were no carbon leakage – by 56 Gt by 2030. [but then there’s the Trump factor]

    This means that even in an implausibly optimistic, best-case scenario, the Paris Treaty leaves 99 per cent of the problem in place. [if there is such a problem that is]

  47. oldbrew says:

    David Rose: Stunning new data indicates El Nino drove record highs in global temperatures suggesting rise may not be down to man-made emissions

    Global average temperatures over land have plummeted by more than 1C
    Comes amid mounting evidence run of record temperatures about to end
    The fall, revealed by Nasa satellites, has been caused by the end of El Nino

    Read more:

    It’s a bit more than ‘suggesting’ it’s not man-made, I would suggest.

    ‘Global average temperatures over land have plummeted by more than 1C’

    They would have gone down anyway at this time of year as the majority of land is in the northern hemisphere where the days are getting shorter, but 1C sounds a lot in a short time.

  48. A C Osborn says:

    Oldbrew are they actual temps or Anomalies?
    Because if they are Anomalies it will not be seasonal variation.

  49. oldbrew says:

    ACO: good point, sometimes it’s difficult to sort out the facts from the spin 😉

    The Mail quotes David Whitehouse:
    ‘According to the satellites, the late 2016 temperatures are returning to the levels they were at after the 1998 El Nino.
    The data clearly shows El Nino for what it was – a short-term weather event,’ he said.

    Read more:

  50. oldbrew says:

    Europe’s Mars Lander Became Large Smoking Crater Due To Computer Glitch

    Read more:

    There’s a scapegoat out there somewhere 😐

  51. oldbrew says:

    BOM: The 30-day Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) to 20 November is −5.8; within the neutral ENSO range. SOI values have been within the neutral range since mid-October following a brief period when they exceeded La Niña thresholds.

  52. oldbrew says:

    Ron Clutz: Man Made Warming in Iceland

    It’s easy when the data is ‘man-made’ 😐

  53. oldbrew says:

    ‘Diamond-age’ of power generation as nuclear batteries developed
    November 27, 2016

    You get a weak battery that could last for more than 5000 years.
    [Link has a youtube video]

  54. oldbrew says:

    Five stages of climate grief

    President Trump could help – and force climate alarmists to answer questions they’ve ignored

  55. Paul Vaughan says:

    This is an absolutely unacceptable, incomprehensibly unethical attack on the ability of low- and middle-income humans to afford staple food:

    It isn’t sensible expending time and energy trying to reason with an insane person …or in this case an insane state. This event very sharply clarifies a reduction in the pool of possible effective strategies for dealing with the relentless insanity of intolerable Californian harassment.

    I’m putting “Protect Dairy” on the list …so there are now 3 keys.

  56. Q. Daniels says:

    I’ll just drop this here.

  57. Paul Vaughan says:

    Alberta Premier […] said that after “a long dark night” […] “finally seeing some morning light.”

    “We’re getting a chance to sell to China and other new markets at better prices. We’re getting a chance to reduce our dependence on one market, and therefore to be more economically independent.

  58. oldbrew says:

    Blackout: the sequel

    Reactor 1 (600 MW) of the Torness nuclear power station in Scotland tripped at 09:00 on 22nd November whilst reactor 2 was on half load for refuelling. Since then Scotland has been dependent on electricity imports from England for every hour of every day peaking at 2552 MW at 20:00 on 23 Nov as the mercury plunged towards -5˚C. At that point, Scotland was dependent on England for half of its electricity. In the past, Scotland was always 100% reliant on home-grown power.

    Covered in wind turbines and ‘dependent on England for half of its electricity.’ Nice one Scotland😐

  59. oldbrew says:

    Date: 01/12/16 Nic Lewis, Climate Etc

    Nic Lewis says: Sensibly, Knutson et al. effectively discount explanations of the early 21st century warming slowdown based on misstated forcing changes, missing temperature data in warming regions such as the Arctic, and the like. Instead they “explore how long an early 21st century hiatus or slowdown could last, assuming a strong internally generated cooling superimposed upon ongoing anthropogenic warming.”

    NB ‘internally’ = ‘naturally’ here

    This is where the logic goes pear-shaped: ‘assuming a strong internally generated cooling superimposed upon ongoing anthropogenic warming’

    But if ‘strong internally generated cooling’ is accepted as real, then why would ‘strong internally generated warming’ not be equally likely to occur at a different time? A bit like El Niño and La Niña for example 😉

    PS I’m taking ‘internally’ to mean ‘naturally’ here

  60. oldbrew says:

    Where did Saudia Arabia’s giant Ghawar oil field come from?

    Paper: ‘Recent research shows the existence of a major event of global plate (or even whole-mantle) motion during the Jurassic that was hitherto unknown to the earth science community and can be referred to as the Jurassic polar shift (Kent and Irving, 2010; Muttoni et al., 2013; Kent et al., 2015). When the Jurassic polar shift is taken into account to describe global paleogeography, the rapid trans-zonal plate motion that produced the source-reservoir-seal sequence at Ghawar and elsewhere in the world can be adequately explained.’

    That would kill off fossil fuel theories.

  61. Sphene says:

    Also from the paper:

    “Organic matter that eventually transforms into oil and gas with burial and maturation can originate in abundance in sedimentary basins along the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which straddles about ±5° from the equator… due to high levels of nutrients upwelled from deep waters or in run-off from adjoining continents onto shelf areas.”

     “However, carbonate sands for a reservoir and especially an anhydritic seal are more likely formed at tropical latitudes (~5–30°) where evaporation exceeds precipitation…”

    ” In other words, Ghawar traveled within 15 million years from the oil-forming productive ITCZ to the seal-forming arid tropics of the southern hemisphere.”

    “…Ghawar drifted back, albeit more slowly, across the ITCZ from the arid tropics of the southern hemisphere to the arid tropics of the northern hemisphere… This provided a second time window in the Cretaceous for the formation of oil that is indeed also widespread in the Persian Gulf region.”

  62. Paul Vaughan says:

    OB wrote: “PS I’m taking ‘internally’ to mean ‘naturally’ here”

    They start to sound funny when their conceptualization gets stubbornly philosophically tangled in perception limited by a single compartmentalization. When you see anyone start going on about “internal” you know the brain and vision is anchored in and enslaved by a single basin of attraction. They haven’t understood the most basic things about the solar-terrestrial weave and the solar cycle length differintegral. The academic culture of rewarding administrative conformity explains how institutions accumulate so many of these people who just can’t unlock their minds for long enough to find a basin of attraction just over the hill with higher potential. They don’t explore. They only see the hill so they don’t go there. They do not have the ability to discover the well on the other side of the hill because their rigid algorithms say absolutely no to hill-climbing. Paradox is beyond their capacity. They are not open to exploring the possibility of its existence.

  63. oldbrew says:

    Germany tells World Bank to quit funding fossil fuels

    The World Bank could offer Germany the same advice but that wouldn’t go down too well as the whole country would grind to a halt. So once again it’s ‘do as we say, not as we do’ from a Western power.

  64. oldbrew says:

    The ‘man-made global warming’ problem, if there even is one, is vastly over-rated and current ‘solutions’ won’t do anything significant anyway, apart from burn through money.

    ‘Simply letting global warming happen and dealing with its effects may be a lot cheaper than decarbonizing the global economy, according to a new report by the Manhattan Institute.’

  65. oldbrew says:

    Four major cities move to ban diesel vehicles by 2025

    Good luck if they ban diesel trucks, buses and taxis from their centres.

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