Please post ideas for new threads, tips on relevant and interesting threads elsewhere, and notes about pretty much anything you like here.

The scissors will be wielded to commercial spam, lewd suggestions, and anything else I don’t like. 😎

  1. It appears as if the alarmists have got wrong on coral bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef. It is pity Prof Bob Carter could not be around to see this. Maybe Peter Rid will get his job back at the James Cook University as he is vindicated by this study.

  2. oldbrew says:

    Link back to Suggestions 34

    [for viewing only please]

  3. oldbrew says:

    Paul Homewood on the coral bleaching story:

    Coral Bleaching Just As Bad In 18thC
    AUGUST 16, 2018

  4. oldbrew says:

    National Geographic says it ‘went too far’ with emaciated polar bear video

    Iqaluit mayor says something’s missing from magazine’s look back on controversial video

    “Clearly the green movement has a diversity problem and [the] conservation movement has a racism problem.”

  5. Paul Vaughan says:

    Sea U Turn
    ∙ • ●

    “Democracy dyes in darkness” — The Post-Washington shortcut key’s in the top right corner of the Black C.

    “Don’t you lock up something that you wanted to see fly.” — Washington’s Sound Garden “Fell on Black Days”

    25CF alt-x: Irrational, antiresonant stability was transparently UNimagined in the crimeUN codes for the top right corner.

    Polar eyes: Stay blessed.

  6. oldbrew says:

    Date: 16/08/18 The Energy Advocate

    The record temperatures that have swept across the UK this summer are set to continue into October, potentially having a monumental impact to the country’s wind industry. Last month wind generated power was down by an average of 20%, according to weather data company Vaisala OYJ, with wind speeds in some parts of Europe down throughout 2018.
    – – –
    Solar panels were doing overtime though.

  7. oldbrew says:

    Smallest transistor worldwide switches current with a single atom in solid electrolyte
    August 16, 2018, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

    The single-atom transistor works at room temperature and consumes very little energy, which opens up entirely new perspectives for information technology.
    . . .
    “This quantum electronics element enables switching energies smaller than those of conventional silicon technologies by a factor of 10,000,” says physicist and nanotechnology expert Schimmel.

    Read more at:

  8. oldbrew says:

    Judith Curry writes:
    My article Predictability of Atlantic Hurricanes has been published in the Cayman Financial Review

    [this is a small extract from the article]
    2018 Atlantic hurricane season

    The recent tropic Pacific Ocean La Niña event is now over; the tropical Pacific is trending to neutral with an El Niño watch underway. Sea surface temperatures in the subtropical Atlantic are presently the lowest that have been seen since 1982. For the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, many forecasters who predicted a normal or active season previously are now lowering their forecasts, considering the trend towards El Niño and the cool temperatures observed in the tropical Atlantic.

    Based on the overall expectations for low Atlantic hurricane activity in 2018, combined with forecasts of a U.S. landfall ranging from 50 to 100 percent, we can expect 2018 to be a year with smaller economic loss from landfalling hurricanes relative to the average.

    Looking at longer time horizons, there is a potential game-changer in play – a possible shift to the cold phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation that would herald multiple decades of suppressed Atlantic hurricane activity that would have a substantial impact on reduced landfalls, particularly in Florida. [bold added]

  9. oldbrew says:

    Study: Blocking and its Response to Climate Change [2018]

    Blocks often, but not always, exhibit a large anticyclonic anomaly and reverse the zonal flow such that net easterly winds are seen in some part of the blocked region. By disrupting the usual westerly flow for an extended period such as a week or even longer, these events are often associated with regional extreme weather, from heatwaves in summer to severe cold in winter.
    . . .
    This short review does not attempt to provide a complete overview of all aspects of blocking, but is instead focused on the projected changes in blocking occurrence and characteristics under climate change scenarios and the factors which directly relate to these.
    . . .
    Given the level of natural variability, it is perhaps not surprising that no fully consistent long-term trends in blocking have yet emerged in observations. Given the importance of natural variability for mid-latitude circulation in general [148], it is likely that this will continue to play a leading role in blocking variations over the coming few decades.

