Please post ideas for new threads, tips on relevant and interesting threads elsewhere, and notes about pretty much anything you like here.

The scissors will be wielded to commercial spam, lewd suggestions, and anything else I don’t like. 😎

  1. oldbrew says:

    Link back to Suggestions 35

    [for viewing only please]

    = = =

  2. oldbrew says:

    Some planetary systems just aren’t into heavy metal
    Date: October 24, 2018
    Source: Yale University

    Summary: Researchers have discovered that compact, multiple-planet systems are more likely to form around stars that have lower amounts of heavy elements than our own Sun.
    . . .
    Another tantalizing possibility to explore, according to the researchers, is the connection between iron and silicon in the birth of planets. The new study shows a high silicon-to-iron ratio in stars with lower metallicity.

    “Silicon could be the secret ingredient,” Fischer said. “The ratio of silicon to iron is acting as a thermostat for planet formation. As the ratio increases, nature is dialing up the formation of small, rocky planets.”

  3. oldbrew says:

    The conundrum: Prior to the Mid Pleistocene Transition (MPT) roughly one million years ago, glacial cycles followed a simple 41Ky obliquity cycle.

    But now they follow a ~100Ky eccentricity cycle, or so it seems.

    Towards an understanding of Ice Ages
    Posted on October 31, 2018 by Clive Best

    An Ice model driven by NH insolation but adjusted for dust albedo does a pretty good job at reproducing the last 8 glacial cycles. Details are described below.
    – – –
    But where was the dust before that? Clive Best does some analysis.

  4. Paul Vaughan says:

    ThisUN vs. The Sun

    parasol = protecting against the sun
    Never mind overheated revolution where harrowin’ revelation will do.

    “a hole in U — in Eur. Paris sol.O well
    — Queens of the Stone Age “Monsters in the Parasol”

    _We_ face steep walls after a dark fall, Rated R: “restricted to everyone, everywhere, all the time”.

    — Democracy and Freedom

    “The physical universe, then, is a kind of language that invites a privileged spectator to decipher it, although this does not yield a single message so much as a superior network of associations.”

    “”the power of the arts is indeed the most immediate and fastest way” to social, political and economic reform.”

    “Orwell feared that the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance.”

  5. oldbrew says:

    Met Office: Successful prediction of the CO2 rise associated with 2015/2016 El Niño

    2016 was a milestone year for climate change, marking the first time that the monthly atmospheric CO2 concentration remained above 400ppm for an entire year. This historic event was predicted months earlier by a collaboration of scientists, who determined the 2015/2016 El Niño to be a significant driver of the increase in CO2 concentration. A paper has now been published providing verification and further explanation of the prediction.

    – – –
    Warmer seas outgas more CO2 – would be expected? Over to Bob Tisdale:

    Atmospheric CO2 Concentration versus Sea Surface Temperature
    The solubility of CO2 in sea water is well established. Warmer waters dissolve less CO2. In fact, as the oceans warm they outgas CO2 to the atmosphere.

    Not well established, though, are the long-term effects of individual ENSO events on SST. Most studies deal with atmospheric temperature and precipitation responses to ENSO. Yet, during an El Nino, a significant amount of heat is upwelled and distributed to sea surfaces as well, through atmospheric and oceanic Rossby waves and through surface winds and currents. I have also yet to see a study of sea surface temperatures that attempts to follow the heat of a significant El Nino, from the upwelling of the warmer water to its eventual subduction. This assumes there would still be heat left at the time of subduction. But since, in one study, Rossby waves from the 82/83 El Nino were still visible after a decade, I would imagine that some residual heat would remain for at least that period.

    Also not well established are the cumulative effects of a greater frequency and magnitude of El Nino events versus La Nina events. El Nino frequency and their combined magnitude have been dominant during every period when global SST and atmospheric temperatures have risen over the past 150+ years. The reverse has occurred when the number and magnitudes of La Nina events outweigh El Nino events. Why? If the heat released by one El Nino is not countered by the heat absorbed of an equally weighted La Nina, there will be a net gain in atmospheric and oceanic heat. Temperatures rise as a consequence. And if that heat has not been fully dissipated before another El Nino adds more, the effect becomes additive. Each subsequent El Nino then adds to the prior oceanic and atmospheric heat, raising global temperature. The same holds true for periods of back-to-back El Nino events, or when the magnitude of a La Nina is not countered by an equally sized El Nino, except, of course, the result is a net heat loss and a decrease in temperature.

    It would appear similar results can be expected for the growth rate in atmospheric CO2 concentration in response to ENSO events. [bold added]

  6. oldbrew says:

    OCTOBER 31, 2018 REPORT
    New model offers more specifics about the swaying of the Millennium Bridge

    The researchers discovered that the wobbling of the bridge did not require crowd synchrony, which prior studies had suggested was necessary for wobbling to get started. They also found that crowds syncing up and the bridge wobbling did not necessarily have to happen at the same time. The model also showed that as the bridge started to wobble, the people walking on it widened their steps, which required more energy, but offered more stability.
    – – –
    Walking crowds on a shaky surface: stable walkers discover Millennium Bridge oscillations with and without pedestrian synchrony

    Why did the London Millennium Bridge shake when there was a big enough crowd walking on it? What features of human walking dynamics when coupled to a shaky surface produce such shaking? Here, we use a simple biped model capable of walking stably in three dimensions to examine these questions. We simulate multiple such stable bipeds walking simultaneously on a bridge, showing that they naturally synchronize under certain conditions, but that synchronization is not required to shake the bridge.

    Varun Joshi, Manoj Srinivasan
    Published 31 October 2018
    – – –

  7. oldbrew says:

    New insights on comet tails are blowing in the solar wind
    November 2, 2018 by Lina Tran, NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center

    Read more at:

    Caption: Comet McNaught over the Pacific Ocean. Image taken from Paranal Observatory in January 2007.

  8. oldbrew says:

    Antarctic conditions ‘among the coldest since 1979’

    The 2018 ozone hole was strongly influenced by a stable and cold Antarctic vortex—the stratospheric low pressure system that flows clockwise in the atmosphere above Antarctica. These colder conditions—among the coldest since 1979—helped support formation of more polar stratospheric clouds, whose cloud particles activate ozone-destroying forms of chlorine and bromine compounds.

    Read more at:

  9. oldbrew says:

    David Attenborough: too much alarmism on environment a turn-off

    Veteran broadcaster says Dynasties, his new BBC wildlife series, will be gripping, truthful and entertaining but not overtly campaigning

  10. oldbrew says:

    What can happen at/near solar minimum, i.e. now…

    Studies show that coronal holes not only open more frequently when sunspots are absent, but also last longer. During the last solar minimum in 2007-2009, one coronal hole stayed open for 27 consecutive solar rotations. As the sun slowly turned on its axis, that hole fire-hosed Earth with a stream of solar wind almost once a month for nearly two years. [Nov. 4, 2018]

    Study: Low-Latitude Coronal Holes at the Minimum of the 23rd Solar Cycle

    From both the observations and Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) modeling, we find that the area occupied by CHs inside a belt of ±40∘ around the solar equator is larger in the current 2007 solar minimum relative to the similar phase of the previous 1996 solar minimum.
    . . .
    The unusual large separation between the dipole and multi-pole components is due to the very low magnitude of the dipole component, which is three times lower than that in the previous 1996 solar minimum.
    [bold added]
    – – –
    Let’s see how the imminent minimum goes.

  11. oldbrew says:

    CME arriving…

  12. oldbrew says:

    Czech-mate: See another blockbuster confirmation of the Younger Dryas cosmic impact below.

    Cosmic-Impact Event in Lake Sediments from Central Europe Postdates the Laacher See Eruption and Marks Onset of the Younger Dryas

    The Younger Dryas (YD) climate episode (∼12,850–11,650 calendar years before present [cal BP]) is an event recorded widely across the Northern Hemisphere. We conducted multiple analyses at high resolution of a YD-age sedimentary sequence from Stara Jimka, a paleolake in the Bohemian Forest, Czech Republic.
    . . .
    Collectively, this evidence is consistent with the YD impact hypothesis and evidence of one or more cosmic airburst events occurring at this time.

  13. PM says:

    In case you missed it, “Gravesend-Broadness weather station closes”

    [reply] thanks

  14. Paul Vaughan says:

    Stablest inITiative: Blue Pill R Fall

    IT’s compassionately symbolic.

    Stablest peace by revelationary piece trumps deep state’s climatically overheated revolution.

    Is there a better way?

    The blue pill opens Eur. eyes

    A new religion prescribed
    To those without the faith

    Let’s see if I’m hearing this right:
    Is it just I should take?
    “Better Living” – Queens of the Stone Age “Rated R”

    The Openly Stranded Helix

    The stablest 1 in 5 OCEAN traits helically complements irrationally halusinogenic BRInitiative’s 1-way silky strand by reciprocally well-counterbalanced golden means.

    “is it too late to go back?
    isIT00L82G0?” — Q

  15. oldbrew says:

    An ice age lasting 115,000 years in two minutes
    November 6, 2018 by Si­mone Ul­mer, ETH Zurich

    The new simulation appears to support the theory of more frequent glaciations, showing that some Alpine glaciers may have advanced and retreated more than 10 times during the last 120,000 years.
    [incl. video]

  16. Paul Vaughan says:

    Disoriented Climatic Stone Age Spell

    Threatening destructive global resonance with droning models, bureacratic tyranny circled a deep state of climatic darkness.

    The climatic spell was written in stone well before The Fall.

    “Feel Good hIT of the Summer — Queens of the Stone Age

    The Stablest Steps to Well-Oriented 2020 Hindsight

    Climatic stone age relief’s by revelation, not overheated revolution.

    Antiresonant irrational means dynamically counterbalance unending spin:

    The red wedge just begins an infinite series of well-counterbalanced steps. On the steepest and slipperiest of darkly encircling slopes, long run helical lift is carved by enlightening golden means.

  17. oldmanK says:

    “An ice age lasting 115,000 years in two minutes” Interesting video. should be compared to fig 3 at here:

    All those jerks have a meaning. However more than the 8k2 event can be identified there.

  18. oldbrew says:

    Train Travels 90 Km Without Driver For An Hour In Australia

    The 268-wagon train started on its solo journey when the driver got down from his cab to carry out an inspection, and was soon hurtling along at up to 110 kilometres (68 miles) per hour.

    See also:
    – – –
    Had to be derailed – messy…

  19. oldbrew says:


    So – half an admission that modern warming isn’t man-made, as was insisted up to now. It’s a start 😐

    Obviously beginning the alarmist retreat as the low solar cycles period kicks off.
    – – –
    Self-proclaimed would-be saviour of the planet attacks another one…

    Guardian: David Attenborough has betrayed the living world he loves

    By downplaying our environmental crisis, the presenter’s BBC films have generated complacency, confusion and ignorance
    Wed 7 Nov 2018

    Or – Attenborough opts to stick to subjects he knows about :/

  20. oldbrew says:

    Chinese headmaster fired after stealing school’s electricity to mine cryptocurrencies

    Eight ethereum mining machines were deployed at the school for about a year, racking up an electricity bill of US$2,120
    PUBLISHED : Friday, 09 November, 2018

  21. oldbrew says:

    How massive solar eruptions ‘probably’ detonated dozens of US sea mines
    November 8, 2018

    Many of the mines deployed were magnetic influence sea mines that were designed to detonate when they detected changes in the magnetic field.
    . . .
    Early August in 1972 saw some of the most intense solar activity ever recorded.