    Open access paper:

  10. oldbrew says:

    Baffled scientists…

    Steve The Weird ‘Aurora’ Is Not What We Thought It Was
    Steve is an impostor.

    Well, well, well. Looks like the jig is up. The “new kind of aurora” discovered earlier this year, and subsequently named “STEVE” (if that is even its real name) has been rumbled. It seems Steve isn’t an aurora after all.

    Our results verify that this STEVE event is clearly distinct from the aurora since it is characterized by the absence of particle precipitation. Interestingly, its skyglow could be generated by a new and fundamentally different mechanism in the ionosphere.

  11. oldbrew says:

    Green Energy Scam #167: Traffic-Driven Wind Turbines
    August 21st, 2018 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

    A YouTube video making the rounds on social media (with over 27 million views!) describes a system of small wind turbines placed in the median between two lanes of traffic. The wind generated by the traffic spins the turbine blades and generates (a very small amount of) electricity:

    The question is, does such a system recapture energy that would have been lost anyway?

    The answer is NO.

  12. oldbrew says:

    Again like climate science – assuming they know the truth before the work has started. If you already know the answer, why waste time and money investigating the question? The in-built bias is hilarious.

    A University in Sweden has set up what it claims is the “world’s first global research network looking into climate change denial.” Chalmers University of Technology is seeking to explore “connections between conservatism, xenophobia, and climate change denial.” The apparently well-funded research effort ” will examine the ideas and interests behind climate change denial, with a particular focus on right-wing nationalism, extractive industries, and conservative think tanks.”

    The project is a multi-year, interdisciplinary and international project, which is financed by the Swedish Energy Agency.

  13. oldbrew says:

    EV? No thanks…

    Light truck market share in California up to 55% in Q2 2017; contra-trend impacting ZEV goals
    24 August 2018

    Consumer shifts to light trucks for the US outside California was even more pronounced, accounting for 69.6% of new light vehicle sales in this quarter.

    The potential for California’s ZEV policies to have much of an effect beyond its borders are increasingly limited as a consequence, as few models are being offered for the types of vehicles consumers prefer to buy, according to the report.
    – – –
    Latest Russian EV – the Kalashnikov CV-1

    Strictly functional…

  14. oldbrew says:

    EU thought it knew best but screwed up here…

    DW: Can Europe defeat a palm oil ‘monster’ of its own making?

    The EU’s biofuel policy was meant to help the climate. Instead it’s been linked to loss of rainforest because of its reliance on palm oil. New rules aim to phase out the oil but the problem runs deeper, say experts.

  15. oldbrew says:

    Study questions the role of lead poisoning in Franklin Expedition deaths
    August 24, 2018, University of Western Ontario

    In the summer of 1845, under the command of Sir John Franklin, 128 officers and crew aboard the ships HMS Erebus and HMS Terror entered the waters of Arctic North America with the goal of completing the discovery of the Northwest Passage.
    . . .
    Taken all together, the team’s skeletal microstructural results do not support the conclusion that lead played a pivotal role in the loss of Franklin and his crew.

    Read more at:

  16. oldbrew says:

    “Harry’s dream” – the first ever weather satellite. Harry gets a letter from Arthur C. Clarke…

  17. oldbrew says:

    ‘Rapidly melting Arctic’ news…

    Passengers on grounded Arctic cruise ship to be flown back south – Video
    August 26, 2018 by Robert

    Not yet known why it ran aground.

  18. oldbrew says:

    Discovering trailing components of a coronal mass ejection
    August 27, 2018, Planetary Science Institute

    “The most powerful CMEs may travel at 2,000 kilometers per second, passing the Earth in seconds. We have discovered reconnection regions trailing behind a CME traveling 750 kilometers per second,” Jensen said. “This suggests that the impact of a CME on the Earth’s space weather consists of the initial shock from the CME and also secondary shocks from powerful electrical currents and accelerated plasmas trailing in the CME’s wake.”

    Read more at:

  19. Paul Vaughan says:

    Deep Stability

    There comes a depth of overturning circulation preventable by neither rule-taker nor rule-maker.

    Hindcasting search lights sea climatic overturning circulation in the depths of well-connected medITterrainian souls.

    With the lights out, it’s less dangerous
    A denial, a denial, a denial, a denial, a denial
    A denial, a denial, a denial, a denial”
    — Nirvana

    “Danger – Steep Cliffs – Unstable Terrain – Keep Back”

    “It’s the same old thing in 2018.
    In your head they are dying.” — Zombie (remake)

    Stablest polar eyes: Simply keep back from a dark fall down UNdertow.
    Nevermind heated revolution where just revelation’s enough.

  20. oldbrew says:

    AFP: President Emmanuel Macron suffered a major political blow Tuesday as his popular environment minister resigned live on radio — without informing the French leader beforehand.

    Nicolas Hulot, one of the most respected members of the cabinet among the French public, took even his interviewers by surprise on the France Inter radio station when announcing his move.

    “I am taking the decision to leave the government,” Hulot said, adding that he felt “all alone” on environmental issues within the government.
    . . .
    Hulot was left disappointed when the government backtracked on a target to reduce the share of nuclear power in the country’s energy mix to 50 percent by 2025, while EU negotiations on pesticides were another source of frustration.

    On Monday, the cost of a hunting licence was cut in half to 200 euros — another bitter pill for the vegetarian.

    That’s what you get for appointing hardline greenies 😐


  21. oldbrew says:

    Still looking for dark matter and getting nowhere…

    The Dirtiest Fight in Physics Is About the Universe Itself

    It’s quite literally a story as old as time. Wherever you look in the cosmos, things don’t seem to add up. Our human observations of the universe’s structure—as far back as we can observe—suggest that there’s around five times more mass than we see in the galaxies, stars, dust, planets, brown dwarfs, and black holes that telescopes have observed directly. We call this mystery mass, or the mystery as a whole, “dark matter.”

  22. Paul Vaughan says:

    Reorienting Compassion for Democracy

    Counterproductive “democracy dies in darkness” Camp Pane morphemedians were found washing a ton of posts in dark disc eyes.

    Democracy climatically lost (peninsular = “hang in isolation”) to darkly circling base assumptions.

    “Some 1 will say what is lost can never be saved”
    — Smashing Pump kins “Bullet with Butterfly Wings”

    “90% of whom use the method of loci technique, have shown that it involves activation of regions of the brain involved in spatial awareness”

    from proto-indo-european *per- “to bring forth”
    latin suffix “ent” means “inclined towards”
    parent = inclined to bring forth
    trans = across
    transparent = Inclined To bring a cross

    “Can U fake it? for Just One more show…” — Smashin Pump kings “butter with bullIT flywings”

    At the transparent confluence of sharp, soft, and hardly imagined power, irrationally crossed revelationary medians piece-fully stabilize overheated revolutionaries that wouldn’t be neutralized by any rational means.

    “G’s US wasn’t “Only Sun” for U

  23. Paul Vaughan says:

    Ceiling Transparent BReach

    Piece-fully IT wasn’t fatal.
    “Can U fake IT?”

    Smashing Pump kins:
    Sent to drain, secret destroyers held U up to the flames.”

    Swamp rats were chilled, not burned by any raging heat of revolution:
    “I suppose I’ll show all my cool and cold like old Job.”

    It was stable realignment by just cold revelation.

    “til U all just diss a peer” — “Black hole sun”

    Crossing sharp medians transparently facing polarized undertow in democratic Camp Pane, Washington’s overdosed Sound Garden fell on black days of dark disk eyes.

  24. oldbrew says:

    El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Technical Discussion

    ENSO – What is it?

    El Niño and the Southern Oscillation, also known as ENSO is a periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (El Niño) and the air pressure of the overlying atmosphere (Southern Oscillation) across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    . . .
    The strengthening and weakening of the trade winds is a function of changes in the pressure gradient of the atmosphere over the tropical Pacific. Ironically, the warming of the sea surface works to decrease the atmospheric pressure above it by transfering more heat to the atmosphere and making it more buoyant. So, in summary, the pressure gradient affects the sea surface temperatures, and the sea surface temperatures affect the pressure gradient.
    [bold added]
    – – –
    See also: Vertical pressure variation

  25. fast says:

    The latest sunspot is reversed polarity:

    However it is rather near the equator, in the southern hemisphere and does seem to be decaying.