    A sunspot region, denoted MR 11976, set off a series of intense solar flares (energetic explosions of electromagnetic radiation), coronal mass ejections (eruptions of solar plasma material that typically accompany flares) and clouds of charged particles travelling close to the speed of light.

    Those conducting the investigation into the mine incident visited the Space Environment Laboratory at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) near Boulder, Colorado, to speak to space scientists.

  22. oldbrew says:

    Dust grains in microgravity show a surprising amount of order

    Experiments carried out 250 miles above Earth show electrically charged dust particles in a microgravity environment don’t arrange themselves as haphazardly as expected.
    By Jake Parks | Published: Thursday, November 8, 2018

    The researchers found that introducing the dust grains to a microgravity environment did not lead to more chaos like they expected. Quite the contrary. They found that the reduced influence of gravity allowed forces within the plasma to arrange the dust particles in relatively straight lines – though the grains did squirm around a bit within these lines.
    . . .
    Electrically charged dust grains are common throughout space, whether it be around stars, in the interstellar medium, or within planet-forming disks. And by learning how these charged particles arrange themselves within a microgravity plasma, researchers are hoping to better understand the foundational physics that governs their behavior. Such research will ultimately help shed light on a range of astrophysical objects and processes we don’t yet fully understand.
    – – –
    Orderly like Saturn’s rings?

  23. oldbrew says:

    Talking of Earth and dust…

    Science confirms: Earth has more than one ‘moon’

    Two massive clouds of dust in orbit around the Earth have been discussed for years and finally proven to exist.
    10 November, 2018

    The Kordylewski clouds are two dust clouds first observed by Polish astronomer Kazimierz Kordylewski in 1961. They are situated at two of the Lagrange points in Earth’s orbit. These points are locations where the gravity of two objects, such as the Earth and the Moon or a planet and the Sun, equals the centripetal required to orbit the objects while staying in the same relative position. There are five of these spots between the Earth and Moon. The clouds rest at what are called points four and five, forming a triangle with the clouds and the Earth at the three corners.
    – – –
    The equivalent at Jupiter would be the Trojan moons.

    The Jupiter trojans, commonly called Trojan asteroids or simply Trojans, are a large group of asteroids that share the planet Jupiter’s orbit around the Sun. Relative to Jupiter, each Trojan librates around one of Jupiter’s two stable Lagrange points: L4, lying 60° ahead of the planet in its orbit, and L5, 60° behind.

    Shown in green (Trojans and Greeks) here…

  24. oldbrew says:

    Wind farms in India are driving a population boom of skinny, fearless lizards

    Fewer bird predators near turbines leads to more lizards in local areas and more competition for food, leading to thinner lizards – says the report.

  25. oldbrew says:

    From: BOM – Climate outlook overview

    Current observations and model outlooks indicate the chance of El Niño has increased and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is likely underway. See the Climate Influences section for more information.

  26. stpaulchuck says:

    just another “accidental” torture of data to “prove” the oceans are going to boil… maybe even by tomorrow. Or something.

    [mod] Link says: ‘Unfortunately, our website is currently unavailable in most European countries.’

  27. oldbrew says:

    The first rains in centuries in the Atacama Desert devastate its microbial life
    November 15, 2018, Spanish National Research Council

    The Atacama Desert, the driest and oldest desert on Earth, located in northern Chile, hides a hyper-arid core in which no rain has been recorded during the past 500 years. But this situation has changed in the last three years. For the first time, rainfall has been documented in the hyper-arid core of the Atacama, and contrary to what was expected, the water supply has caused a great devastation among local life.

    Read more at:

  28. oldmanK says:

    Atacama Desert: “no rain has been recorded during the past 500 years”. Near half an Eddy cycle.
    What to expect?

  29. dai davies says:

    I liked the quotes about microgravity experiment and Saturn’s rings.

    Totally different topic: I’ve compiled what I’ve written about the Earth’s thermostat into one page here:

  30. oldbrew says:

    oldbrew says: November 10, 2018 at 7:00 pm

    the reduced influence of gravity allowed forces within the plasma to arrange the dust particles in relatively straight lines

    What ‘forces’ might those be? They either don’t know or don’t want to say.

  31. dai davies says:

    With charged particles (dust) and a magnetic field, particles will follow magnetic lines of force and if they are charged will repel each other. Will go in helical paths if they have velocity perpendicular to the magnetic LoF. On Earth, end up at poles and cause auroras.
    Not clear from article what they were really trying to do with plasma. But interesting to see mainstream moving into Electric Universe territory.

    Raises interesting point re planetary ring systems. I’ve noticed in close range shots of Saturn’s that some rings have formed double helixes. They have had helical motion and jostled themselves into helical attractors.

  32. oldbrew says:

    Issued: Mon, 19 Nov 2018
    University of Glasgow report on wind turbine replacement (repowering):

    “We’ve completed the most comprehensive and collaborative report on repowering to date. This shows that foundations could be re-engineered to take bigger turbines (for another 30 years), but reusing the foundation generally requires more construction materials and disturbs the soil as much as a new foundation.”