  26. oldbrew says:

    Fast – thanks, good article, except where it says:

    First, the transition period from Solar Cycle 24 to Solar Cycle 25 was deep and profound, the deepest in over a century.

    Should say ‘Solar Cycle 23 to Solar Cycle 24’ 😦

  27. oldbrew says:

    Guardian: I was deluded. You can’t beat fake news with science communication

    The battle for evidence-based reason may have to move elsewhere

    The Guardian science blogging network is closing down this week, but we bloggers aren’t going anywhere, and there is still a lot of work to do – off the page as well as on.

    Wed 29 Aug 2018
    – – –
    Got the first sentence right 😉

  28. Chaeremon says:

    Using duckduckgo as search engine and browser extension in Google’s Chrome, the Twitter Timeline widget (and other widgets) no longer work for the site.
    Also discussed here.

    [mod] not a Chrome problem as such, maybe Google being awkward for its competitors?

  29. oldbrew says:

    EU plan to scrap clock changes could create Irish ‘time border’

    A European Commission plan to abolish daylight savings time in the EU may create a “time border” in Northern Ireland after Brexit.

    Jean-Claude Juncker, the president of the European Commission, announced on Friday that his officials would put forward a bill abolishing the clock change “Millions,” he said, “believe that summertime should be all the time.”

    If Ireland agrees to the change, observers believe Northern Ireland could be forced to follow suit, which could mean Belfast and London operating on an hours difference for seven months of the year. Alternately, Northern Ireland and Ireland could be on different times, which could conceivably wreak havoc and confusion over the porous Irish border.

  30. oldbrew says:

    1901 eastern United States heat wave

    The heat really set in during the second week in June, when Springfield, Missouri began a sequence of fifty days with a lowest maximum of 83 °F (28.3 °C) and an average of 93 °F (33.9 °C). It intensified and spread from June 25, when Philadelphia began twelve consecutive days above 90 °F (32.2 °C) – a record it would not surpass until 1953. Some days in Philadelphia and nearby Wilmington, Delaware got as hot as 109 °F or 42.8 °C.
    . . .
    July 1901 was the hottest month over the contiguous United States until the 1930s, and is currently surpassed only by the Julys of 1931, 1934, 1936 and 2012. It remains the hottest month on record in Kentucky and West Virginia.
    . . .
    In the most extensive study of American heatwaves, it was estimated that the 1901 eastern heatwave had claimed the lives of 9,500 people, which makes it easily the most destructive disaster of its type in US history.

  31. A C Osborn says:

    This is one for you Oldbrew.

    [reply] already posted it 5 minutes ago! – thanks

  32. oldbrew says:

    Charging Your Fossil Fuel Free Electric Car
    Posted on September 3, 2018 by tonyheller

  33. oldbrew says:

    Lithium mine in Nevada could provide ‘quarter of global supply’

    Lithium Americas says it has huge plans to develop the McDermitt Caldera

    Alexi Zawadzki, CEO of Lithium Americas, said. “The McDermitt Caldera is likely one of the most tremendously mineralised calderas on the earth.”

  34. oldbrew says:

    Guardian report: Ukip MEP sparks outrage with report denying human role in climate change

    Report blames climate change on cosmic ray fluctuations and sunspot activity, drawing derision from climate scientists

    Green MEP Molly Scott Cato said their choice of Agnew, a Norfolk farmer, as parliamentary rapporteur by the agriculture committee, was a “truly scandalous” fiasco that illustrated a growing populist threat. A rapporteur is elected to shepherd EU proposals through the European parliament and, after negotiations with the European commission and EU states, into law.
    – – –
    Who needs the Sun when you’ve got a trace gas that’s a tiny 0.04% of the atmosphere?

  35. oldbrew says:

    New imagery solves mystery of why Mount St. Helens is out of line with other volcanoes
    September 4, 2018, Oregon State University

    A giant subsurface rock formation some 20-30 miles in diameter, known as the Spirit Lake batholith, appears to have diverted magma and partially melted rock outside of the arc and to the west, forming the region’s most active volcano.

    Read more at:

  36. oldbrew says:


    Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 18% since 2015:

    Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth’s magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation.

  37. oldbrew says:

    Latest wind monstrosity…

    ITV REPORT 6 September 2018
    The world’s largest working offshore wind farm opens in the North West

    The Walney Extension, a Danish-led and funded project in the Irish Sea off Cumbria, has 87 turbines – each around twice the height of Big Ben, standing approximately 190 metres high. The windfarm is nearly 12 miles off Walney Island, Barrow-in-Furness, and covers an area of 145 square kilometres – equal to an area of around 20,000 football pitches.

  38. oldbrew says:

    Baffled scientists…

    Jupiter’s ‘Baffling’ Magnetic Field Is Unlike Any Other

    Scientists recently mapped Jupiter’s magnetic field at four depths, and noticed a strange hemispheric dichotomy: The northern hemisphere’s magnetic field was nothing like the southern hemisphere’s.

    “It’s a baffling puzzle,” the study’s first author, Harvard Ph.D student Kimberly Moore, told Gizmodo. “Why is it so complicated in the northern hemisphere but so simple in the southern hemisphere?”
    . . .
    The “unexpected discovery of the northern hemisphere flux band, ‘Great Blue Spot’, and predominantly dipolar southern hemisphere challenge existing dynamo models, which means we have more to learn.”
    – – –
    We already knew the two poles weren’t quite the same:
    One group uncovered a constellation of nine cyclones over Jupiter’s north pole and six over the south pole.

  39. oldbrew says:

    Ice Conditions in Northwest Passage Disrupt Expedition Voyages
    September 05, 2018

    “This year’s ice conditions in the area are proving to be quite different from previous years; the current conditions in the Victoria and James Ross Straits are such that unfortunately, no ordinary ship can sail through the area”, the company said, in a prepared statement.

  40. oldbrew says:

    A vote in favour of the Ellis/Palmer dust theory

    Beyond Milankovitch
    Posted on September 8, 2018 by curryja
    by Donald Rapp

    On the terminations of Ice Ages.

    What about the transition problem?

  41. oldbrew says:

    Jupiter’s moon Ganymede has powerful chorus waves
    By Paul Scott Anderson in SPACE | August 12, 2018

    Chorus waves can be converted to sound. The ones around Earth sound like singing or chirping birds. Jupiter has stronger chorus waves, and now its large moon – Ganymede – has been found to have chorus waves a million times stronger than Jupiter’s.

  42. A C Osborn says:

    oldbrew says: September 6, 2018 at 9:56 am

    Latest wind monstrosity…

    What that article doesn’t tell you is that the Electricity costs to the Customers (us) is £166/MWh, 4 times the normal cost.

  43. oldbrew says:

    Summer snowstorm expected to hit western Alberta

    It may still be summer, but communities in western Alberta are being told to hunker down for a blast of wintry weather.

    A snowstorm is expected to whip into the province later this week. On Monday, Environment Canada issued a special weather statement for areas including Jasper, Grande Prairie, Nordegg and Rocky Mountain House.

    A cold north wind is to blame for the incoming blizzard.

    Weather that is decidedly more like winter than summer.
    – Environment Canada

  44. A C Osborn says:

    Has Tallbloke been banned from twitter?

    [reply] no –

  45. oldmanK says:

    @ oldbrew says: September 8, 2018 at 6:39 pm
    When the empiricals change without noticing, the rest of the way is going blind.

  46. A C Osborn says:

    A C Osborn says: September 10, 2018 at 10:51 pm
    Has Tallbloke been banned from twitter?

    [reply] no –

    So do you know where his twitter page has gone on here?
    I enjoyed reading it.

    [reply] possible wordpress glitch 😦

  47. oldbrew says:

    Date: 13/09/18 Daily Mail

    More than £1 billion was wiped off the value of one of Britain’s largest energy suppliers after it admitted its wind turbines ground to a halt during the summer heatwave.

    SSE, which supplies electricity to 3.8 million households, said profits would be far lower than expected after the warm, still weather dented output from its wind farms.
    – – –
    Other UK wind generation firms must have had similar issues.