  33. oldbrew says:

    Surprising magnetic reconnection spotted on Saturn’s dayside

    (5 June 2018 – ESA) Data from the international Cassini mission has revealed that a phenomenon called magnetic reconnection can occur on the dayside of Saturn, within the planet’s magnetic environment.
    . . .
    In the Saturn system, the moon Enceladus and its cryovolcanic activity eject a lot of water vapour and tiny icy dust grains,” says Nicolas Altobelli, ESA Cassini project scientist.

    “As this water gets ionised, it fills up the magnetosphere of Saturn with heavy ions that interact with the rotating magnetic field lines. When these lines change configuration, during a reconnection event for example, this plasma is released and accelerated.”

  34. A C Osborn says:

    Oldbrew, is Paul Vaughan OK?

    [reply] no idea, but you’re not the first to ask

  35. poly says:

    Yup, I worry PV has lost the plot. He is brilliant but worrying.

  36. oldbrew says:

    Warmists can’t have their cake and eat it too…

    New Video : Symptoms Of Global Warming And Global Cooling Are Identical
    Posted on November 20, 2018 by tonyheller
    – – –
    The current and next low solar cycles won’t help them much either.

  37. oldbrew says:

    More UN farce…

  38. Paul Vaughan says:

    A C Osborn says:
    November 20, 2018 at 9:49 am
    Oldbrew, is Paul Vaughan OK?
    [reply] no idea, but you’re not the first to ask
    poly says:
    November 20, 2018 at 1:14 pm
    Yup, I worry PV has lost the plot. He is brilliant but worrying.

    Higher than a jet plane pass it around
    The best trip that I’ve ever had
    I wanna fly wanna ride with U
    High up in a jet plane with U
    Auto-pilot no control
    Is this the best that U can do???
    “Auto Pilot” – Queens of the Stone Age “Rated R”

    difference of powers

  39. Paul Vaughan says:

    “Well Can U feel IT?”

    Know Ing-Wen Not Tsai
    The Blue Pill’s Eur. Spec. of Reoriented North End Dip Low Mess See

    Crudely Featherweight: A Tension of Such Vertically Suspended Framing U Oughta WalllIT
    And dime here to remind U
    of The Cross I bear that U grave tomb me
    UottaKnow” — Alanis Morissette

  40. Paul Vaughan says:

    Left Speechless A Cross The Isle 121

    Recall by the method of loci may be just in a museum.

    With the 10 NOs we can speak only in crude terms about missing democracy and freedom.

    With the well-sprung Macronomic flow of climatic tyranny, The Fall of the Blue Pill Reminds in the most crude terms of all that NOttaSpec. Can Go.

    Eur. so cruel
    more than me
    loyal to only U
    up Eur. sleave

    I want sum
    of all of U

    trickin’ me

    on a hook
    buy the way
    First it giveth …then it taketh away” — Queens of the Stone Age

  41. John P says:

    Hi Guys, Need some help going further with my work on the influence of Jupiter, Mars and Earth’s QBO. I have now pretty well got it in sync. I.e the angular displacement between Jupiter and Mars. And then they go anti sync. I have put together a very amatuerish video of it. A lot of waffle. But at the end of the day i can show that J&M are very highly correlated to the QBO.

    Below is a link to a pic of the chart. QBO in orange in JM monthly angular displacement in blue.

    The video is pretty amatuerish. But it shows the sources for the data and how i worked it out.

    What I am trying to do now is locate the source for the anti-correlation beginning in 1964-5 and ending in 1989. whils using Stefan Bronniman model on the QBO. That is detailed in the video. And please do excuse my video.

  42. John P says:

    sorry forgot to spell check.

  43. John P says:

    oops and link to video

  44. oldbrew says:

    Study brings new climate models of small star TRAPPIST 1’s seven intriguing worlds
    November 21, 2018 by Peter Kelley, University of Washington

    The team found, briefly put, that due to an extremely hot, bright early stellar phase, all seven of the star’s worlds may have evolved like Venus, with any early oceans they may have had evaporating and leaving dense, uninhabitable atmospheres. However, one planet, TRAPPIST-1 e, could be an Earthlike ocean world worth further study, as previous research also has indicated.

    Read more at:

  45. oldbrew says:

    In NYT world, weather is not climate – unless it’s very hot, a hurricane or a flood.

  46. tom0mason says:

    As your site links pictures and comments from outside of the EU, this site will fall under Article 13 of the Directive on Copyright in the Digital Single Market would effectively require Internet platforms – of all sizes – to proactively filter any content posted by their users, with the goal of stamping out materials that allegedly infringe on copyrights…before they are even posted.

    Soon European readers of your site will not be seeing so much of this site as you post pictures and videos that the EU elites don’t want to be seen. WordPress is against this action — see
    More information is available at

  47. oldbrew says:


    MUNICH, Germany (November 21, 2018) – More than a dozen prominent scientists will be presenting evidence Friday and Saturday casting doubt on the United Nations’ assertion that human activity is causing a global warming crisis. The scientists will be speaking Nov. 23 and 24 in Munich at the European Institute for Climate and Energy’s (German acronym EIKE) 12th International Climate and Energy Conference, which will serve as a prebuttal to the United Nations Conference of the Parties Dec. 4 in Katowice, Poland.

    The Heartland Institute is co-sponsoring the EIKE climate conference at the NH Munich East Conference Center which will be live-streamed at EIKE’s YouTube page from 3:00 a.m. to 1:00 pm ET on Friday, November 23 and 2:00 a.m. to 1:00 p.m. on Saturday, November 24.