  48. oldbrew says:

    U.S. Becomes World’s Largest Crude Oil Producer and Department of Energy Authorizes Short Term Natural Gas Exports
    SEPTEMBER 13, 2018

    In February, U.S. crude oil production exceeded that of Saudi Arabia for the first time in more than two decades. In June and August, the United States surpassed Russia in crude oil production for the first time since February 1999.
    – – –
    Here comes the Russian Arctic gas that will fuel Europe

    Energy company Gazprom will soon be able to deliver up to 150 billion cubic meters of natural gas per year from its fields in the Yamal Peninsula.
    By Atle Staalesen
    September 14, 2018

    And more is to come. Gazprom has a string of more field licenses in the region and the accumulated resource potential by far exceeds 10 trillion cubic meters.

  49. oldbrew says:

    The Madness Intensifies
    Alan Carlin | September 15, 2018

    This week in climate has been somewhat crazier than most. Based on Florence, the usual suspects are claiming that hurricanes are becoming more intense, even though they are not. California has decided to go full “decarbonization.” Governor Brown invited all his climate friends to San Francisco to share their “insights” with each other. And Al Gore proclaimed that “Decarbonization would be the central organizing principle of human civilization.”

    Imagine how much crazier it would have been if the Democrats had won the House if the mid-terms had been held last week. Apparently there is no limit these crazies will not go to. They appear incapable of learning from South Australia, California, Ontario, and all the rest.


  50. oldbrew says:

    A HOLE IN THE SUN’S ATMOSPHERE: A jagged hole in the sun’s atmosphere is facing Earth and spewing a stream of solar wind toward our planet. Estimated time of arrival: Sept. 17th. Because the gaseous material will reach Earth only a few days before the onset of northern autumn, it may be extra-effective at sparking auroras–a result of “equinox cracks” in the geomagnetic field. [17/09/18]

    Researchers have long known that during weeks around equinoxes fissures form in Earth’s magnetosphere. Solar wind can pour through the gaps to fuel bright displays of Northern Lights.

  51. oldbrew says:

    Note to Shetland islanders…

    Tsunami Risk in The UK Is ‘Far More Serious’ Than We Ever Knew, Scientists Warn
    An unpleasant surprise.


    “We found sands aged 5,000 and 1,500 years old at multiple locations in Shetland, up to 13 metres (43 ft) above sea level,” says physical geographer Sue Dawson from the University of Dundee in Scotland.

    “These deposits have a similar sediment character as the Storegga event and can therefore be linked to tsunami inundation.”

  52. oldbrew says:

    A Test of the Tropical 200‐300 hPa Warming Rate in Climate Models
    Ross McKitrick John Christy

    …we observe a discrepancy across all runs of all models, taking the form of a warming bias at a sufficiently strong rate as to reject the hypothesis that the models are realistic. Our interpretation of the results is that the major hypothesis in contemporary climate models, namely the theoretically-based negative lapse rate feedback response to increasing greenhouse gases in the tropical troposphere, is flawed.

    Research article:

  53. oldbrew says:

    More ships and more clouds mean cooling in the arctic
    Date: September 17, 2018
    Source: University of Connecticut


    Researchers recently modeled the future of trans-Arctic shipping routes and found that the accompanying increase in emissions may offset some of the overall warming trend in that region. Though the researchers stress this is in no way an endorsement to trans-Arctic shipping or a means to mitigate climate change, the results illustrate the complexities in understanding how human activities impact the climate.
    . . .
    Ship tracks form when very small, airborne particles emitted in the exhaust of large ships (and airplanes) attract water molecules, acting as ‘seeds’ (or ‘cloud condensation nuclei’) for clouds. Continued accumulation of droplets on the cloud condensation nuclei forms the thin, streaky clouds pictured in this [Nasa] image.
    – – –
    Shorter routes would mean less fuel burned per journey – but probably more journeys per ship per year, which could mean fewer ships required.