    [see link for YouTube info]

  48. fast says:

    Professor Valentina Zharkova gave a presentation of her Climate and the Solar Magnetic Field hypothesis at the Global Warming Policy Foundation in October, 2018.

    [reply] tallbloke was there…

  49. oldbrew says:

    Wintry blast for Northeast US…

    By: Marc Morano – Climate Depot November 21, 2018 4:14 PM


    NORTHEAST: It’s going to be a brutally cold day in the Northeast. Boston, New York, Philadelphia and Washington will all likely see their coldest Thanksgiving morning in nearly a century.

    New York may even see its coldest low temperature for the holiday since weather records have been kept in Central Park. In 1901 and 1876, the low got down to 19 degrees Fahrenheit on Thanksgiving.
    The low in Thursday’s forecast now is hovering at 17 F right before sunrise.

    Gusty winds of up to 30 mph will lead to wind chills in the single digits for the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade.

  50. oldbrew says:

  51. oldbrew says:

    Global-scale multidecadal variability missing in state-of-the-art climate models. S. Kravtsov et al (2018), NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science

    Reliability of future global warming projections depends on how well climate models reproduce the observed climate change over the twentieth century. In this regard, deviations of the model-simulated climate change from observations, such as a recent “pause” in global warming, have received considerable attention.

    Such decadal mismatches between model-simulated and observed climate trends are common throughout the twentieth century, and their causes are still poorly understood. Here we show that the discrepancies between the observed and simulated climate variability on decadal and longer timescale have a coherent structure suggestive of a pronounced Global Multidecadal Oscillation. Surface temperature anomalies associated with this variability originate in the North Atlantic and spread out to the Pacific and Southern oceans and Antarctica, with Arctic following suit in about 25–35 years.

    While climate models exhibit various levels of decadal climate variability and some regional similarities to observations, none of the model simulations considered match the observed signal in terms of its magnitude, spatial patterns and their sequential time development. These results highlight a substantial degree of uncertainty in our interpretation of the observed climate change using current generation of climate models.
    [‘Electronic supplementary material’ section includes 4 videos]

    See also: Attribution of Multidecadal Climate Trends in Observations and Models
    S. Kravtsov, M. Wyatt, J. Curry and A. Tsonis — poster format

    Click to access Kravtsov_AGU_Fall2015-t93kgt.pdf

  52. oldbrew says:

    Scaling Laws for Light Absorption Enhancement Due to Nonrefractory Coating of Atmospheric Black Carbon Aerosol
    Rajan K. Chakrabarty and William R. Heinson
    Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 218701 – Published 19 November 2018

    Note the inverse power law.

    See also:
    (ignore the plug for the ‘notorious’ carbon dioxide :/ )

  53. Michele Casati says:


    [reply] very interesting, thanks
    Polar compression of planets of solar system and ways of development of geophysical processes

  54. oldbrew says:

    (163899) 2003 SD220 is a sub-kilometer asteroid and tumbling slow rotator, classified as near-Earth object and potentially hazardous asteroid of the Aten group, which orbit the Sun between Venus and Earth. Its orbital period of 0.75 years means it revolves about 4 times for every 3 of the Earth. It was discovered on 29 September 2003 [bold added]

  55. oldbrew says:

    Delingpole: Green Gove Loses the Plot Completely

    It’s the kind of alarmist green guff you might have expected from a second-rater like Ed Davey or Ed Miliband. Definitely not from somebody known as one of the best read, most intellectually curious and diligent members of Theresa May’s Cabinet. (Not that this is an exactly crowded field now that most of the talent has left to campaign against her rubbish Brexit plan.)

  56. sunspotlover says:

    I have 2 publications on Researchgate:
    Patrick Geryl on ResearchGate

  57. oldbrew says:

    Miles Mathis writes: SOLAR CYCLE 25 has already begun
    First published November 27, 2018

    In September of 2014, I predicted in this paper [] that Solar Cycle 25 would begin before 2019. That is, in 2018. Since everyone else was predicting 2019 or 2020, and since I was the only one predicting 2018, that may have seemed like a pretty bold prediction. But it wasn’t a raw prediction based on a hunch, a guess, or monitoring the entrails of geese. It was based on simple math and mechanics, as you can see there. So there was nothing very bold about it.

    But though it wasn’t bold, it was revolutionary, since I knew it would prove I was right and the mainstream was wrong about something very obvious and near at hand. [2 pages]
    – – –
    He quotes this: A Sunspot from Cycle 25 for sure
    Published: 10 April 2018

    And more.
    – – –
    Cycle 25 observations in SDO HMI imagery

    20181108 12:00 Largest cycle 25 spot so far [+ image]

  58. oldbrew says:

    British Antarctic Survey: A new way to create Saturn’s radiation belts

    A team of international scientists from BAS, University of Iowa and GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences has discovered a new method to explain how radiation belts are formed around the planet Saturn.

    Read more:

  59. oldbrew says:

    ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) — A 6.6 magnitude earthquake rocked buildings Friday morning in Anchorage and caused lamp posts and trees to sway, prompting people to run out of offices and seek shelter under office desks.