  54. oldmanK says:

    From oldbrew says: September 18, 2018 at 9:13 am
    Quote: “Tsunami Risk in The UK Is ‘Far More Serious’ Than We Ever Knew,— “. Maybe if they looked further afield they would have noticed those same events world-wide. The Storegga event at ~6200 bce has a signature much wider. So is the 5000 (more like 3200bce). Those were extremely wild events.

    The 500 (was it near 535ce extreme weather event?). Curiously those, and more, all seem to lie neat the bottom of the Eddy cycle. See

    For tsunamis see

    For anyone interested the source of the Eddy signature is still elusive. Any links or clues??

  55. oldbrew says:

    oldmanK – The Eddy cycle could be a rocky planets cycle at 980 years:
    980 Earth = 1593 Venus = 4069 Mercury

    However, these planets obviously have short orbit periods so something else may be involved. 980 is 2/3rds of 1470 years which is the Dansgaard-Oeschger cycle.

    Example of 980 year period on the Solar Simulator (Earth-Venus-Mercury triple conjunctions):

    980 years later:

  56. oldbrew says:

    This doesn’t sound good…

    Will EU copyright overhaul ‘break’ the internet?
    September 13, 2018

    Article 11 of the directive, also hotly opposed by Silicon Valley, would probably have a less noticeable impact on users, observers say, at least in the short-term.

    The measure is intended to allow news publishers to make money when companies like Google or Facebook link to their stories.

    Defenders of the law say bloggers and websites will be able to link to stories but that anything beyond a few words from the article itself will be copyrighted.
    . . .
    “If you want to go by the evidence, the experiments in Spain and Germany with neighbouring rights have been a total failure and I’m afraid this failure will just be multiplied on a much grander scale”
    [bold added]

  57. oldmanK says:

    oldbrew — 980 yrs is an extremely short span in a glacial cycle. Thinking aloud here: so it is not intrinsic earth dynamic, but an external gravity related trigger (???).

  58. oldbrew says:

    Scafetta finds a ‘quasi-millennial’ period of 983 years.

    The major beat periods occur at about 115, 61 and 130 years, plus a quasi-millennial large beat cycle around 983 years.. We show that equivalent synchronized cycles are found in cosmogenic records used to reconstruct solar activity and in proxy climate records throughout the Holocene (last 12,000 years) up to now.

    115 is probably lunar (full moon cycle and lunar apsidal cycle) , 61 is one rotation of the Jupiter-Saturn conjunction. Nothing obvious for 130 – possibly the lunar nodal cycle.

  59. oldbrew says:

    Ice Age insights
    Posted on September 19, 2018 by Clive Best

    The discussion on the ‘dust’ theory of ice age termination at Judith Curry brought a couple of other interesting papers to light. This has started me thinking again about how recent deep glaciations terminate. Such glacial cycles apparently now only terminate when the ice sheets reaches a critical size, especially at low eccentricity. Why?

    Ralf Ellis proposed the build up of dust on the ice sheets due to falling CO2 and arid desert conditions reduces albedo sufficiently for the next 65N insolation maximum to trigger an interglacial. However there are other proposals.
    . . .
    So what causes the apparent hysteresis in the deeper glacial cycles for the last million years? Proposals are:

    Delayed rock rebound
    Dust albedo feedback
    CO2 feedbacks
    Some combination of the above

    Here I want to propose another possibility

    5. low sea levels/Increased land area.

  60. oldbrew says:

    Scientists ID three causes of Earth’s spin axis drift
    September 20, 2018, Jet Propulsion Laboratory

    Using observational and model-based data spanning the entire 20th century, NASA scientists have for the first time identified three broadly-categorized processes responsible for this drift—contemporary mass loss primarily in Greenland, glacial rebound, and mantle convection.

    Read more at:

  61. oldbrew says:

    Baffled scientists again…

    What is Dark Matter? Even the Best Theories Are Crumbling
    By Korey Haynes | September 21, 2018

    Dark matter research is unsettling. Scientists were unnerved when they first noticed that galaxies don’t rotate by the same physics as a spinning plate. The stars at a galaxy’s edge rotate faster than expected. And their motion can only be explained by a lot of invisible matter that we can’t see.