    The U.S. Geological Survey says the earthquake was centered about 7 miles (12 kilometers) north of Alaska’s largest city.
    . . .
    Shortly after the quake, a tsunami warning was issued for the southern Alaska coastal areas of Cook’s Inlet and part of the Kenai peninsula.
    – – –
    Report with various pics…

  60. oldbrew says:

    Greenhouse gas ‘detergent’ recycles itself in atmosphere
    November 30, 2018 by Ellen Gray, NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center

    A simple molecule in the atmosphere that acts as a “detergent” to breakdown methane and other greenhouse gases has been found to recycle itself to maintain a steady global presence in the face of rising emissions, according to new NASA research.
    . . .
    “The absence of a trend in global OH is surprising,” said atmospheric chemist Tom Hanisco at Goddard who was not involved in the research. “Most models predict a ‘feedback effect’ between OH and methane. In the reaction of OH with methane, OH is also removed. The increase in NO2 and other sources of OH, such as ozone, cancel out this expected effect.”

    Read more at:

  61. oldbrew says:

    astro – yes, they all have to be interconnected and a new post later will attempt to extend that.

    Here it is:

  62. oldbrew says:

    No magnetism without electricity…
    A magnetic field is created by a moving electric current and a magnetic field can induce movement of charges (electric current).
    . . .
    Electromagnetism is the theory of a unified expression of an underlying force, the so-called electromagnetic force. This is seen in the movement of electric charge , which gives rise to magnetism (the electric current in a wire being found to deflect a compass needle)

    An international research team led by Chin-Fei Lee in the Academia Sinica Institute of Astronomy and Astrophysics (ASIAA) has made a breakthrough observation with the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA), confirming the presence of magnetic fields in a jet from a protostar.

    Read more at:

  63. oldbrew says:

    December 2, 2018
    Leaked Commons legal analysis of Brexit deal vindicates Trump, contradicts May and adds to Brexiteers’ concerns

    The bombshell is contained in a 27-page legal note prepared by the House of Commons EU Legislation Team, which is headed by Arnold Ridout, its Counsel for European Legislation. A highly respected specialist in EU Law, he has previously worked for the EC Commission’s Legal Service and advised the European Secretariat of the Cabinet Office and prior to taking up his current role in 2014, he was Deputy Legal Adviser to the House of Lords EU Select Committee.

    The note – marked ‘not for general distribution’ and obtained by BrexitCentral – is dated 26th November and states that the UK-EU customs union which would come into effect if the backstop is triggered “would be a practical barrier to the UK entering separate trade agreements on goods with third countries”.

    The legal note – titled The Withdrawal Agreement: Legal and Governance Aspects

    Click to access Withdrawal-Agreement-Legal-and-Governance-Aspects.pdf

  64. Q. Daniels says:

    My second paper is out.

    Measuring Thermally-Driven LED Emissions via Voltage Modulation near Zero Bias

    The conclusions aren’t strong. I found something funny in my data while poking around. It raises some questions about either Kirchhoff’s Law or the Zeroth Law of Thermodynamics.

    I found that an essentially unbiased IR LED had a carrier temperature which was substantially (~60 C) different from the junction temperature.

    My first paper was “Implementing Demons and Ratchets”

  65. oldbrew says:

    Comet Hunting – 46P/Wirtanen

    This month brings the excitement of a comet hunt, as Wirtanen 46P reaches closest approach on December 16th. This is a relatively small comet (1.5km across) with a period of just over 5 years. However Wirtanen is known to produce a relatively large tail for its stature, so it’s definitely one to look out for.

    In mid December it’ll be positioned between the Pleiades star cluster and red giant star Aldebaran in Taurus, so will be relatively easy to locate in the night sky.
    . . .
    I’ve put together a short video to help you locate it over December. Clear skies!
    [see link below]
    – – –
    Wiki data:
    Aphelion 5.129946 AU
    Perihelion 1.0587602 AU
    Semi-major axis 3.0943529 AU
    Eccentricity 0.6578412
    Orbital period 5.44 a

    On 16 December 2018 the comet will pass 0.0781 AU (11,680,000 km; 7,260,000 mi) (~30 LD) from Earth,[3] reaching an estimated magnitude of 3 to 7.5, making this pass the brightest one predicted, and the brightest close approach for the next 20 years. [bold added]
    – – –
    A curiosity: its perihelion ratio to Earth is 4:Phi³
    In Fibonacci terms: (144/34) / 4 = 1.0588235 (Wiki = 1.0587602 AU)
    Its aphelion is slightly outside that of Jupiter, by a similar figure: 1.0640935

    The big build-up [Oct. 18 video]

  66. oldbrew says:

    Applies to electric cars too…

    It’s about to get much more expensive to make your smartphone
    By Yomi KazeemDecember 4, 2018

    The Democratic Republic of Congo (DR Congo)—the world’s largest producer of cobalt—has slammed a three-fold increase on royalties paid for the mineral.
    . . .
    The hike comes amid ongoing high demand for cobalt as the mineral forms a major component of lithium-ion batteries used in smartphones and electric cars. That demand is not expected to diminish as electric car and smartphone markets continue to grow.

    Smartphone giants Apple and Samsung have already made moves to secure long-term cobalt supply from DR Congo, which produces around 60% of global cobalt supply.

  67. oldbrew says:

    A Mysterious Seismic Wave Recently Shook Earth, And Scientists Can’t Explain It

    Scientists are at a loss to explain a strange seismic event that shook the planet on November 11 and was picked up by earthquake sensors stationed across the globe.

    While the cause of this mysterious disturbance remains unknown, it’s somehow linked to an ongoing seismic swarm that’s been rumbling the archipelago of Mayotte in the Indian Ocean for several months – but just what these unusual tremors ultimately signify remains unclear.

    “I don’t think I’ve seen anything like it,” seismologist Göran Ekström from Columbia University told National Geographic about the November 11 anomaly.

  68. oldbrew says:

    Mucked Up

    It’s hard to be cynical enough in this game. I noted today that “Science Communicators,” a recently discussed poorly adapting subspecies, have yet to make mention of this blockbuster paper in Nature Reports one year ago. Specifically, there is credible preliminary evidence contained by the bucketful that there was a catastrophe prior to the Younger Dryas Impact that rained Platinum rich microspherules down on and into heaps of megafauna killed in the blast.

    Very interesting stuff! And credibly published by the world’s premier house of science! Yet….wait for it….crickets from the loud crowd.

    Paper: [4 MB]

  69. oldbrew says:

    The clever ruse of rising sea levels
    Alarmists try to frighten people, and stampede them into terrible energy decisions
    Jay Lehr and Tom Harris

    Click to access lehr-harris-ruse-of-rising-sea-levels.pdf

  70. Scute says:

    Two tweets re a farmer claiming his solar farm uses no subsidies till I catch him out. See below for story behind them:

    This farmer in Australia built a 3.6 Megawatt solar farm and insists front and centre in his original tweet that he did it with no subsidies. He gets about 20 cloying, sycophantic replies before @Coconutdog01 challenges him on subsidies. But because @Coconutdog01 says “taxpayers” and not “consumers cross-subsidising” the farmer just side-steps it by saying “No subsidies of any kind in this construction”. Then another sycophantic congratulatory replies before @AussieFaa challenges him specifically on the “RET” which is the Renewable Energy Target which allows for Large Generator Certificates (LGC’s). These are RE certificates, usual thing, free money.

    @AussieFaa gets ignored until I come in with the tweet linked above. My tweet has a link and screenshots, nailing this farmer to the floor.

    He admits he is after all that he’s selling LGC’s. But over a Twitter battle of 30 tweets he insists they’re not subsidies and won’t correct his original tweet.

    Meanwhile his original tweet has garnered 352 retweets and 1070 likes.

  71. oldbrew says:

    The Earth-facing side and the rest of the Moon look very different…

  72. oldmanK says:

    Re oldbrew says: December 8, 2018 at 8:23 am

    Something in that paper does not tally. As the research indicates, there were frequent and repeated cataclysms. However the YD episode is the fifth such major event in 450k years, events occurring at about 100ky intervals. The interval varies time-wise which seems to indicate that the triggering of the event is irregular. See fig1 here

    Same link, fig 3 and 4 tell their own story. Not cometary but an intrinsic behavior of the earth. Then the events post YD tell even more. 8k2 event is identified – plus more later. Then archaeology adds further info. Here the platinum trace IMO is of no use. The Eddy cycle is. See fig 122 here

    However the paper is very important for the data it provides; ie the ‘frequently’ repeated events and their effect that can only be gauged from the carnage trails. The geological ‘carnage’ is even greater but very difficult to find clearly (and were it is archaeology + geology insists on turning a blind eye).

  73. sunspotlover says:

    There is a new sunspot. This will increase the amount of sunspots for december and makes my revised prediction for the start of solar cycle 25 highly possible:

  74. oldbrew says:

    NASA’s Voyager 2 spacecraft enters into interstellar space

    After 41 years on the road, NASA’s Voyager 2 spacecraft has finally entered interstellar space, but it still has a long way to go before it leaves the solar system.

    Key points:
    — Voyager 2 is the second spacecraft to venture into interstellar space
    — It is now 18 billion kilometres from Earth but still within the solar system
    — Australian tracking stations play a vital role in monitoring its journey

    The spacecraft moved beyond the protective bubble of particles and magnetic fields created by the Sun known as the heliosphere, NASA has confirmed.

    Its twin, Voyager 1, crossed a different part of this boundary in 2012.

    Seems to have happened at around 120 AU.

  75. dai davies says:

    My latest climate review, Energy and Atmosphere Revisited, up for comment:
    Please let me know if you see any problems from factual errors to typos. I’m thick skinned.

  76. oldbrew says:

    The orbit of 2003 SD220 extends slightly outside of the orbit of Earth.

    (163899) 2003 SD220 is a sub-kilometer asteroid and tumbling slow rotator, classified as near-Earth object and potentially hazardous asteroid of the Aten group, which orbit the Sun between Venus and Earth. Its orbital period of 0.75 years means it revolves about 4 times for every 3 of the Earth. It was discovered on 29 September 2003 [bold added]

    It will pass about 7 LD (0.0189 AU) on 22 December 2018.

  77. oldbrew says:

    Fireball That Exploded Over Greenland Shook Earth, Triggering Seismic Sensors
    By Mindy Weisberger, Senior Writer | December 13, 2018

  78. oldbrew says:

    Baffled scientists – “We are very perplexed.”…

    The universe appears to expand at different rates, study reports

    Nobody can explain why the universe accelerates as it expands. Some believe it may be the result of dark matter or dark energy, while others suggest that it may be the result of a yet undiscovered particle.

    Some particle that would be 😉

  79. oldbrew says:

    Still not well understood…

    The complex history of Earth’s magnetic reversals
    December 11, 2018 by Tom Garlinghouse, University of California – Santa Cruz

    Read more at:

  80. oldbrew says:

    Missing ocean instrument package found after accidental five-year odyssey

    After five years and 8,700 mi (14,000 km), a lost oceanographic instrument package has turned up on a beach in Tasmania. The deep-ocean monitoring equipment belonging to Britain’s National Oceanography Centre (NOC) was lost on Christmas Day 2013 in the northern Drake Passage after a failed recovery effort, but was found by a Tasmanian resident after an epic drift clear across the South Pacific.