    That was exciting more than unsettling when the field was new and ideas were plentiful and had yet to be proven wrong.
    . . .
    Science is hard, and seen against the long story of scientific progress, we only started looking for dark matter yesterday. Until something changes, we’ll have to rest uneasy with the unsettling possibility that physics as we know it might be very wrong.
    – – –
    And their motion can only be explained by a lot of invisible matter that we can’t see. – but even that is only a theory?

  62. J Martin says:

    980 or so is a lunar cycle I saw in a recent twitter reference.

  63. J Martin says:

    With regard to galaxy rotation, they should be examining physics as an opportunity to make a breakthrough instead of making up ridiculous fudge factors like dark mass and energy. There are some good alternatives kicking around.

  64. J Martin says:

    Miss remembered the 980, it was 925 cycle, from a 2008 publication by the meteorologist David Dilley, and wasn’t lunar. I can’t find a link to the 60 page pdf at the moment.

  65. J Martin says:

  66. oldbrew says:

    ‘Rapidly melting Arctic sea ice’? Only in their dreams…

  67. oldbrew says:

    Volkswagen Unveils Cargo e-bike

    The three-wheel Cargo e-Bike can carry up to 210 kg – including the driver – and can handle a cargo volume of one-half cubic metre. Equipped with a 250-watt mid-mounted motor with an automatic gearbox, it has a small turning circle and innovative tilt-compensating technology which always keeps the load platform horizontal.

  68. oldbrew says:

    Germany: Stillness and shock in Hambach Forest after journalist dies

    Hambach Forest is silent with grief. After a video blogger fell to his death, the regional government has suspended evictions of activists protesting a coal mine expansion. Our DW journalist reports from on-site.

    A rickety ‘home-made’ platform gave way 😐

  69. oldbrew, You might be interested to hear that Willie Soon is a recent convert to our cause!

    The “Global Blue Sun”: Solar Anomaly during 1450s-1460s?

    Graphs at 41:45, 45:15, 46:37 and 49:47 minutes are very revealing!

    [reply] indeed –

  70. oldbrew says:

    Number of C, M and X-class solar flares per year

    The graph below shows us the number of C, M and X-class solar flares that occur for any given year. It gives us a nice idea of the amount of solar flares in relation to the sunspot number. It is thus another way of seeing how a solar cycle evolved over time. This data comes from the NOAA SWPC and is updated daily.

    – – –

  71. dai davies says:

    Like the flares graph. I’ve wondered about how flares and sunspots align. Pretty tight, then. So SS are a good proxy.

  72. oldbrew,

    Sorry, I was so excited about the graphs (as shown by Willie Soon) that I missed the fact that you posted a link to his lecture on September 20th.

  73. oldbrew says:

    Many Climate Scientists Have Unintentionally Aided and Abetted Climate Alarmists
    Alan Carlin | September 21, 2018

    One of the most curious aspects of the climate debate is that almost no one insists on mathematically rigorous tests of the major hypotheses that are involved. This is true among the warmists, of course, but is often true among the skeptics as well. Why the skeptics do not do so is beyond me. But most skeptics do not appear to do so. This often takes the form of endorsement of both natural and man-made sources of global warming, often with the view that the skeptics believe the man-made effects are minor. One of many examples is Benny Peiser, the Executive Director of the Global Warming Policy Foundation in London, probably the leading climate skeptic group in Britain. He has done many useful things for the skeptic cause, but endorsing the concept of man-made global warming is not one of them.

  74. oldbrew says:

    Sept. 20, 2018
    Scientists ID Three Causes of Earth’s Spin Axis Drift

    Using observational and model-based data spanning the entire 20th century, NASA scientists have for the first time identified three broadly-categorized processes responsible for this drift — contemporary mass loss primarily in Greenland, glacial rebound, and mantle convection.

  75. oldbrew says:

    Here Comes the Sun! Parker Solar Probe Instruments See ‘First Light’
    September 25, 2018

    “All instruments returned data that not only serves for calibration but also captures glimpses of what we expect them to measure near the sun to solve the mysteries of the solar atmosphere, the corona,” project scientist Nour Raouafi, who is based at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab in Maryland, said in a NASA statement.

    Here’s what each of the instruments returned:

    Read more:

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