  81. sunspotlover says:

    My paper about the start of solar cycle 25 is now in review at an AGU Journal:

  82. oldbrew says:

    ‘Sci-fi’ plane flies with no moving parts

    MIT scientists create the first plane to fly without moving parts.

  83. oldbrew says:


    Monday, December 17, 2018

    Washington, DC— A team of astronomers has discovered the most-distant body ever observed in our Solar System. It is the first known Solar System object that has been detected at a distance that is more than 100 times farther than Earth is from the Sun.

    The new object was announced on Monday, December 17, 2018, by the International Astronomical Union’s Minor Planet Center and has been given the provisional designation 2018 VG18. The discovery was made by Carnegie’s Scott S. Sheppard, the University of Hawaii’s David Tholen, and Northern Arizona University’s Chad Trujillo.

    2018 VG18, nicknamed “Farout” by the discovery team for its extremely distant location, is at about 120 astronomical units (AU), where 1 AU is defined as the distance between the Earth and the Sun. The second-most-distant observed Solar System object is Eris, at about 96 AU. Pluto is currently at about 34 AU, making 2018 VG18 more than three-and-a-half times more distant than the Solar System’s most-famous dwarf planet.
    – – –
    120 AU is about where Voyager 2 recently met the heliosphere boundary.

    Its furthest point from the Sun (aphelion) is given as 168.7 AU

  84. oldbrew says:

    Experiments by China and Russia to heat up the atmosphere cause concern

    Superpowers team up to heat up the ionosphere by over 200 degrees.
    21 December, 2018

    A series of controversial experiments by Russia and China recently came to light, drawing concern from experts over their potential military applications. A newly published paper shows that in June 2018, Russian scientists emitted high-frequency radio waves in order to affect the ionosphere – the ionized section of Earth’s upper atmosphere that reaches from 50 to 600 miles above. They were able to heat it up by about 100 degrees Celsius (212 degrees Fahrenheit) while also causing a massive electric spike.


    See also:

  85. oldbrew says:

    Brexit latest? Daily Telegraph headline…

    Amber Rudd: ‘Ghastly’ Jean-Claude Juncker should be under investigation for sexual misconduct

    Sounds like the WTO ‘no deal’ is the favourite 😐

  86. Brett Keane says:

    Recent Papers on Tectonic CO2 and seawater crustal cycling point to effects many times greater than estimated. Sort of wrecks many warmist ‘certainties’. Brett

  87. oldbrew says:

    Kelvin-Helmholtz wave clouds

    Not seen this type of cloud for a while. They’re called Kelvin-Helmholtz wave clouds and are named for two of the godfathers of nineteenth century science.

  88. oldbrew says:

    Brett Keane – re. Recent Papers on Tectonic CO2 and seawater crustal cycling

    They still seem to reverse cause and effect? CO2 outgassing is a result of warmer seas, not a cause of warming.

  89. oldbrew says:

    This makes a change…

    ‘Natural beauty’ concerns block wind farm near Hawick
    21 December 2018

    A 15-turbine wind farm in the Scottish Borders has been rejected over concerns about its impact on the “natural beauty” of the area.

  90. oldbrew says:

    IISER Kolkata team develops method to simulate, predict solar activity over ten years
    Shubashree Desikan
    UPDATED: DECEMBER 09, 2018

    According to a paper published in Nature Communications, a team of researchers from IISER Kolkata have developed a way of predicting the intensity of activity in the next solar cycle (approximately from 2020 to 2031) using data spread over the last 100 years.

    Contrary to other calculations, they find that the sun’s activity would not dip during the next cycle, but it would be similar to the current cycle, perhaps even stronger. They expect the cycle to peak around 2024. “This is a unique data driven simulation work,” says Dipankar Banerjee, Solar physicist from Indian Institute of Astrophysics, Bengaluru, who was not involved in this research.
    – – –
    Another solar cycle 25 sunspot has appeared: 20181227 03:00 N45W04

  91. oldbrew says:

    Why 536 was ‘the worst year to be alive’
    By Ann Gibbons Nov. 15, 2018

    At a workshop at Harvard this week, the team reported that a cataclysmic volcanic eruption in Iceland spewed ash across the Northern Hemisphere early in 536. Two other massive eruptions followed, in 540 and 547. The repeated blows, followed by plague, plunged Europe into economic stagnation that lasted until 640, when another signal in the ice—a spike in airborne lead—marks a resurgence of silver mining, as the team reports in Antiquity this week.
    . . .
    …nearly every unusually cold summer over the past 2500 years was preceded by a volcanic eruption.

  92. oldbrew says:

    NASA’s AIM spacecraft is monitoring a 3000-mile wide ring of electric-blue clouds circling high above Antarctica. These are noctilucent clouds (NLCs)
    . . .
    If you think strange clouds in the atmosphere over remote Antarctica are of little practical interest, think again. Researchers have discovered unexpected teleconnections between noctilucent clouds and weather patterns thousands of miles away. Would you believe that winter air temperatures in Indianapolis, Indiana, are correlated with NLCs over Antarctica? It’s true. Understanding how these long-distance connections work could improve climate models and weather forecasting.

    Ground sightings of NLCs over Antarctica are rare–but only because the population is low. However, the clouds can be seen.

  93. oldbrew says:

    Tim Cullen has a fun gif of the Britons in N.W. Europe…

    See also: Geologists reveal ancient connection between England and France
    Read more :

  94. oldbrew says:

    Please note: we’ve moved to Suggestions 37 now.

    No more comments here. Thanks.

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